Investment
Property market in Cyprus is stabilising but recovery unlikely yet in coming months
Residential property prices in Cyprus appear to be stabilising but experts are divided on how the market will pan out over 2016. The most up to date figures from the Cyprus Central Bank’s index covering the third quarter of 2015 shows that prices fell by 0.3%, consistent with the 0.4% and 1% falls during the previous quarters. Year on year prices are down 3.7%, an improvement on the previous quarterly fall of 5% and a breakdown of the figures suggest that apartment prices in some locations, most notably Limassol, Larnaca and Paphos are rising, a further sign of stability in the market. The biggest fall in prices quarter on quarter was in Famagusta with a decrease of 1.6%, followed by Nicosia down 1.3% and Limassol down 0.1%. While prices in Larnaca and Paphos rose by 1.2% and 0.2% respectively. Apartments are showing signs of more resilience. While quarter on quarter apartment prices fell 1.5% in Famagusta and 0.6% in Nicosia but increased by 2.1% in Limassol, 1.5% in Paphos and 0.3% in Larnaca. According to Daryl Fitzgerald, director of Fitzgerald Estates Agency in Paphos, pointed out that sales are also improving. They increased by 64% in Nicosia, by 30% in Paphos, and by 28% in Limassol in October. But fell by 1% in Larnaca. He pointed out that the statistics show that 96% of total property sales in Nicosia were registered to Cypriot nationals whilst only 4% were bought by overseas buyers, suggesting that international buyers are not yet coming back to the market in the city. But in Paphos, which has the largest number of holiday homes registered to overseas owners in the whole of Cyprus, there has been a 103% increase in sales to Cypriots in October. ‘From the brink of the financial and banking abyss, Cyprus is steadily emerging a stronger economy and a stronger nation. The financial restrictions are but a memory, our banks have been upgraded and almost given a clean bill of health, the title deeds issue is being dealt with and the buyers have more and more tools to fight the good fight to get the deeds,’ said Fitzgerald. He believes that what is happening in Paphos is interesting as it was the centre of the property bubble on the Mediterranean island. ‘The sudden interest by Cypriot buyers signals that the prices have reached bottom and are stabilising. Cypriots know this and are taking advantage of this once in a lifetime opportunity,’ he explained. However, the latest report from Resolute Asset Management in Cyprus suggests that 2016 is not set to see a revival of the real estate market. It says that while sales increased by 9% in the first 11 months of 2015 compared to the same period in 2014, compared to 2007 sales are still down by 79%. The firm believes that sales volumes will remain low in 2016. Its report suggests that foreigners who are tempted to buy in Cyprus will be concentrated on… Continue reading
Over a quarter of sales fell through in the UK in last few months of 2015
The house sale fall through rate in the UK increased in the last quarter of 2015, with more than one in four house sales falling through, new research has found. There was a house sale fall through rate of 27.94% in the fourth quarter of 2015, a rise 8.32% from the previous quarter, according to the figures from independent home buyer Quick Move Now. However, the year to date fall through rate remained fairly constant throughout 2015, at around 29% and finished the year at 29.26%. According to Danny Luke, business manager at Quick Move Now, it was an interesting year for the UK property market, and the fall through rates reflect that. ‘Tougher lending criteria was introduced as a result of the Mortgage Market Review (MMR), which meant some prospective buyers found it challenging to secure a mortgage, or found they were able to borrow less than they had anticipated,’ he said. He pointed out that some 9% of sales that fell through did so as a result of not being able to secure a mortgage and the two biggest reasons for house sales falling through the last quarter were buyers changing their mind at 27.2% and problems identified at survey or failed renegotiation following a survey also at 27.2%. ‘A lack of properties coming to market has led to prospective buyers having to move very quickly in order to secure a property, and may mean they put an offer in on a less than ideal property through fear that they'll be unable to find anything else. Some inevitably get cold feet about such a large investment, or find that a survey confirms their fears, and pull out before the sale completes,’ explained Luke. The research also found that chain collapse still featured prominently with 22.7% of property sales falling through as a result of chain issues, and it's definitely an issue very much on sellers' minds. ‘We get calls every day from sellers keen to secure a guaranteed sale so they don't risk missing out on their onward purchase due to chain collapse,’ added Luke. Other reasons involved the seller pulling out for a higher offer, affecting 9% of cases and buyer health issues or personal problems accounted for 4.5%. Continue reading
Stamp duty levels to continue to affect prime central London property market
The prime central London property market has seen a year of two halves but uncertainty over stamp duty levels is set to continue to affect the upper part of the sector in 2016, new research suggests. Just over a year the prime market was hit by increased stamp duty on properties worth more than £1.1 million and now this year extra duty of 3% is to be levied on buy to let investors and second home owners. The latest report from real estate firm Knight Frank explains that while the new measure is an attempt to address concerns surrounding affordability and house price inflation, it raises fresh questions over the dampening effect on tax revenues just as buyers and sellers in prime London were showing tentative signs of absorbing the previous increase. ‘Transactions and revenue have declined across London in the period following the December 2014 increase. It highlights concerns over the financially viability of the stamp duty reform, which had the welcome aim of increasing liquidity and affordability below £1 million but runs the risk of becoming a counterproductive deterrent above that level,’ said Tom Bill, head of London residential research. Meanwhile, the sub-£2 million market outperformed the rest of prime London in the second half of 2015, continuing a trend of recent years. In particular, properties worth less than £1 million have grown by more than any other price bracket. Bill explained that the highest growth has largely been outside the higher price brackets of prime areas of central London over the last 20 years. The Knight Frank analysis report highlights the markets where price growth was strongest during each year since the first quarter of 1995 and on a journey that began in Lambeth Walk and ends in Turnpike Lane, £50,000 would have become £1.18 million after stamp duty and moving fees are taken into account, representing a rise of 2,264%. The theoretical journey began in south London before moving further east to areas like Barking and Dagenham in the early 2000s as east London matured as a residential market. It then moved to prime central London in the run-up to and immediate aftermath of the financial crisis, including Marylebone, Belgravia and Fulham. Finally, as price growth pushed outwards from central London as the UK economic recovery consolidated after 2013 the strongest growth was found in the north London markets of Walthamstow and Turnpike Lane. Continue reading
