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Record December for house prices in Scotland
Scottish house prices have increased by £6,700 in the last 12 months to hit a six year high, nearing the pre-recession peak, the latest index report shows. Prices in December increased by 0.3% and year on year price growth is up 4.2%, taking the average house price to £165,075, according to the Your Move Scotland house price index. Total home sales in 2014 were 11% higher than 2013, led by the first time buyer market and despite falling oil prices property values in Aberdeen have seen some of the strongest annual growth, up 10%. Indeed, average house prices in Aberdeenshire and the Shetland Islands both reached new records in December, while overall Scottish house prices reached a crescendo at the end of 2014, ending on a high note with an all-time record December. ‘After the brief unsteadying influence of the independence referendum, house price growth has firmly fallen back into a steady rhythm, and values climbed 0.3% in December,’ said Christine Campbell, regional managing director of Your Move. She pointed out that values have risen 4.2% or £6,688 in a year, taking them to the highest level seen since June 2008. Standing at £165,075 in December, this means the average house price in Scotland is now just £440 shy of the pre-recession peak, and households across the country are beginning to taste the fruits of the economic revival. ‘Speculation has been running wild as to the effect of plummeting oil prices on Aberdeen’s housing market. However, the city actually witnessed the biggest annual jump in house prices on mainland Scotland, up 10% in the past 12 months, equivalent to £20,438,’ explained Campbell. ‘Aberdeen is also holding its ground as one of the most expensive places to buy, and during December the city recorded the highest price paid for a property in Scotland throughout the whole of 2014, at £3million,’ she pointed out. ‘Growth is making its way beyond these urban economic centres though, and the Shetland Islands joins Aberdeenshire in setting a new record house price in December. Stronger activity at the bottom rungs of the ladder has pushed the average price for a terraced home in the Shetland Islands up from £106,000 in the fourth quarter of 2013 to £156,000 in the fourth quarter of 2014,’ she added. Demand from first time buyers means that at the lower end for affordable starter homes sector flats have become the most frequently purchased type of property in Scotland. Sales of flats between July and December 2014 have seen a 6% rise on the same period a year previously. Argyll and Bute saw the biggest year on year increase in transactions during the second half of the year, with flats sales up 28%. The data shows that overall, the total number of home sales in Scotland during 2014 was 11% up on 2013 but the majority of that progress was made in the busier first six months of the year, showing an increase of… Continue reading
UK house prices up almost 10% in year to December 2014
UK house prices increased by 9.8% in the year to December 2014, down from 9.9% in the year to November 2014, according to the latest official figures. House price annual inflation was 10.2% in England, 4% in Wales, 5.5% in Scotland and 4.9% in Northern Ireland, the figures from the Office of National Statistics show. The index report says that house prices continue to increase strongly across the majority of the UK, with prices in London again showing the highest growth. Annual house price increases in England were driven by an annual increase in London of 13.3% and to a lesser extent increases in the South East of 11.5% and the East at 11.4%. However, excluding London and the South East, UK house prices increased by 7.4% in the 12 months to December 2014. On a seasonally adjusted basis, average house prices increased by 0.7% between November and December 2014, the data also shows. In December 2014, prices paid by first time buyers were 9.5% higher on average than in December 2013. For existing owners, prices increased by 9.8% for the same period. According to Graham Davidson, managing director of Sequre Property Investment, the annual increase in 2014 in London is not sustainable and prices simply cannot continue to grow at this rate throughout 2015. But Adrian Gill, director of Your Move and Reeds Rains estate agents, pointed out that house price growth has wavered recently and quietened down from a thunderous charge earlier in 2014. ‘But property values ended the year on a stronger note, with a sturdy monthly upswing in December. Rankings of annual growth across the country still read in neat geographical order with price inflation flowing out from the London and the South East, and northern regions bringing up the rear,’ he explained. ‘Schemes like Help to Buy have jump started growth in these regions, where homes are cheaper and prices still to break free of the long shadow of the recession. While the London market is adjusting to more sustainable conditions and taking a breather, other parts of the UK now have their moment to shine,’ he added. He also said that it is encouraging to see new price records being set in Wales and the West Midlands in December. ‘Lower stamp duty and record low mortgage rates should act as further injections of support to make sure the housing recovery drives further forward across the country,’ he added. Continue reading
Increasing demand and lack of supply hitting UK first time buyer market
The UK housing market is seeing increasing demand and limited supply and first time buyers are finding it increasingly difficult to get on the property market, according to a new analysis. Since 1980, there has been considerable fluctuation in the UK housing market and while house prices have been increasing, home ownership among younger age groups generally has declined. The analysis from the Office of National Statistics also shows that if the number of households in England grows to 24.3 million in 2021 as projected, this would be equivalent to an additional 221,000 households per year. Housing is therefore likely to remain an important topic in the future. Overall, the UK housing market comprises 27.8 million residential properties, the report says. Linked to income, wealth and availability of lending, the housing market is sensitive to the overall economic climate. On average house prices have increased by 6.9% per year since 1980 and the greatest annual increase in house prices was 25.6% in 1988. In 2013, the average price (mix adjusted) of a property in the UK stood at £242,000. There were seven years between 1980 and 2013 where, on average, UK house prices fell, the majority of which occurred during the recession of the early 1990s. The biggest drop, however, was 7.6% in 2009. The economic downturn in 2008 had a considerable impact on the UK housing market. The decline in house prices was accompanied by reduced mortgage availability and stricter lending criteria, and this is a major reason in the UK for the continuing low level of housing transactions. The number of property sales in the UK almost halved from a peak of 1.67 million in 2006 to 0.86 million in 2009. Since 2009, however, the number of sales has partially recovered, increasing to 1.07 million in 2013. The report points out that rising house prices could partially explain the decline in the number of first time buyers taking out a mortgage. Between 1980 and 2002, the number of mortgages agreed for first time buyers was averaging around 486,000 per year. However, in 2003 there was a 31% decline in the number of mortgages for first time buyers from 2002. It also shows that in 2008 saw a further 47% decrease from 2007 as the effects of the economic downturn impacted on the housing market. While some recovery in the numbers of first time buyers has been apparent in 2013/2014, the level remains below the average seen prior to 2003. The report says that the reduction in the numbers of first time buyers has subsequently had an impact on the age of home owners. In 1991, 67% of the 25 to 34 age group were home owners. By 2011/2012, this had declined to 43%. There were also reductions in home ownership over the same period for the 16 to 24 age group from 36% to 10% and for the 35 to 44 age group from 78% to 64%. By contrast, home ownership has increased among… Continue reading
