TSI
UK residential sales down 2.8% month on month but up almost 10% year on year
Residential property sales in the UK fell by 2.8% between December 2015 and January 2016, according to the latest data published by HMRC, the UK’s taxman. However, the seasonally adjusted sales figure is 9.7% higher compared with the same month last year, with transactions reaching 105,940. Doug Crawford, chief executive officer of My Home Move, believes that it is significant than January sales are up considerably year on year. ‘This could be accredited to a spike in purchases by additional home buyers looking to escape the rise in stamp duty, set to be introduced in April. This may continue to provide a short term boost for a matter of weeks,’ he said. ‘However, we are now explaining to new clients that it is too late to guarantee completion before 01 April. Looking ahead, the question is whether the market will sustain this level of activity. Supply is likely to be the biggest constraint, so new house building will remain critical,’ he added. However, the figures are published as property experts are being asked what effect the newly announced referendum on the UK’s position in the European Union might have on housing markets. According to Peter Rollings, CEO of Marsh & Parsons, sales activity often cools in times of political uncertainty and the London housing market usually bears the brunt of it. ‘First and foremost, foreign investors may be more tentative given this latest turn in events, especially as it follows hot on the heels of higher Stamp Duty for million pound properties,’ he said. ‘But history shows us that the market recovered quickly from this short term ambiguity in 2015 and in fact, home sales have really been building momentum over the past year. The property market is chock a block with eager buyers, who are being propelled on by cheap mortgage finance and government support schemes,’ he explained. ‘Given the extent of buyer demand, it’s a great time for existing home owners to be thinking about their next step up the ladder, which should drive further purchase activity. For investors, the change in Stamp Duty for second homeowners in April will be an incentive to make purchases quickly over the next month,’ he added. ‘It remains to be seen how much of an impact the EU referendum will have on these current levels of confidence but go or stay, London remains an attractive safe haven in times of uncertainty,’ he concluded. According to real estate services firm Savills the fact that the referendum has been announced now means that the relatively long lead in should minimise the potential impact on property market. ‘We’ve already seen a number of short-term factors impact investors’ sentiment this year, however appetite for UK property remains healthy. Chinese investors remain active in the market and negative interest rates in Japan will also benefit global real estate,’ said Mark Ridley, Savills chief executive officer UK and Europe. ‘As we saw in the run up to the 2015 General Election, one of… Continue reading
Prime property sales rise in Italy with prices up in areas popular with overseas buyers
The prime residential property market in Italy has turned a corner with viewings and sales increasing in 2015, new research shows. The weak euro and a growing realisation that prices are at, or close to, their floor has boosted buyer confidence, according to a new analysis from international real estate firm Knight Frank. Across key second home destinations price performance has converged with annual growth ranging from 2.1% in Venice) to a fall of 3% in Sardinia in 2015. The report says that market confidence is strengthening and residential sales increased by 7% in 2015 and the outlook is helped by the fact that Italy’s consumer confidence index is up 39% since its low in 2012. In 2015 the number of enquiries from buyers looking for an Italian property jumped 57% year on year and Tuscany continues to generate the most interest but Liguria and the Italian Lakes from Como to Maggiore are increasingly on buyers’ radar. The report also points out that in the last two years, the Euro has slipped from 0.83 to 0.73 against the pound and from 1.38 to 1.09 against the dollar providing British and US buyers with a strong buying incentive in Italy. A breakdown of the figures shows that in Venice prime property prices increased by 2.1% in 2015 and Dutch, Italian and French buyers are most numerous there, preferring waterside apartments. In Florence, another popular destination for overseas buyers, prices increased by 2% last year and the bulk of buyers are from the UK, Belgium and Canada while prices are also up, by 1.5%, in Liguria which is popular with buyers from Italy, Switzerland and Sweden. Prices increased by 0.2% in the Italian Lakes where all types of properties are sought after by buyers from Italy, the UK and Russia. Prices also increased by 0.3% in Rome with buyers from Italy, Germany and Russia. Elsewhere in places popular with overseas buyers prices fell in 2015, led by a decline of 3% in Sardinia with most buyers coming from Germany, Italy and the UK. They fell by 2% in Umbria which is popular with buyers from the United States, Germany and the UK. Prices fell by 1.9% in Milan where buyers from Italy, China and Egypt opt for apartments. Prices also fell by 1% in Tuscany with buyers from the UK, Germany and the Netherlands also looking for rustic renovations projects as well as apartments and houses. Looking ahead the firm expects prices to stay level. ‘We don’t see immediate rises or substantial drops on the horizon. What we are seeing is a return to the long term trusted locations,’ said Rupert Fawcett, head of Knight Frank’s Italian Department. He explained that at the market’s peak, buyers looked to regions such as Le Marche, and Abruzzo for greater value for money. With prices having dropped across the board since 2009 and now resting at about 30% below their peak, Chianti is back in favour, along with Lucca and… Continue reading
Average rents in Scotland up 2.3% year on year
Average rents in Scotland increased by 2.3% year on year in January but remained static month on month at £548, according to the latest index figures. However, the average figure is being distorted by high increases in some regions such as Edinburgh and the Lothians where rents were up by 6.4%, the buy to let index from lettings agent Your Move shows. Meanwhile, rents in the East of Scotland were 1.7% lower than a year ago and they fell by 0.2% year on year in Glasgow. The index also shows that slower house price growth is hampering landlord returns with a fall of 5.8% in the year to January but arrears have improved with 11.1% tenants late paying, the lowest level since July 2015. Previously, arrears surged over the autumn to reach a record high of 13.8% in October 2015, before beginning to improve. However, tenant’s finances remain in worse shape than 12 months ago. In January 2015 as little as 7.1% of all rent due was late. A breakdown of the figures show that in January 2016, rents in Edinburgh and the Lothians were 6.4% or £38 higher than a year ago, the fastest annual rent rise on record. This is nearly three times quicker than average rent growth across the whole of Scotland. On average, across Scotland as a whole rents climbed 2.3% in the 12 months to January 2016, equal to £12 in absolute terms. This is only slightly faster than 2.2% in the 12 months from December, though represents an annual acceleration compared to the 1.3% annual lift recorded in January 2015. ‘In different parts of Scotland, powerful interplays between supply and demand are shaping the regional rent patterns that are emerging. In popular cities like Edinburgh where the jobs market is hottest the competition to find homes means tenants have to act quickly. As a result, we’re seeing exceptional rent growth in some parts of the country while in others, lettings market activity is much calmer,’ said Brian Moran, lettings director at Your Move Scotland. ‘However there’s also another ingredient added to the mix now. The private rented sector is in a state of uncertainty, as landlords wait with baited breath while the Private Tenancies Bill progresses through the Scottish Parliament. Nervous landlords may be acting now before their hands are tied, and they lose control of the rent they can charge. This could have prevented a seasonal dip between January and December instead of the steady picture we have seen,’ he explained. ‘Encouragingly, the latest rent rises are underpinned by good news. We should also be looking at tenants’ bottom line. Arrears are falling which speaks volumes for affordability right now. With rents below their price peak, many tenants have been seizing the opportunity to move out of season, while good deals are available,’ he added. On a regional basis three of the five regions of… Continue reading
