Tag Archives: housing
Home building reaches a new high in Australia
This year has seen a record number of new homes being built in Australia, according to the latest outlook report from the Housing Industry Association. However, the growth in new residential construction has been slower to gather momentum and breadth in terms of both geographical location and dwelling type, it says. According to HIA chief economist, Dr Harley Dale, this means that the ‘look and feel’ of this building cycle is different to historical experience. ‘In aggregate, we will commence nearly 190,000 new dwellings in 2014, surpassing the previous record of 187,000 back in 1994,’ said Dale. ‘The momentum culminating in this milestone has provided a substantial boost to Australia’s economy at a crucial juncture in the cycle. Below trend economic growth and weak labour market outcomes would be considerably worse without the reach a new home building recovery is exerting into the broader economy,’ he explained. He pointed out that against this backdrop the HIA believes it is unfortunate that policy makers have failed to grasp the reform initiative required to compliment record low borrowing costs and send new home building levels higher still in 2015 and 2016. ‘Australia’s economic growth and labour market performance will be weaker than otherwise as a consequence of this lack of policy action. Record low borrowing costs have combined with other factors such as high net overseas migration to unleash substantial pent-up demand for new housing,’ said Dale. ‘These factors will keep the level of new homes commenced at historically elevated levels. However, what the economy needs is further growth in new home building over the next couple of years, but that will only occur as a consequence of taxation and regulatory reform,’ he pointed out. ‘It is still an impressive achievement to build a record number of new homes, at a level that approaches what the average build rate will have to be if we are to adequately house our growing and ageing population in coming decades,’ he said. He explained that renovations investment has not joined the new housing ride this cycle, increasing by only 0.3% in 2013/2014 from a decade low. ‘Unemployment concerns, a lack of available credit, and an elevated household savings rate are but three elements in the current environment which mean there has not been room for a renovations recovery alongside new home building activity and existing property price growth,’ said Dale. But he pointed out that that situation looks to be slowly changing as growth of 0.9% in renovations investment in 2014/2015 is forecast to accelerate to 2% growth in the subsequent three years. ‘That would be a great outcome, but it is a long road back for this important sector of Australia’s domestic economy,’ Dale concluded. Continue reading
Equity release from UK homes going on improvements, study finds
The main reason home owners in the UK are choosing to unlock money from their property is to fund home improvements, new research suggests. Equity release lending has reached £1 billion so far this year and the need to renovate is the reason almost half ,48%, of all LV= equity release customers have taken out a loan. However customers are more likely to be making essential modifications such as widening doorways for wheelchair access or installing a stair lift than adding a conservatory or loft extension. The research also shows that people are using equity release to relieve pressure on the purse strings. The figures for the year to date reveal that 15% of the firm’s equity release customers wanted to use the money to top up their retirement income, with a further 9% wanting to clear an outstanding mortgage and other existing debts and loans. Financial necessity has driven much of the demand for equity release. However, treating or helping out family also remains a common reason for choosing equity release, with 10% stating this as their motivation. Whilst using the freed up equity for a holiday accounted for 6% of applications. ‘Whilst home improvements continues to be the most popular reason for using equity release, market growth is also being driven by the need to meet and reduce financial commitments,’ said Vanessa Owen, head of annuities and equity release at LV=. ‘With the reality of living on a low pension income hitting home for many retirees, it makes sense that many wish to unlock the cash tied up in their properties. At retirement, someone’s largest asset is usually their house and for those retirees who wish to stay in the home that they love, then equity release is a solution worth considering,’ she explained. She pointed out that this year’s Budget announcement gives new retirees more flexibility as to how they take their pension, but they will still see their income drop when making the transition from working to retirement. ‘As a result we are likely to see demand for equity release grow as those with small pots look to fund their later years. It is essential that retirees consider all their options and that equity release is considered alongside other retirement income solutions so that they are able to effectively plan for the future,’ she added. Continue reading
House price recovery spreads out in UK, but growth is slowing, says Hometrack index
The top 20 cities in the UK are all registering annual house price growth of 5% or more for the first time in a decade, according to a new index. It is a sign that the housing recovery is spreading, however upward price momentum is slowing, Hometrack’s UK Cities House Price Index shows. It also points out that the annual house price growth is more than three times the current growth in average UK earnings which is 1.3% and explains that pent up demand has fed back into the market supported by low mortgage rates and a pick up in the economy. However, there is clear evidence that the upward pressure on house price is starting to slow on weaker demand for housing. In the last three months, average UK house prices have grown by 0.6% per month compared to 1.1% in the three months to May 2014. The majority of cities are now starting to show signs of a deceleration in the underlying rate of growth but cities with the lowest growth in Spring 2014 such as Glasgow, Edinburgh and Newcastle, have recorded an acceleration as house prices rise off a low base. This latest analysis shows that 11 cities have an average house price below that of the UK with Liverpool and Glasgow house prices 41% lower than the UK average. However, London bucks the trend with an average house price of more than double that of the UK at 117%, illustrating how the capital dominates the rest of the country and is distorting the national picture. The Cities Index also showed a post-referendum bounce in house prices in Edinburgh and Glasgow as confidence improves with average prices up 4.1% and 2.2% respectively in the last quarter. However the market in Aberdeen was down 2% in last quarter and the report says it is being impacted by a weak oil price with house prices declining off a high base. Oxford and Cambridge have seen average prices come off the boil quite sharply in the last three months with a fall of 1.2% and 2.3% respectively, with house prices starting to fall back after very strong gains of 42% and 52% in the last four years. The firm says that these smaller cities are seeing pricing levels respond more quickly to weaker demand. ‘The pick-up in house prices that started two years ago has spread across all UK cities with growth ranging from 5.5% in Liverpool and Glasgow to 18% in London. This latest analysis shows that momentum in house price increases is starting to slow with less pent up demand for housing than two years ago,’ said Richard Donnell, research director at Hometrack. ‘Whilst mortgage rates remain low, new mortgage affordability tests and loan to income caps are impacting on the ability of marginal buyers to access the market, especially in the higher value markets such as London. On top of this, concerns over… Continue reading
