Tag Archives: shows
House purchase lending fell in London in 2015, latest CML data shows
London is often regarded as the powerhouse of the UK property market but new data shows that house purchase lending in the city fell in 2015 in comparison with the previous year. But remortgaging increased, according to the latest data from the Council of Mortgage Lenders covering the fourth quarter of 2015. There were 21,800 home owner house purchase loans, down 4% on the third quarter but up 5% compared to the fourth quarter 2014. These loans were worth £6.7 billion, down 7% quarter on quarter but up 16% year on year. First time buyers took out 12,000 loans in London, down 2% on the previous quarter but up 1% on the fourth quarter in 2014. These loans totalled £3.2 billion, down 4% on the third quarter but up 11% on the fourth quarter of 2014. Home movers in London took out 9,800 loans worth £3.6 billion, down 7% by volume and 9% by value on the previous quarter. Compared to the fourth quarter 2014, this was up 11% by volume and 22% by value. Remortgage lending increased 5% by volume and 8% by value compared to quarter three totalling £3.8 billion with 13,100 loans, up 34% in number of loans and 53% in amount borrowed for remortgage compared to the fourth quarter of 2014. The number of loans for home owner house purchase in London decreased year on year to 81,600 loans at £24.5 billion, down 5% by volume but up 1% by value on 2014. First time buyers took out 45,600, worth £11.6 billion, down 6% by number of loans and 1% by amount borrowed compared to 2014. Home movers took out 35,900 loans worth £12.9 billion, down 3% by volume but up 4% by value year on year. Remortgage lending totalled 48,600 loans worth £13.7 billion, up 14% by volume and 25% by value on 2014. ‘House purchase lending in London fell in 2015 due mainly to a slow start. Later months of the year saw activity pick up again. Persisting supply and affordability issues, alongside the introduction of the Help to Buy London scheme, means there will be some uncertainty around how the market will perform going into 2016,’ said Paul Smee, director general of the CML. ‘By contrast, remortgage activity, which has been consistently flat for the past few years, appears to be on an upward trend. Competitive mortgage rates appear to have sparked this activity and we have not seen quarterly volumes at this level since 2009,’ he added. Continue reading
Maligned banking practice could help rebalance UK mortgage market, study suggests
Securitisation, where investors buy pools of debt from banks as secured assets, has enabled mortgage lenders in the UK to offer an increased number of lower risk, long term fixed rate mortgages, it is claimed. Securitisation was originally intended to free up funding for banks, allowing them to sell packages of mortgage loans and lend out the proceeds to more customers. Those loans could then be sold on, and the cycle could start again. The process was also intended to reduce risks for banks by spreading the ownership of mortgages and other loans among other investors but it came under scrutiny during the global economic downturn and used less frequently as a result. However, a new study of long term market trends by Dr Alla Koblyakova and Professor Michael White, of Nottingham Trent University’s Real Estate Economics and Investment Research Group, has found that 78% of mortgages sold as securities over a nine year period were held in longer term fixed rate contracts. ‘This is an important finding as it shows that securitisation not only increases liquidity in the market but has the potential to shift consumer mortgage choices toward long-term fixed rate mortgage debt,’ said Koblyakova. ‘In a market like the United Kingdom’s, where around 80% of residential mortgage debt is held in higher risk variable rate or short term fixed rate contracts, this is a very welcome finding,’ he claimed. ‘A high level of variable debt is seen as a source of economic instability. Policymakers may wish, therefore, to consider the potentially beneficial role that securitisation can play in helping balance the UK mortgage market,’ he added. According to the study variable rate and short term fixed rate mortgages are more risky for borrowers as they leave them more vulnerable to financial shocks, such as interest rate increases. By contrast, longer term fixed rate deals protect borrowers from such increases, but leave lenders more exposed to these risks. Koblyakova believes lenders may be more inclined to offer longer term fixed rate mortgages to borrowers when these mortgages are sold on as securities because this reduces the lenders’ exposure to risk. The study also found that variable rate mortgages were more profitable for lenders than long term fixed rate mortgages by as much as 1.6%. For every 1% of profit a mortgage lender makes from a variable rate mortgage, the market share of variable rate mortgages increases by 18%. This is despite the data also suggesting that consumers prefer to take out longer term fixed rate products. ‘According to this data, larger profit margins for variable rate mortgage products positively influences demand. These findings are very important, and should stand as a call for action for policymakers, as they show that UK households may be faced with greater payment shocks because of the strategies of lenders,’ Koblyakova concluded. White pointed out that the regulation… Continue reading
House prices increase more than average earnings in over 25% of UK districts
Average house prices have increased by more than the average employees net earnings in more than a quarter of local authority districts across the UK, according to new research. The number of areas where house prices are outpacing earnings over the last two years has increased significantly over the past 12 months from 73 or 19% out of 384 to 108 of 28% out of 380. The Halifax research also shows that the vast majority of these areas are in London, the south east, and east of England with these three regions representing 97 or 90% of the 108, with the biggest gap between rising property values and earnings in Three Rivers in Hertfordshire, where house prices increased by an average of £147,990 over the last two years, exceeding average take home earnings in the area by £97,992. Seven London boroughs appear in the top 10 districts while the top performers outside southern England were Warwick in the West Midlands and South Northamptonshire in the East Midlands, with house price gains in excess of earnings of £24,723 and £14,837 respectively during 2014 and 2015. ‘The housing market recovery over the last few years has led to substantial price rises in some areas of the country, particularly in London, the south east and the east of England. This has resulted in homes increasing in value by more than total take-home earnings for the average home owner in many areas of the country,’ said Martin Ellis, housing economist at the Halifax. ‘Clearly, this is good news for some home owners. However, it does make conditions tougher for those looking to buy their first home in such areas, with prices being pushed increasingly out of range for many young people,’ he added. Over the past five years, 35 local areas in the UK or 9% of the total have seen average house prices increase by more than total average pay, up from 23 districts or 6% in 2015. The biggest differential was in Hammersmith and Fulham, where average property prices have increased by £248,971, surpassing average take home pay during the period by £108,653. The top 10 performers are all in London. All 35 areas are in London, the South East and the East. Over the past decade, house prices have increased by more than total pay in four areas across the UK led by Brent up £11,760, Haringey up £8,255, Hammersmith and Fulham up £4,438 and Cambridge up £1,767. Continue reading
