Uk
US pending homes sales up 0.5% in July, latest index shows
Pending home sales in the United States increased by 0.5% in July and are now 7.4% higher than the same month last year, according to the latest index data. The Pending Home Sales index from the National Association of Realtors (NAR), a forward looking indicator based on contract signings, has increased year on year for 11 consecutive months and July is the third highest reading of 2015. According to Lawrence Yun, NAR chief economist, the housing market began the second half of 2015 on a positive note, with pending sales slightly rising in July led by a solid gain in the Northeast. ‘Contract activity in most of the country held steady last month, which bodes well for existing sales to maintain their recent elevated pace to close out the summer,’ he said. ‘While demand and sales continue to be stronger than earlier this year, realtors have reported since the spring that available listings in affordable price ranges remain elusive for some buyers trying to reach the market and are likely holding back sales from being more robust,’ he explained. Looking ahead, with inventory shortages likely to persist into, Yun expects the national median existing home price to increase 6.3% in 2015 to $221,400 and forecasts total existing home sales this year to increase 7.1% to around 5.29 million, about 25% below the prior peak set in 2005 when it was 7.08 million. ‘In light of the recent volatility in the stock market, it's possible some prospective buyers may err on the side of caution and delay decisions, while others may view real estate as a more stable asset in the current environment,’ said Yun. ‘Overall, the prospects for ongoing strength in the housing market remain intact for now. The US economy is growing, albeit at a modest pace, and the labour market continues to add jobs,’ he pointed out, adding that uncertainty in the equity markets, even if short term rates rise in September, could stabilise long term mortgage rates and preserve affordability for buyers. The PHSI in the Northeast increased 4% to 98.8 in July and is now 12.1% above a year ago. In the Midwest the index remained unchanged at 107.8 in July, and is now 5.7% above July 2014. Pending home sales in the South increased slightly by 0.6% to an index of 124.2 in July and are now 6.5% above last July. The index in the West declined 1.4% in July to 103, but is still 7.5$% above a year ago. Meanwhile, new home sales increased by 26% from one year ago and Yun said that it is further proof of the housing market strengthening. ‘Amid stock market gyrations residential real estate appears a very safe place to invest particularly given the current housing shortage in America,’ he said. The data shows that new home sales, which are not closings but rather contract signings on a newly constructed home, reached 507,000 annualised sales pace in July. Sales are up solidly… Continue reading
Over half a million UK home owners plan to pay off mortgage with pensions pot
Just over half a million people, some 631,000, in the UK intend to use all or part of their pension to help repay their mortgage balance, new research has found. While the majority of 40 to 70 year olds with mortgages, 71%, intend to continue to meet their obligations via monthly repayments and 25% through additional lump sum contributions, up to 9% or 631,000 intend to use their retirement savings to repay their mortgage. The research from financial firm Paternership, shows that this is lower than the figure recorded last year when it was 14% and said that more people are looking to more traditional methods to repay the outstanding balance on their mortgages. It also shows that 8%, or 561,000 people, say that they intend to rely on an inheritance to repay the outstanding balance on their property and 7% or 491,000 confess they don’t know how they will meet their obligations. ‘While it is still shocking that over half a million people in the UK intend to use all or part of their retirement savings to repay their mortgage, it has fallen from over a million in 2014,’ said Andrew Megson, managing director of retirement at the firm. ‘This is fascinating as it suggests that the Pension Freedoms which allow people to access their entire pension in cash have encouraged people to take a more holistic view of how they use their pension rather than focusing on one off expenditure. This in turn appears to have focused peoples’ minds on paying off their home loan before they retire,’ he explained. ‘The work that the lenders have done in communicating with interest only mortgage customers about their options and obligations is also likely to have had a positive impact as it will have encouraged more people to move to capital repayment. That said, while a debt free retirement is the ideal, some people may find they reach traditional retirement age with an outstanding balance,’ he pointed out. ‘Using their pension may well seem like an option but it is not the only option as working longer, downsizing or considering a lifetime mortgage may be more appropriate. Ideally, pension savings should be used to provide an income in retirement, and with the state pension only providing a very basic safety net, making this choice could lead to hardship in later life,’ he added. Continue reading
European commercial property investment activity at highest since 2007
Commercial property investment activity in Europe reached its highest level since 2007, totalling €102.5 billion in the first half of 2015, the latest market analysis report shows. The investment volume across the 16 participating countries was 25% up on the same period last year, according to the European Investment Briefing report from international real estate advisor Savills. The firm says that in line with its quarter one forecasts, the European investment market is on track to top €230 billion by the end of this year as commercial property investors continue to favour core markets, with the UK, Germany and France still accounting for 67.8% of the total volume. ‘However, the share of the markets outside of the top three countries is increasing, due to stronger investor interest for non-core countries, which offer attractive pricing and supply of large assets and portfolios,’ said Lydia Brissy, director at Savills’ European research team. ‘Overall, investors are more open to move up the risk curve. They seek future yield compression by targeting secondary or alternative assets in core cities, or prime assets in secondary markets,’ she added. The report shows that the office sector continued to dominate the investment activity in most countries across Europe, capturing about 39% of the transaction volume per country on average. The only exceptions where retail properties accounted for a higher share of property investment deals were Germany at 42%, Finland at 43%, the Netherlands also at 43%, Norway at 62% and Portugal at 83%, which saw the sale of large scale retail portfolios in the past quarter. Savills has also reported that cross border investment increased in nearly all countries across Europe and especially in the peripheral markets, where US investors have been notably active. There has also been growing interest from investors from Asia Pacific and the Middle East. The share of non-domestic investment ranged from 10% in Sweden to over 80% in markets such as Italy, Poland and Portugal. Marcus Lemli, head of European Investment at Savills, explained that international investors have continued to drive up volumes, particularly the equity funds from the US, which have been acquiring retail portfolios or landmark office buildings. This has enabled some of the more peripheral countries to record the strongest rises in investment volumes over the first six months of 2015, notably Portugal at 720%, Norway at 391% and Italy at 154%. In the second quarter of 2015 the share of US money invested out of the cross border volume has been remarkable, according to the report, averaging 40% per country, and accounting for as much as 93% in Portugal, and 66% in Ireland. ‘With healthy investor interest, Europe has seen a shift towards larger transactions. The most significant rises in portfolio deals were noted in Germany and the Nordic markets and consequently, there has been a marked uplift in activity in the regional markets,’ said Lemli. In the first half of this year, the volume of investment in regional markets rose to more than… Continue reading
