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US home builders using new data analysis to decide where and what to build

A proliferation of data and new data analysis methods are changing the way builders in the United States buy, sell and develop vacant land, according to experts. Builders are cautiously optimistic that easier credit and more flexibility will help the new homes market rebound in 2015, according to experts at a building and building products symposium in New York. The state of the land market, a key factor in determining what kinds of housing gets built, where and at what price, was a common theme throughout the various discussions. ‘The real opportunity of land goes beyond the land itself. Builders are looking at land as much more than a piece of dirt now,’ said Steve Benson, chief executive officer of Phoenix based land banking and advisory firm Community Development Capital Group. Landowners and buyers alike are using multiple data sources to examine what is being built in other areas, which designs work best for certain parcels and which builders are best suited to maximize certain features of a given piece of land, Benson explained. Rather than building a certain set of homes on a given piece of land, developers today may be more apt to sell their land to a different type of developer rather than undergo a project themselves, or choose to build a different type of home than they normally would, based on data, he pointed out. ‘Real estate has always been about location, location, location. But with land especially, it’s future location, future location, future location. Today, data helps inform that equation for builders much more than in the past,’ he added. High land costs, and perhaps unrealistic value assessments by landowners, are a big reason why developers are having difficulty developing more entry level, lower cost communities and homes, according to Greg Vogel, chief executive officer of the Land Advisors Organization, an Arizona based land brokerage. Developable tracts of land appreciated very quickly in value during 2012 and 2013 in anticipation of a building boom in 2014 that largely has yet to materialise, he explained, adding that strong recent years have convinced today’s land owners that their land may be worth more than it is. As a result, builders are increasingly forced to put higher prices homes on developments they do control in order to recoup their higher land acquisition costs. This will create challenges for larger builders looking to cater to lower end and first time buyers, who are expected to enter the market in higher numbers in coming years. ‘Most observers agreed that it’s just a question of time until we see millennial demand pick up. If the entry level buyer does come back, I’m not sure there will be a lot of opportunities to develop those kinds of communities right away,’ Vogel said. Beyond the kinds of large, multi acre sites on the edge of cities and towns favoured by big, publicly traded home building companies, smaller lots located in downtowns and established communities also represent… Continue reading

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Thousands sign up for new property alert service in England and Wales

In its first year, over 19,000 people have signed up to the UK Land Registry’s free Property Alert service which provides an early warning of possible suspicious activity on someone’s property. The aim of Property Alert is to help people protect their home from fraudsters. ‘There are many people who have no idea that someone could steal their home from under them, but unfortunately it can and does happen,’ said Tracey Salvin, Property Alert service manager. ‘For example, someone may pretend to be you using forged documents and sell or mortgage your home. While this is not common, when it does happen it can have devastating consequences for the victim. Imagine finding out that someone else has sold or mortgaged your property without your knowledge and disappeared with the money, leaving you to pick up the pieces,’ she explained. A case study involved a Ms Anderson (names have been changed) who signed up for the Property Alert service and placed an alert on her property. She received an email alert the very next day saying that an application to transfer her property had been made. Ms Anderson knew nothing about this and contacted Land Registry’s property fraud reporting line. On investigation, they found that the application had been made by Ms Anderson’s father and contained evidence claiming to show that Ms Anderson’s identity had been checked by a solicitor. Ms Anderson claimed she had never been to see this solicitor and denied signing any transfer of her property. She also alleged that her father was intercepting her mail and at one time had taken her passport. When the Land Registry contacted the solicitor concerned, he confirmed he had met someone claiming to be Ms Anderson but who, it turned out, must have been an imposter. ‘As a result of Ms Anderson contacting Land Registry, we formally notified Ms Anderson’s father of her objection to his application. As we didn’t receive any response from him, we cancelled his application. This allowed Ms Anderson to proceed with selling her property as she had planned to do,’ said Salvin. Property fraud can happen in many ways. For example, fraudsters may steal someone’s identity and attempt to gain ownership of a property by using forged documents. The fraudsters may then raise money by mortgaging the property without the owner’s knowledge before disappearing with the money, leaving the owner to deal with the consequences. Land Registry has stopped fraud on properties worth more than £70 million since 2009. Those wishing to join will need to set up an online account with Land Registry which is free They will then be able to monitor up to 10 registered properties in England and Wales. Email alerts will be sent when there is certain activity on the property and people can then judge whether or not the activity is suspicious and if they should seek further advice. People who are not online can also sign up for Property Alert by calling… Continue reading

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First time buyers lending in Scotland up 23% last year

Lending for homes in Scotland fell in the final quarter of 2014 but there were more mortgages going to first time buyers compared to the same period the year before. The latest data from the Council of Mortgage Lenders shows that overall lending was up 23% last year but mortgages fell at the end of the year. Scotland accounted for 6.6% of UK wide annual house purchase activity, down from 6.9% in 2013. Lenders advanced 27,700 loans to first time buyers in Scotland totaling £2.9 billion, 16% up in volume compared to 2013, and 23% up in value. A breakdown of the figures show that there were 7,000 first time buyer loans in Scotland, worth £750m. This was down compared to the third quarter 5% by value and 4% by volume. Compared to the fourth quarter of 2013, the number of loans increased by 3% and the amount borrowed by 9%. There were 8,000 loans to home movers, valued at, £1.2 billion, down 8% in volume and down 9% in value compared to the third quarter. Compared to the fourth quarter of 2013, there was a decrease of 8% in volume and a decrease of 5% in value. The total number of remortgage loans declined in the fourth quarter to 5,700 loans at £650 million, which was down 3% in volume but unchanged in value on the third quarter. Compared to the fourth quarter of 2013, activity was down 17% in volume and 13% in value. First time buyer affordability changed slightly in Scotland quarter on quarter with first time buyers typically borrowing 2.90 times their gross income, less than the 2.94 income multiple in the third quarter and less than the UK average of 3.38. The typical loan size for first time buyers was £97,200 in the fourth quarter, down from £98,600 in the previous quarter. The typical gross income of a first time buyer household was £33,965 compared to £33,520 in the third quarter. The relatively low level of interest rates saw first time buyers' payment burden remaining relatively low in the third quarter at 16.8% of gross income being spent to cover capital and interest payments, higher than the third quarter's 17.3%. Home mover affordability changed fractionally, with home movers typically borrowing 2.64 times their gross income compared 2.62 in the third quarter and to 3.03 for the UK overall. The typical loan size for home movers was £128,244 in fourth quarter, down from £130,000 in the previous quarter. The typical gross household income of a home mover was £50,773 in fourth quarter compared to £50,971 in the third quarter. Home movers' payment burden remained relatively low in Scotland at 16.5% of gross income being spent to cover monthly capital and interest payments, less than the 16.9% in the third quarter and considerably less than the 18.4% UK average. Overall for 2014, remortgage lending in Scotland was 23,400 loans reflecting a value of £2.6 billion. This was 14% down in volume compared to 2013,… Continue reading

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