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Existing home sales in the United States are 11% higher than a year ago

Existing home sales in the United States crept up in January to the highest annual rate in six months, and sales are now 11% higher than a year ago. The data from the National Association of Realtors shows that the West was the only region to see a decline in sales in January after a nationwide rise of 0.4% compared to December. The median existing home price for all housing types in January was $213,800, up 8.2% from January 2015, the largest rise since April 2015 and the 47th consecutive month of year on year gains. Lawrence Yun, NAR chief economist, said it was the largest year on year gain since July 2013. ‘The housing market has shown promising resilience in recent months, but home prices are still rising too fast because of ongoing supply constraints,’ he pointed out. ‘Despite the global economic slowdown, the housing sector continues to recover and will likely help the US economy avoid a recession,’ he added. Total housing inventory at the end of January increased 3.4% to 1.82 million existing homes available for sale, but is still 2.2% lower than a year ago. Unsold inventory is at a four month supply at the current sales pace, up slightly from 3.9 months in December 2015. ‘The spring buying season is right around the corner and current supply levels aren't even close to what's needed to accommodate the subsequent growth in housing demand. Home prices ascending near or above double digit appreciation aren't healthy, especially considering the fact that household income and wages are barely rising,’ Yun explained. The share of first time buyers remained at 32% in January for the second consecutive month and is up from 28% a year ago. First time buyers in all of 2015 represented an average of 30%, up from 29% in both 2014 and 2013. All cash sales were 26% of transactions in January, up from 24% in December 2015 but down from 27% a year ago. Individual investors, who account for many cash sales, purchased 17% of homes in January compared to 15% in December 2015, matching the highest share since last January. Some 67% of investors paid cash in January. Properties typically stayed on the market for 64 days in January, an increase from 58 days in December but below the 69 days in January 2015. Short sales were on the market the longest at a median of 77 days in January, while foreclosures sold in 57 days and non-distressed homes took 61 days and 32% of homes sold in January were on the market for less than a month. Distressed sales, that is foreclosures and short sales, rose slightly to 9% in January, up from 8% in December but down from 11 a year ago. Some 7% of January sales were foreclosures and 2% were short sales. Foreclosures sold for an average discount of 13% below market value in January compared to 16% in December, while short… Continue reading

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Home lending in Scotland up in 2015, but tailed off at end of year

More first time buyers took out a loan for a home in Scotland in 2015 than in any year since 2008, the latest data shows. Home owner house purchase lending in the fourth quarter of 2015 totalled 17,200 loans, down 4% on the third quarter but up 14% in the fourth quarter 2014, according to the figures from the Council of Mortgage Lenders. A breakdown of the figures shows that first time buyers took out 8,000 loans, 2% down on the previous quarter but up 14% on the last quarter of 2014. They borrowed £870 million, down 2% on the previous quarter but up 14% on the fourth quarter 2014. Home mover lending totalled £1.4 billion, down 4% on the previous quarter but up 18% on the fourth quarter 2014. The number of loans in the period was 9,200, down 5% quarter on quarter but up 14% on year on year while remortgage lending went up by volume quarter on quarter and year on year. Annual home owner house purchase lending in Scotland totalled 64,800 loans, up 9% on 2014. This came to £8.5 billion, up 14% on 2014. First time buyers took out 30,000 loans worth £3.3 billion, up 8% by volume and 12% by value, on the previous year. Meanwhile, home movers took out 34,800 loans worth £5.2 billion, up 9% by volume and 15% by value, compared to 2014 while remortgage lending came to £3.1 billion, up 18% on 2014. This totalled 26,200 loans, up 12% on the previous year. ‘The sustained year on year growth in house purchase lending seen since 2012 continued in Scotland this quarter,’ said Linda Docherty, CML chair for Scotland. ‘This meant more first time buyers and home movers in 2015 took out a loan to purchase a home than in any year since 2008. With an economic climate of low interest rates and competitive mortgage deals, we would expect this growth in the Scottish market to continue into 2016,’ she added. Continue reading

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Buy to let investors put off by UK government tax changes

Around one in four of people in the UK who were considering investing in a buy to let property have been put off by the Government’s plan to introduce a 3% additional stamp duty and cut tax relief on their finance costs, according to new research. Overall some 9% have given up on aspirations to own a buy to let property and 14% of existing landlords say they will sell one or more of the properties in their current portfolio because of the changes. The research by online investment platform rplan also found that 30% say they are planning to invest their buy to let deposit in an ISA instead. Under the changes, the stamp duty on buying a £250,000 buy to let property will rise from £2,500 to £10,000 from April, while that for a £400,000 property will more than double from £10,000 to £22,000. Also, from 2017, the tax relief currently allowed on finance costs such as interest payments on mortgages and loans to buy furnishings will be gradually reduced over four years. Those planning to invest in buy to let were going to use savings and investments worth an average of £43,592 to buy a property. Instead, 39% of these adults will use the money to save in a cash account, 30% will invest in an ISA, 20% will put it into their pension and 13% will put it in other stock market investments. Latest figures in the Bank of England’s Credit Conditions Survey have revealed a rush for buy to let properties before the new tax is introduced. Lenders reported that demand for secured lending for house purchase increased slightly in the fourth quarter of 2015 and is expected to increase in the first quarter of 2016. But within this, demand for buy to let lending increased significantly in the last three months of 2015. ‘The British have strong faith in property as an investment and many see it as a means of providing a pension income. But the government clearly has a policy to dis-incentivise BTL and the sharp increase in landlord mortgages revealed by the Bank of England credit survey will probably be a last rush before the gate slams shut,’ said Stuart Dyer. ‘Having a buy to let property can also mean an over exposure to one asset class for many investors, who should strongly consider the alternative of investing in a diversified portfolio for the long term, especially if this can be achieved through a tax free ISA wrapper,’ he added. Continue reading

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