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First time buyers boost UK housing market activity
The UK housing market has reported healthy growth in March, on the back of a surge in first time buyer activity, new research shows. There has been a lot of talk about buy to let buyers flooding the market to beat Aprils extra stamp duty deadline, but the latest figures from Connells Survey & Valuation show that first time buyer activity in March jumped 15% compared to March 2015 and 41% compared to February 2016. In March, the total number of valuations carried out rose 8% year on year and grew by 21% month on month and this was primarily due to the first time buyer sector posting strong monthly and annual growth figures. Indeed the figures show that there was a dip in buy to let activity in March. Corporate services director John Bagshaw believes first time buyers figures have been aided by an increased uptake of Government plans designed to assist the bottom of the market. ‘The Help to Buy scheme has become more widely recognized and used by those who need a little help getting the capital together to fund a mortgage for a first home. Equally, more first time buyers are taking advantage of special first time buyer discounts on certain properties, which has helped those on lower incomes step onto the ladder,’ he explained. Remortgagors and home movers have also seen a significant boost in valuation activity in March. Total remortgaging volumes were up 25% month on month and up 33% year on year. ‘Those seeking to move up the property ladder are making solid strides this month. With home values high and continuing to increase across all parts of the country, albeit at an uneven pace, many property owners may view it as a good time to either upscale to something bigger and better or downsize and enjoy the surplus capital,’ said Bagshaw. ‘The remortgaging sector has also enjoyed an energetic March. The rates of growth have come down somewhat from what we were seeing in previous months, as those looking to remortgage to fund a second home take a step back to re-assess and absorb the stamp duty changes,’ he pointed out. ‘But with the average mortgage rate still very low and no Bank of England rate rise on the horizon many are taking advantage of the bargain rates in order to release capital on their home or switch to a better mortgage deal,’ he added. The stamp duty changes, which became effective on 01 April impacted the buy to let market in March. Valuation activity in this sector dropped by 27% between February and March 2016, as well as dipping by 36% compared to the same month a year ago. ‘The buy to let market has endured a turbulent month but we expect this to be a short term tumble, with investors adopting the standard kneejerk reaction to legislative changes by proceeding cautiously. This is particularly true for a tax increase like the stamp duty… Continue reading
UK house prices up over 10% year on year, latest index shows
Annual house price growth in the UK had edged above 10% in March with the market also seeing price growth on a monthly and quarterly basis, the latest index shows. Property prices increased 10.1% year on year, taking the average price of a home to £214,811, the data from the Halifax index shows. It also records month on month growth of 2.6% compared with February and quarterly growth of 2.9% in the first three months of 2016. But the quarterly rate of change was just below the 3% recorded in February. The annual rate of growth was higher than the 9.7% rise recorded in both January and February and has been within the 8% to 10% range for nearly the whole period since the start of 2015. The monthly increase in March more than offset February’s 1.5% fall but the index report points out that the quarter on quarter change is a more reliable indicator of the underlying trend as monthly house price changes can be volatile. Flat prices have risen more sharply than prices for other property types since 2008, according to recent separate Halifax research. The 57% increase in the average price of a flat is significantly higher than the 37% rise for all residential properties over the period. Detached homes recorded the smallest rise at 20%. Terraced and semi-detached houses saw price rises of 38% and 34% respectively. A considerable proportion of the national rise in flat values has been due to the rapid increase in flat prices in London with growth of 62%. However, flats represent a much higher share of the property market here than elsewhere. Half of sales in London are flats compared with the UK average of 17%. Worsening sentiment regarding the prospects for the UK economy and uncertainty ahead of the European referendum in June could result in some softening in the housing market over the next couple of months, according to Martin Ellis, Halifax housing economist. ‘Current market conditions, however, remain very tight with an acute supply/demand imbalance continuing despite an improvement in the number of properties coming on to the market for sale in recent months. This, together with continuing low interest rates and a healthy labour market, indicate that house price growth is set to remain robust,’ he said. Russell Quirk, chief executive of eMoov, pointed out that much of the increase in March could be due to buy to let landlords rushing to beat the introduction of an extra stamp duty tax on additional homes at the beginning of April. ‘Although it looks like good news for UK homeowners on the surface, this increase could be artificially inflated due to the stamp duty changes. When coupled with the fact that interest rates are still at a rock bottom and keeping the market buoyant, it’s hard to tell exactly how the market will go,’ he said. ‘It will be interesting to see what happens next month once the stamp duty dust has settled and… Continue reading
Sales of property in prime central London record first rise of 2016
Transaction volumes in central London’s prime property market rose in March compared to last year, the first increase in 2016, new data shows. Sales were driven by buyers trying to beat the 3% stamp duty surcharge but year on year growth slowed to 0.8%, the lowest figure for more than six years, according to the latest report from real estate firm Knight Frank. The incentive to act before the April introduction of the new stamp duty rate on additional homes was one of the reasons Knight Frank sales volumes in March exceeded last year’s figure. This bucked the trend of the first quarter of 2016, where volumes were flat in January and marginally down in February. However, the other factor at play is a marked slowdown in the rate of annual growth over the last 18 months. ‘It is the result of a series of tax changes and a preceding period of exceptional growth, which is also a topic that is increasingly covered by the media. As a result, there is a growing recognition on the part of vendors that the prime central London property market is no longer on the upwards trajectory it was in the years following the financial crisis,’ said Tom Bill, head of London residential research. ‘As vendors become more attuned to current market conditions and adjust asking prices, the effect is to drive demand. Asking prices are typically declining by in excess of 10% to attract price sensitive buyers,’ he explained. Despite the bounce back Knight Frank forecasts a 2% decline in western markets but it predicts a 5% growth in markets east of Mayfair and south of the River Thames in 2016. But growth is increasingly polarised. In higher value western areas around Hyde Park, recent tax changes have had more of a dampening impact. Meanwhile, the opposite is true in traditionally lower value markets including Islington and the City and Fringe. A breakdown of the figures show that prices increased by 8.2% in Islington and by 8.1% in City and Fringe. Price also increased by 3% in Southbank, by 2.9% in Riverside, by 2.6% in Mayfair, by 1.8% in Kensington and by 1.2% in Marylebone. Prices were unchanged in St Johns Wood but fell by 6.8% in Knightsbridge, by 4.9% in South Kensington, by 3.5% in Hyde Park, by 2.5% in Chelsea, by 0.8% in Notting Hill and by 0.2% in Belgravia. Continue reading
