Tag Archives: housing
Annual sales up 15% in Scotland but prices down 0.4%, latest index shows
Annual home sales in Scotland jumped 15% in September but prices slipped by 0.4%, slowing the annual change to 5.1%, according to the latest index. That taxes the average price of a house in Scotland to £163,630, the data from the LSL Property Services/Acadata report shows. Prices dropped at the top end of the market in two of the most expensive areas in the country, Edinburgh and Aberdeenshire, down 1.3% and 1.2% respectively. ‘Following almost a year of fair winds and steadfast price rises, this is the second month in succession to muddy the waters. Edinburgh and Aberdeenshire saw the tide turn, reflecting the ripples in evidence in prime central areas of London, as the top tier of the housing market experiences the keenest downturn,’ said Christine Campbell, regional managing director of Your Move. The report says that while Scottish house prices have increased by nearly £8,000 in the last 12 months overall, the rate of annual growth has eased back to 5.1% in September from 5.8% in August. Since June, the monthly pace of house price growth has slowed and this is put down to the referendum vote on independence which put the brakes on activity in the housing market. ‘However, these shifts we’re seeing on the surface haven’t uprooted the solid foundations of the recovery, with average house prices across 81% of Scotland higher than a year previously,’ explained Campbell. East Renfrewshire led the way in terms of annual price growth, with property values soaring 13.4% in the year to September 2014, and new price peaks were reached in East Lothian and Aberdeen. Indeed, the price of a detached home in Aberdeen has risen by an average £15,000 over the last three months, to total £410,000. ‘September also saw sales snap back after the vote put the lid on uncertainty, and transactions were up 15% year on year, compared to only 7% growth over the 12 months to August. After the ground that was lost in August, renewed demand saw more vigorous activity buck the usual seasonal pattern, and this was the strongest September for house sales in seven years,’ Campbell pointed out. Continue reading
Public land could deliver as many as two million new homes in England
Up to two million new homes could be delivered on public sector land holdings in England to help with the current housing crisis, according to a new analysis from real estate adviser Savills. The firm’s estimate is based on detailed analysis of public records of the Central Government Estate and the land holdings of the Greater London Authority (GLA) as well as market knowledge of the potential for development on NHS and Local Authority land. It is widely recognised that England is facing a housing crisis and that surplus or underused public land could play a vital role in delivering new homes, which are currently being built at only half the rate needed to accommodate the country’s growing population. However, the analysis report points out that a lack of transparency regarding the totality of these assets remains a major drawback in assessing the full potential, despite huge progress by the Government in this area, and limited public data currently makes it impossible to conduct a comprehensive analysis of all public land. The public estate held by central and local government in England is worth £370 billion according to figures from the Cabinet Office, but there is little clarity regarding what form these assets take. The Savills residential research team has conducted detailed analysis of 250,000 hectares of land held by the Central Government estate in England, for which data is available. The team estimates that 13,000 hectares (5%) are most suitable for residential development and that these sites could deliver 600,000 homes. Further analysis of assets held by the Greater London Authority (GLA) shows there is space for at least an additional 100,000 homes, bringing the known potential to 700,000 homes. However, these sites are only part of the public land story. A lack of data means that large parts of public land holdings are impossible to measure. NHS and Local Authority land, which Savills was not able to include in its analysis, has significant potential. In the absence of public records, the capacity of Local Authority land is not clear, but the firm estimates that this might be around one million, if assets are actively managed and estate densities are increased. Similarly, little data is available regarding NHS Land. However, based on market experience the firm knows that these sites include many prime developable locations with scope for intensification. Hence Savills best estimate for the number of additional homes that could be delivered through the reconfiguration and intensification of operational sites within the NHS estate could be 300,000. NHS Property Services, which controls just 11% of the whole estate, released 24 hectares of surplus land between April 2013 and July 2014 alone. ‘Big strides have been made to provide data on Central Government holdings but we urgently need to achieve a similar register of assets held by Local Authorities and NHS bodies,’ said Robert Grundy, head of housing, Savills housing division. ‘Only then will we be in a position to accurately assess the full potential both for… Continue reading
October saw a further dip in property valuations in the UK, latest research shows
The UK housing market has now cooled following a pick-up in valuations activity in September with October seeing the total number of valuations fall by 20%, new data shows. However, on an annual basis, housing market activity decreased by 10%, an improvement from a slightly steeper fall of 12% over the 12 months to September 2014, according to the latest report from Connells Survey & Valuation. ‘While the housing market is now less animated than in September, the slowdown is broadly in line with seasonal expectations and is not an alarm bell. On average, we have seen a 16% drop from September to October every year since 2010,’ said the firm’s Corporate Services Director. But he pointed out that beyond seasonal factors, there are other things contributing to this slowdown. ‘The introduction of stricter policies designed to restrain uncontrolled growth and protect against a return to the property bubble of 2008 have tempered the housing market. For instance the recent loan to income cap which came into force in October seems to have had a considerable impact,’ he explained. ‘We may see a further seasonal lull in the housing market as we approach the holiday season. And looking further ahead, the General Election in May 2015 is also likely to bring increased caution with the prospect of policy uncertainty,’ he added. The research report also shows that buy to let performed the strongest with a noticeably small annual dip of 7% compared to the rest of the market. Even on a month on month basis this section of the housing market did better than the others with the smallest drop of 17% since September. ‘Buy to let was the strongest performing sector in a clear indication that lenders are focusing on low risk investors as a result of increased regulation. Policies like loan to income caps have introduced stricter lending rules but crucially do not apply to the buy to let sector. There are now an array of competitive rates out there, especially on low LTVs,’ said Bagshaw. First time buyer valuations made up almost a third of total activity in October but the number of valuations for first time buyers was still down 18% compared to the previous month, and 11% lower on an annual basis. Other owner occupiers moving home saw a month on month dip of 21%, as well as the biggest annual drop of 16% compared to October 2013. ‘While Help to Buy has supported many first time buyers to get on the property ladder, other new policies have introduced fresh limits to promote responsible lending. These new caps seem to have affected first time buyers and home movers the most,’ Bagshaw said. ‘The impact of Stamp Duty on buyers is also not to be ignored. Though it has been a permanent feature of the housing market for a while, the prospect of a hefty tax bill… Continue reading
