Tag Archives: housing
Property sales in England and Wales surged in October, according to latest index
The property market in England and Wales has shrugged off the general slowdown as sales surged 9% in October, according to the latest LSL/Acadata house price index. Prices were up 0.7% in October and 10.5% year on year but this annual figure drops to 5% if data from London and the South East is excluded. It takes the average house price to £277,390 and average house prices across England and Wales have reached a new record for the sixteenth successive month. The data also shows an uplift in activity outside of London has helped drive the highest number of completed home sales in seven years but prices have fallen at the top end of the London market. ‘This increased level of house sale completions marks a considerable, though laborious, reflection of the increased buyer activity earlier in the year since the recession zapped the energy from the market,’ said David Newnes, director of Reeds Rains and Your Move estate agents. ‘October saw the highest level of house sales completed in a month since November 2007. In part this was driven by a better throughput of sales that had sat in the pipeline for some time, finally coming through to completion,’ he explained. ‘On a monthly basis, house price inflation has edged up from just a 0.3% increase in September, as we see some modest growth. Recent hiccups in the market have not shaken the overall underlying stability and the average UK home owner has seen the value of their property rise £26,500 or 10.5%) in the past year,’ he explained. He also pointed out that the biggest uplift in completions in the third quarter of 2014 compared to the same period of 2013 has been witnessed outside of London. Indeed, completed house sales in both the West Midlands and East Midlands have risen 22%, while in London house sale completions are up by just 3% over the same period. In regions such as the North and East Anglia, which saw average house prices slump during September, further growth in activity is critical to warm up the local recovery. First time buyers in particular need shielding from any future cooling interventions from the government or Bank of England. However, the regions have seen a more complex path of growth. Only three regions saw house prices set peak highs. These were the South West, South East, and London as the recovery continues to advance with a Southern leaning slant. ‘If we omit London and the South East from our calculations, a milder 5% annual change in property prices emerges. Yet at the very top end of the housing market in prime central areas of London, growth is subsiding. Average house prices across London overall rose by only 0.4% in September, the smallest monthly increase the capital has seen for 15 months as the pace of price inflation cools down from the summer heat,’ said Newnes. ‘Property prices have dropped in six out of the seven most expensive boroughs over… Continue reading
Interest rates and property tax concerns impacting prime central London market
Concerns around interest rates and property taxes have impacted on sentiment within the prime central London residential market, it is claimed. The latest market commentary report from W.A. Ellis says that sentiment within the housing market often reflects the mood of the overall economy and this has resulted in demand falling over the last four months. Richard Barber, director of W.A.Ellis, pointed out that this coincides with the Bank of England’s ‘sabre rattling’ over raising interest rates and increasing taxes on property, particularly those with a high capital value or owned by foreign investors. ‘This, coupled with the run-up to what must be the most property centric general election that we have experienced, is what is now bringing swift realism to our previously bullish market,’ he said. ‘The prime central London market is undoubtedly slower, and the usual withdrawals from the market are becoming more apparent as discretionary sellers now wait and see the result of the general election. Purchasers are also more wary of paying last spring’s frothy prices,’ he explained. ‘There are many factors influencing our market, both negative and positive but undoubtedly higher property taxation, stronger sterling and a fear of the politically unknown has had a cooling effect,’ he added. This has influenced the firm’s more restrained prediction of 1.5% growth within the prime central London market through 2015. ‘More positively, we expect to see 4% growth within the central London new development market and the interest generated from the third phase of the Battersea Power Station development is indicative of the sustainable growth we foresee within this sector,’ said Barber. ‘Furthermore, our research predicts stronger growth in prime central London from 2016 to 2019, once political uncertainty and potential increased taxation has been absorbed, culminating in a predicted rate of growth of nearly 20% from 2015 to 2019,’ he added. In the sector’s lettings market Lucy Morton, director and head of agency, explained that the end of the month has seen the release of third quarter research results from Lonres, the agents’ intranet, which have confirmed that the recovery in the central London rental market that began earlier in the year has continued, boosted by the positive state of both the UK and London economies. There were 43% more properties let in the third quarter of 2014 than in the previous quarter, although this is still 4.6% less than in the third quarter of 2013. ‘While demand from tenants for properties has increased, stock levels have eased back. There were 9.5% fewer properties available to let across central London in the third quarter of 2014 compared to the same quarter in 2013,’ she said. ‘Demand is out stripping supply at the lower levels of the market but there is more of a balance in the middle tier of the market, with the most choice for tenants with budgets from £1,000 to £2,000 per week,’ she pointed out. ‘Competition for properties has increased rents over the last quarter indicating an optimistic outlook… Continue reading
Property price growth in Australia easing to a more sustainable level
Home price growth in Australia eased again during the September 2014 quarter but are up 9.1% compared to a year ago, the latest data from the Australian Bureau of Statistics show. Sydney continues to drive residential property price increases with the Residential Property Price Index (RPPI) for Sydney up 2.7% in the September quarter of 2014 and 14.6% in the previous year. As well as the rise in Sydney, the RPPI rose in Melbourne, Brisbane, Adelaide and Hobart by 1%, and by 0.3% in Darwin and Canberra. Perth was the only city to show a decrease in prices with the RPPI decreasing 0.1%. The total value of Australia's 9.4 million residential dwellings increased to $5.3 trillion. The mean price of dwellings in Australia is now $563,100, an increase of $8,300 over the quarter. Established house prices for Sydney rose 3.2% and attached dwelling prices rose 1.8% while overall the RPPI for the weighted average of the eight capital cities rose 1.5% in the September quarter of 2014 and 9.1% in the previous year. This includes growth of 9.2% in established house prices and an 8.5% increase in attached dwelling prices over the year. The figures indicate that price growth is easing to a much more sustainable rate, according to Shane Garrett, senior economist at the Housing Industry Association (HIA). ‘The annual rate of home price growth nationally is back in single figures for the first time in a year. At the same time, new home building is stretching to its busiest year in two decades. This is no coincidence,’ he explained. ‘Clearly, the housing industry has risen to the challenge in terms of seeking to meet Australia’s increased housing requirements. However, capacity is bursting at the seams. Any home builder will tell you of the difficulties in sourcing crucial trades like bricklayers, at a time when training budgets in the industry are being slashed by government,’ he added. Garrett also pointed out that the situation around residential land supply is also stifling new home building. It is important that federal and state governments ease the bureaucracy around the release and development of land for new housing. This will help ensure that strong dwelling price pressures do not emerge again in future,’ said Garrett. ABS figures also show that new home lending reached a fresh high for the cycle in the September 2014 quarter, reaching its highest level in 20 years. But Harley Dale, HIA chief economist, said that the aggregate number of loans for first home buyers is still very low from a historical perspective. ‘Policy reform is vital to turning this situation around and needs to be aimed at the excessive and inefficient taxes and regulation levied on housing. First home buyer loans reached conspicuous troughs in the early months of 2011, 2013, and 2014, although these levels were 12% higher than the record low in the early 1990’s recession. Loan numbers have only lifted by 5.1% from this latest 2014 trough,’ he explained. The total number… Continue reading
