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India PM warns of inflation but reassures on rupee

India PM warns of inflation but reassures on rupee (AFP) / 30 August 2013 India’s premier warned the nation on Friday to brace for higher prices because of the rupee’s plunge to record lows, but he forecast the economy would pick up in the second half of the year. Manmohan Singh, addressing parliament for the first time since the rupee went into a tailspin this month, called the currency’s worst slide against the dollar in nearly two decades “worrying” and a “concern”. But he said actions by his left-leaning Congress-led government to reduce “the unsustainably large” current account deficit, which has undermined the currency, would bear fruit. “We are no doubt faced with important challenges but we have the capacity to address them — it is at times like these that a nation shows what is truly capable of,” he told lawmakers. He warned Indians that the weak rupee “will no doubt lead to some further upward pressure on prices” because of the rise in import prices, especially of fuel. Singh, a reknowned economist hailed for lighting the fuse for India’s fast growth in the 1990s as finance minister, has been under fire as premier with his government hit by a string of corruption scandals that have sapped foreign investor confidence. He skirted opposition charges that the rupee’s woes were due to the government mismanagement and blamed the fall on tensions over Syria and a pick up in the US economy that is expected to lead to an end to the Federal Reserve’s stimulus. Seeking to put a positive spin on the volatile exchange rate, he suggested that the currency’s decline could prove a blessing as it would make India’s exports cheaper and help revive economic growth. Growth data for the first financial quarter to June, due later Friday, would be broadly unchanged from the previous quarter’s 4.8 percent, he said, but the economy would accelerate in the second half. “Growth will pick up in the second half barring extreme unforeseen eventualities,” he said, adding the strong annual monsoon would boost harvests and help reduce food inflation. “The stabilisation process which should support the value of the rupee is underway… the currency markets will recover,” he added. Foreign exchange markets have a “notorious history of overshooting, this is what is happening in relation to the rupee,” he said, adding, it is important to recognise that “the fundamentals of the Indian economy continue to be strong.” After his speech, the rupee was trading at 66.64 to the dollar; down from its day’s low of 67.80 rupees and still comfortably stronger than the record near 69 rupees it touched on Wednesday.       Continue reading

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Dubai’s liveability score rises

Dubai’s liveability score rises Ahmed Shaaban / 30 August 2013 While cities around the globe compete in providing the best living conditions, Dubai came third among the top ten in terms of improved liveability scores over the last five years. Ranking 77 out of 140 cities worldwide, the overall rating of the emirate touched 74.2 on a scale of 100, according to the latest findings of The Economist Intelligence Unit’s Global Liveability Ranking. Assessing liveability has a broad range of uses, from benchmarking perceptions of development levels to assigning a hardship allowance as part of expatriate relocation packages. Expecting a brighter future for Dubai, Roua Ramadan, a pharmacist from Egypt, said this was normal for the every developing emirate. “Since I have arrived here in Dubai in 2005, I can closely see exceptional and fast developments in every nook and corner.” Echoing the same, Wafaa Mohammed, a teacher, also from Egypt, said it had always been a dream for her to live and work in Dubai to enjoy a more stable, safe, and secure society with better and varied services. “Believe me, most of the services I and my family members enjoy here are not available in my home country.” Sharief Al Wakeel, a Syrian accountant, said protests made the world less liveable, and people felt more unsafe. “Wish the whole world would be an oasis for safety, security, welfare and prosperity as is the case in Dubai.” “The prudent leadership of the UAE in general, and Dubai in particular, has created a leader in each and every Emirati national who has become more loyal and loving to his/her country, and take the responsibility in protecting and keeping up such progress,” said Wael Safwat, a businessman from Morocco. The rating, part of the Worldwide Cost of Living Survey, quantifies the possible challenges to an individual’s lifestyle in 140 cities worldwide. Each is assigned a score for over 30 qualitative and quantitative factors across five broad categories: Stability, Healthcare, Culture and Environment, Education, and Infrastructure. Each factor in each city is rated as acceptable, tolerable, uncomfortable, undesirable or intolerable. For qualitative indicators, a rating is based on the judgment of in-house analysts and in-city contributors. The relative performance of a number of external data points is associated with quantitative indicators. Melbourne is ranked the most liveable city for the third year running in the year-on-year survey, followed by Vienna and Vancouver. Jon Copestake, editor of the survey, said the past five years had seen global liveability slip by 0.6 per cent, led by a 1.3 per cent fall in the score for stability and safety. “The Arab Spring has been most influential in pushing down global liveability, but unrest in Europe and China have also contributed whereas the ongoing civil war in Syria has made Damascus the least liveable city in the ranking.” While the threat of terror had a defining influence on liveability in the last decade, we could clearly see that civil unrest already had a significant impact on liveability in this decade, he added. ahmedshaaban@khaleejtimes.com Continue reading

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Gulf markets mixed as Syria attack fear eases

Gulf markets mixed as Syria attack fear eases (UAE STOCK MARKETS) / 30 August 2013 Middle East stock markets were mixed on Thursday as heavy selling related to the Syrian war faded, but continued uncertainty over how and when the United States might strike Syria blocked solid rebounds. President Barack Obama told Americans that a military strike against Syria would be in their interest, but there were signs that any action would be delayed at least several days while the case was laid out to US and British lawmakers. This encouraged some Gulf retail investors to buy stocks on Thursday as margin calls eased, but the markets’ rebounds during the day lacked momentum. “We had a lot of speculation and hot retail money in the market and they’ve been caught be the news and reacted very promptly,” said Sebastien Henin, portfolio manager at The National Investor in Abu Dhabi. “If you analyse US involvement, it will most probably be limited in terms of timing and geography and shouldn’t impact the Gulf region much.” This week’s losses have taken some of the froth off Gulf markets; Amer Khan, fund manager at Shuaa Asset Management, estimated Dubai was now trading at 12.9 times 2013 earnings, not prohibitively high for a growth market. But Asim Bukhtiar, head of research at Saudi Arabia’s Riyad Capital, said: “We see a bit of risk until the geopolitical situation gets resolved in coming days — we expect volatility to continue in the market and it would be safer to stay on the sidelines.” Dubai’s index gained 0.3 per cent, trimming this week’s losses to 6.6 per cent and leaving the market up about 55 per cent year-to-date. Abu Dhabi  eased 0.07 per cent, down 5.4 per cent on the week.  In Qatar, the benchmark rose 0.8 per cent, snapping four sessions of declines from a five-year high. It lost 4.7 per cent this week. Saudi Arabia’s measure  was little changed; it rose more than 1.0 per cent in early trade but then gave up most of those gains. Despite this week’s losses of 5.2 per cent, many Saudi valuations remain rich, especially in sectors such as banks and the retail sector, Bukhtiar said.  In Kuwait, retail traders sold small-cap shares, which accounted for most trading volume. The index lost 1.0 per cent and was down 5.8 per cent for the week.   “People are off-loading shares – the big players are pressuring smaller stocks to pick them up later from lower levels,” said Fouad Darwish, head of brokerage services at Global Investment House.  But he added, “Fundamentally, it’s the best condition that the market has been in for years.” Kuwait is up 28.6 per cent year-to-date, backed by improving corporate earnings and increasing anticipation of progress on long-delayed infrastructure building plans. Cairo’s main benchmark climbed 0.8 per cent to 5,268 points, snapping a three-session losing streak. The market gained modest support from the cabinet’s approval of 22.3 billion Egyptian pounds ($3.2 billion) of spending on investment projects over the coming 10 months. Capital Economics said the spending plan might help the economy in the near term— Reuters Continue reading

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