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Property sales up 14.5% in Scotland in last quarter of 2015 and prices up 1.6%
Residential property sales in Scotland increased by 14.5% in the final three months of 2015 compared to the same period in 2014, the latest official data shows. Prices increased too, up 1.6% to £167,734, with the highest price rise recorded in Inverclyde at 13.1%, according to the figures from the Registers of Scotland (RoS). ‘As well as a significant increase in the volume of sales this quarter, prices have reached their highest since RoS began compiling quarterly statistics in 2003. Combined, this indicates a more robust and active property market,’ said RoS commercial services director, Kenny Crawford. The highest percentage rise in volume of sales was recorded in Midlothian, with an annual increase of 30.2% compared with the same quarter last year. The City of Edinburgh recorded the highest volume of sales, up 21.4% while the largest drop was in Aberdeen City with sales down 12%. The highest average price is in Edinburgh where values have increased by 3.2% year on year to £233,255, while the largest fall was in Dumfries and Galloway, a drop of 9.9% to an average of £130,275. The total value of sales across Scotland registered between October and December increased by 16.3% to just under £4.83 billion, the highest value of sale for any quarter since the second quarter of 2009. Edinburgh remained the largest market with sales of just under £824 million for the quarter, an increase of 25.3% on the previous year. East Ayrshire recorded the highest increase in value with sales of over £66 million, up 33.9% and Aberdeen had the largest decrease in overall market value, down 13.6 to over £273 million on last year. All property types showed an increase in sales volumes, with flats showing the biggest increase at 18.4%. In terms of prices, flats were the only property type to show an increase in average prices, up 0.6% to £130,679. Detached, semi-detached and terraced properties all saw decreases in average prices of 0.3%, 1.4% and 3.5% respectively. Simon Brown, partner and head of residential sales at CKD Galbraith, pointed out that the Scottish property market as a whole has endured many changes over the last year and more are to come. ‘The 3% levy on second homes being introduced in April will no doubt bring a flurry of property sales to the market to beat the deadline as well as impact house prices as buyers of buy to lets will seek to pass on the extra purchase costs by reducing the price they are prepared to pay,’ he explained. ‘Demand for prime property at the top end of the market looks set to continue, especially in Edinburgh and the surrounding areas. Generally, the Scottish property market is demonstrating healthy growth with good quality properties selling quickly and some very encouraging signs for the year ahead especially as we approach the prime Spring selling period,’ he added. Michelle Grant, investment director at Grant Property, believes that the figures are… Continue reading
UK seeing a crisis in private rented sector due to tumble in landlord confidence
Landlords’ confidence in the buy to let sector in the UK has collapsed to an all-time low and is now worse than levels witnessed during the financial crash, according to the country’s biggest landlord association. Richard Lambert, chief executive officer of the National Landlords Association (NLA), told delegates at the Building Societies Association’s (BSA) annual meeting for mortgage professionals that the situation is worrying. He explained that confidence in landlords’ business expectations has tumbled by more than a third over the past year, down from 67% to an all-time low of 43% and the current level of confidence in the sector is now 5% lower than levels witnessed after the financial crash in 2007. He pointed out that the actions taken by the Chancellor in last year’s Summer Budget and Autumn Statements has led the NLA to reverse its previous prediction of the continued growth of the private rented sector (PRS) by another million more households over the next five years. It now forecasts that, if landlords follow through on their intentions, there will be a dramatic sell-off of 500,000 properties in the next 12 months, followed by another 100,000 sold each year to 2021. The net effect will be that the PRS be smaller by up to 136,000 properties. The data, from the latest NLA quarterly landlord panel survey, also shows that the proportion of landlords looking to sell in next 12 months has more than doubled since July 2015, up from 7% to 19%. Over the next few years some 28% of landlords don’t plan purchase any more properties, 10% plan to reduce their portfolio and 5% plan to sell up completely. ‘Two speeches from the Chancellor in 2015 have led to a crisis in confidence greater than when all but a few buy to le products were immediately withdrawn from the market following the 2007 financial crash,’ Lambert said. ‘Up to half a million properties could come onto the market as a result of the Summer Budget and Autumn Statement, which the Chancellor will no doubt deem a success. But there is no guarantee that these will be the one or two bedroom flats or small houses that will appeal to first time buyers, especially as landlords are more likely to offload less desirable stock in less desirable areas,’ he explained. ‘We’ve always said that Mr Osborne is blinded to the impact of his decisions by his commitment to homeownership. He may have intended to focus on the small scale part time investor, but it’s the larger and more professional landlords who will be hit worst by cuts to mortgage tax relief and increases to stamp duty, and who appear most likely to leave the sector,’ Lambert told the meeting. ‘What happens to the people these landlords house if they still can’t buy and there are fewer and fewer properties available to rent?’ he added. Continue reading
CML warns of negative impact of new 3% tax on second homes on UK housing market
The UK property market is facing a slowdown in buy to let activity due to tax changes for private landlords, says a submission to the Treasury over the extra surcharge on second properties. The Council of Mortgage Lenders is urging reform of the plans to charge an extra 3% for buy to let landlords and second home buyers from April this year to mitigate potentially negative impacts on the housing market as a whole. It says in its submission that even without the new surcharge, the forthcoming adverse tax changes for private landlords and the potential macro prudential interventions in the buy to let market will result in a slowdown. It points out that there is a risk of overkill in dampening investor sentiment to the extent that the flow of available private rented property could be disrupted, without any necessarily corresponding increase in the ability of households to become home owners. In addition, with around a fifth of households currently renting in the private sector, there is the perverse risk that the stamp duty increase could cause landlords to charge higher rents, and so actually make it harder for tenants who want to buy to save the deposit needed to do so. Under current proposals, some people will be caught by the requirement to pay the 3% surcharge even when they are buying their main residence, for example, if they have a short term overlap between owning their previous home and acquiring their new one, perhaps as a result of problems in the housing chain, the CML points out. ‘It would be better to allow people to defer their payment of stamp duty for 18 months subject to conditions, rather than require them to pay it upfront and then potentially reclaim it in the form of a rebate. This would be both fairer and more efficient,’ the submission says. ‘The government should clarify whether its policy intention is to favour institutions facilitating new build activity, or new build activity more generally. If the policy focus is on the perceived benefit arising from the economic activity, then the proposal should recognise the potential for even small scale and individual investors to contribute to this through off-plan purchases, and should not discriminate against them,’ it adds. Director general Paul Smee said that the CML’s longstanding view is that stamp duty is a blunt policy lever. ‘Given the complexity of the proposals, we also suspect that in practical terms the surcharge could cause more problems than it solves,’ he pointed out. ‘We urge the government at least to move away from a position where people will have to pay and then potentially claim back to one where payment is deferred, and only triggered if the buyer genuinely falls into the intended target category,’ he explained. ‘If the surcharge proposal is designed to promote home ownership, we think that there should be better evidence as to why this requires a reversal of growth in the private rented sector,’… Continue reading
