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High supply level keeping rents on prime property in London down

Residential rents across the prime property market in London rose by just 1.3% on average in 2015, while those in the commuter zone increased marginally by 0.6%, new data shows. In London this reflects relatively high levels of supply coming into the market, not just from investment buyers of an increasing volume of new build stock but also from the re-emergence of accidental landlords, who reflect a more heavily taxed and generally less active sales market, says a new report from international real estate firm Savills. Behind the headline figures, however, there are a number of submarket trends seen in previous years, the report points out. In the prime housing markets of the commuter zone, rental values of prime properties in urban locations performed much more strongly than those in other locations, showing annual rental growth of 3.1%. In London smaller properties were by far the best performers. For example, while rents for one bedroom homes rose by 3% in the year, those for four bedroom houses barely increased at all rising by just 0.1% on average. ‘From an investment perspective, this meant smaller, less expensive properties clearly delivered the best returns. In addition to stronger rental growth, they offered better income yields and capital values proved more robust given less exposure to higher rates of stamp duty,’ said Lucian Cook, director of Savills residential research. He also pointed out that the impact of tax policy on the rental market has undoubtedly become a very hot topic. There is the progressive restriction of tax relief on mortgage interest payments meaning that by the 2020/2021 tax year, only basic rate tax relief will be given to private individuals, and more recently the imposition of a 3% stamp duty surcharge on the acquisition of so called additional homes, the purchase of which completes after 01 April 2016. Cook gave examples of how these changes will have an impact. He examined the economics behind the purchase of three different prime London properties in 2015; a one bedroom flat in the east of City market, a three bedroom house in south west London and a four bedroom house in central London. In each case it was assumed that 60% of the total purchase cost, including stamp duty and miscellaneous additional costs of purchase, is funded by cash and 40% by debt. At current interest rates, with full tax relief on the corresponding interest payments each makes a reasonable cash surplus for a private investor. That surplus varies between 21% of gross rent for the most expensive property in central London that has the highest stamp duty liability and delivers the lowest income return and 28% of gross rent for the smallest, highest yielding property in the east of City market that carries the lowest stamp duty liability. ‘In 2020, we expect the cost of mortgage debt to have risen, we have assumed a 4.5% mortgage interest rate, and income yields to have fallen because we expect price growth… Continue reading

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Half of UK home owners think their property value will rise in value in 2016

Half of home owners in the UK expect the value of their property to increase in 2016 and only 2% are concerned that prices will fall, a new survey shows. There is a continued confidence in the UK property market, according to the annual house buyers research report from Clydesdale and Yorkshire Banks. Figures shows that house price confidence has doubled since 2013 and is only slightly less than it was in 2015 which the report says underlines the stability and levelling out of the property market. The new findings show that overall only 2% of the population are concerned that their home will decrease in value while 48% anticipate no change. Back in 2013 9% thought prices would decrease, 66% thought they would stay the same and just 25% thought they would increase. ‘There have been great changes within our property market and our latest research shows a sustained level of confidence in property values over the past three years,’ said Steve Fletcher, director of retail banking at Clydesdale and Yorkshire Banks. The research reveals that London remains the key property hot spot with 73% of those surveyed confident in escalating prices in the capital and none predicting a downturn in property prices. In contrast just 33% of respondents in the North West believe their property will increase in value in 2016, with 65% believing there will be no change and 2% fearing a decrease. In Scotland 43% said they think prices will increase, 51% think they will stay the same and 6% believes there will be a decrease, while in Wales it is just 36% who think prices will rise, 64% think they will stay the same and none think they will fall. ‘There are a number of different factors which have played their part in the ongoing recovery of the property market. The Bank of England base rate has remained low and there has been steady growth in property prices and this has been reflected with sustained confidence of UK home owners,’ said Fletcher. Continue reading

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Spanish property sales up for 18th month in a row

Residential property sales in Spain are continuing to rise with the latest data showing that the number of transaction recorded by notaires increased by 7.3% compared with the same month in 2014. It marks some 18 months of continuous growth, the figures from the General Council of Notaires shows with its analysis report saying that the recovery in the housing market is being maintained. A breakdown of the data shows that apartment sales increased by 6.2% year on year, more than double the increase recorded in October 2015. This was due to sales of free price apartments rising 8.3% and also sales of second hand apartments rising by 12.2%. Sales of individual family homes also saw strong growth, up 11.4%, recording nine months in a row of double digit increased. However, sales of new housing fell for a tenth month in a row, down in November by 18.6%. But prices are still up and down. The average price per square meter of homes sold in November was €1,219 per square meter, a fall of 1.1% year on year. A breakdown shows that apartment prices fell by 0.6% and the price of individual family homes fell by 0.8%. The data also shows that the price per square metre of second hand apartments fell by 0.7% year on year to €1,320 but for new apartments it increased by 5.9% €1,666. The total number of new mortgage loans also increased by 7.3% year on year in November but in seasonally adjusted terms this figure moderates to an increase of 2.4% year on year, the lowest increase in 18 months. Continue reading

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