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European commercial property investment activity at highest since 2007

Commercial property investment activity in Europe reached its highest level since 2007, totalling €102.5 billion in the first half of 2015, the latest market analysis report shows. The investment volume across the 16 participating countries was 25% up on the same period last year, according to the European Investment Briefing report from international real estate advisor Savills. The firm says that in line with its quarter one forecasts, the European investment market is on track to top €230 billion by the end of this year as commercial property investors continue to favour core markets, with the UK, Germany and France still accounting for 67.8% of the total volume. ‘However, the share of the markets outside of the top three countries is increasing, due to stronger investor interest for non-core countries, which offer attractive pricing and supply of large assets and portfolios,’ said Lydia Brissy, director at Savills’ European research team. ‘Overall, investors are more open to move up the risk curve. They seek future yield compression by targeting secondary or alternative assets in core cities, or prime assets in secondary markets,’ she added. The report shows that the office sector continued to dominate the investment activity in most countries across Europe, capturing about 39% of the transaction volume per country on average. The only exceptions where retail properties accounted for a higher share of property investment deals were Germany at 42%, Finland at 43%, the Netherlands also at 43%, Norway at 62% and Portugal at 83%, which saw the sale of large scale retail portfolios in the past quarter. Savills has also reported that cross border investment increased in nearly all countries across Europe and especially in the peripheral markets, where US investors have been notably active. There has also been growing interest from investors from Asia Pacific and the Middle East. The share of non-domestic investment ranged from 10% in Sweden to over 80% in markets such as Italy, Poland and Portugal. Marcus Lemli, head of European Investment at Savills, explained that international investors have continued to drive up volumes, particularly the equity funds from the US, which have been acquiring retail portfolios or landmark office buildings. This has enabled some of the more peripheral countries to record the strongest rises in investment volumes over the first six months of 2015, notably Portugal at 720%, Norway at 391% and Italy at 154%. In the second quarter of 2015 the share of US money invested out of the cross border volume has been remarkable, according to the report, averaging 40% per country, and accounting for as much as 93% in Portugal, and 66% in Ireland. ‘With healthy investor interest, Europe has seen a shift towards larger transactions. The most significant rises in portfolio deals were noted in Germany and the Nordic markets and consequently, there has been a marked uplift in activity in the regional markets,’ said Lemli. In the first half of this year, the volume of investment in regional markets rose to more than… Continue reading

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UK govt announces changes to shake up house planning and get more homes built

A series of planning reforms announced today by the UK government aimed at boosting house building have been widely welcomed by the property and construction industries Under the changes planning permission will be granted automatically for homes on brownfield sites, even over ruling wishes of local authorities in England. But experts warned that councils will not like the move although they have been heavily criticised for not creating local plans and taking too long to make decisions. Ministers will also get powers to seize disused land which is suitable for houses and major housing projects are set to be fast tracked through the planning system. There will be penalties for local authorities that make 50% or fewer planning decisions on time in a bid to inject some speed into the planning process. The rules on extensions in London are to be relaxed in terms of building upwards to match neighbouring levels and the Mayors of London and Manchester are to get power over planning in their cities. The British Property Federation (BPF) said the changes have the potential to be an enormous boon to housing supply but it warned that some of the new measures will only work if the government addresses the severe shortage of funds within local authority planning departments. The BPF also urged the government not to over focus on providing new homes for sale and pointed out that there is also a need for more purpose built rental accommodation in order to combat the housing shortage and deliver a more balanced housing market. Melanie Leech, chief executive of the BPF, British Property Federation, called for a dialogue with both the public and private sectors on how to address the severe shortage of funds which is afflicting local planning departments. ‘The private sector will need to play a part in helping to address this funds shortage, and this needs to be explored fully if we want these new measures to work. We would also have liked to have seen some commitment to growing the purpose built rental sector, which has an important part to play in solving the housing crisis and creating a balanced housing market,’ she said. ‘We warmly welcome the government’s recognition of how a functioning and efficient planning system can contribute to the UK’s growth by creating not just new homes, but also the infrastructure that supports great places,’ she added. Leech explained that a lack of dynamism among local authorities on Local Plans should be addressed by the government being able to intervene. ‘Local Plans are fundamental to growth, and we are firm believers in a plan led system. There are still areas, however, without a Local Plan in place, and so we are pleased to see that government is taking steps to ensure that plans are delivered in a timely fashion,’ she said. ‘A number of recalcitrant local authorities have been dragging their feet and producing bloated local plans that are overly long and simply… Continue reading

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Economic crisis not affecting interest in Greek property, it is suggested

Estate agents are seeing a steady stream of enquiries about property in Greece, especially at the high end, but prospective holiday home buyers might want to adopt a wait and see approach due to the current financial crisis in the country. One agent seeing demand is Chestertons International which has found that so far the property market has proved to be stable and in particular, the island of Mykonos continues to grow in popularity. ‘If clients are not looking primarily for investment but want to own a second lifestyle property, then Greece continues to offer everything that it has always had to offer. If, however, clients are looking for future investment they will need to take into account both the economic environment and the ultimate currency that Greece might use,’ said Neville Page director of International at Chestertons. He explained that it is currently difficult to predict the final outcome of the negotiations between Greece and its European partners, but opinion seems to be becoming polarised between either Greek remaining in the Eurozone or re-establishing its own currency. ‘If Greece remains in the euro we would be very optimistic about property markets in the short term, particularly with the currency fluctuations in the euro we have seen in 2015, meaning new UK based investors can get more for their pounds,’ Page explained. ‘In the event that Greece was to adopt a different currency, there would be the strong risk of devaluation in the short term. However, this could provide a buying opportunity for the brave investor who recognises the enduring long term appeal of Greece,’ he added. Louise Reynolds, director of overseas property agency Property Venture, believes that if Greece introduces a new local currency, in all likelihood it would depreciate immediately. ‘The International Monetary Fund (IMF), has in the past predicted Greece would need a devaluation of at least 20% against the Eurozone average, just to balance its current account. Such devaluation would increase Greek competitiveness, but would have huge legal ramifications with regard to the existing debt owed to Europe and the IMF,’ she said. ‘The danger lies with the capital flows, which are the biggest unknown. The world’s central banks will do their utmost, as they did during 2008, to prevent financial meltdown or contain the damage through a range of mechanisms such as bank capitalisation, foreign currency swaps, and potentially capital controls,’ she added. She thinks property buyers in Greece and home owners may want to make sure they have access to money in an international bank, given the capital controls in place. ‘If Greece leaves the Eurozone, it is likely that savings in the state-controlled banks would be converted into local currency which are likely to be worthless. It is also likely that a mortgage could be converted into local currency so mortgage holders could benefit if there is a devaluation-effect,’ she added. Those who already own property have seen lettings… Continue reading

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