Uk
High supply level keeping rents on prime property in London down
Residential rents across the prime property market in London rose by just 1.3% on average in 2015, while those in the commuter zone increased marginally by 0.6%, new data shows. In London this reflects relatively high levels of supply coming into the market, not just from investment buyers of an increasing volume of new build stock but also from the re-emergence of accidental landlords, who reflect a more heavily taxed and generally less active sales market, says a new report from international real estate firm Savills. Behind the headline figures, however, there are a number of submarket trends seen in previous years, the report points out. In the prime housing markets of the commuter zone, rental values of prime properties in urban locations performed much more strongly than those in other locations, showing annual rental growth of 3.1%. In London smaller properties were by far the best performers. For example, while rents for one bedroom homes rose by 3% in the year, those for four bedroom houses barely increased at all rising by just 0.1% on average. ‘From an investment perspective, this meant smaller, less expensive properties clearly delivered the best returns. In addition to stronger rental growth, they offered better income yields and capital values proved more robust given less exposure to higher rates of stamp duty,’ said Lucian Cook, director of Savills residential research. He also pointed out that the impact of tax policy on the rental market has undoubtedly become a very hot topic. There is the progressive restriction of tax relief on mortgage interest payments meaning that by the 2020/2021 tax year, only basic rate tax relief will be given to private individuals, and more recently the imposition of a 3% stamp duty surcharge on the acquisition of so called additional homes, the purchase of which completes after 01 April 2016. Cook gave examples of how these changes will have an impact. He examined the economics behind the purchase of three different prime London properties in 2015; a one bedroom flat in the east of City market, a three bedroom house in south west London and a four bedroom house in central London. In each case it was assumed that 60% of the total purchase cost, including stamp duty and miscellaneous additional costs of purchase, is funded by cash and 40% by debt. At current interest rates, with full tax relief on the corresponding interest payments each makes a reasonable cash surplus for a private investor. That surplus varies between 21% of gross rent for the most expensive property in central London that has the highest stamp duty liability and delivers the lowest income return and 28% of gross rent for the smallest, highest yielding property in the east of City market that carries the lowest stamp duty liability. ‘In 2020, we expect the cost of mortgage debt to have risen, we have assumed a 4.5% mortgage interest rate, and income yields to have fallen because we expect price growth… Continue reading
Half of UK home owners think their property value will rise in value in 2016
Half of home owners in the UK expect the value of their property to increase in 2016 and only 2% are concerned that prices will fall, a new survey shows. There is a continued confidence in the UK property market, according to the annual house buyers research report from Clydesdale and Yorkshire Banks. Figures shows that house price confidence has doubled since 2013 and is only slightly less than it was in 2015 which the report says underlines the stability and levelling out of the property market. The new findings show that overall only 2% of the population are concerned that their home will decrease in value while 48% anticipate no change. Back in 2013 9% thought prices would decrease, 66% thought they would stay the same and just 25% thought they would increase. ‘There have been great changes within our property market and our latest research shows a sustained level of confidence in property values over the past three years,’ said Steve Fletcher, director of retail banking at Clydesdale and Yorkshire Banks. The research reveals that London remains the key property hot spot with 73% of those surveyed confident in escalating prices in the capital and none predicting a downturn in property prices. In contrast just 33% of respondents in the North West believe their property will increase in value in 2016, with 65% believing there will be no change and 2% fearing a decrease. In Scotland 43% said they think prices will increase, 51% think they will stay the same and 6% believes there will be a decrease, while in Wales it is just 36% who think prices will rise, 64% think they will stay the same and none think they will fall. ‘There are a number of different factors which have played their part in the ongoing recovery of the property market. The Bank of England base rate has remained low and there has been steady growth in property prices and this has been reflected with sustained confidence of UK home owners,’ said Fletcher. Continue reading
Rebound in property prices in Sydney and Melbourne in first month of 2016
Property values across Australia’s capital cities were 0.9% higher in January driven partially by a rebound in Sydney and Melbourne, the latest real estate index data shows. The recent growth conditions have pushed the Melbourne property market into first place for annual growth with an 11% rise compared with Sydney where values were 10.5% higher over the past 12 months. The January 2016 CoreLogic RP Data Hedonic Home Value Index also shows that property values across Australia’s combined capital cities increased by 0.9% after recording no change in December and a 1.5% drop in November. Quarter on quarter values were 0.6% lower. Hobart led the monthly figures with a 4.7% jump in values, followed by Melbourne with a rise of 2.5% higher, Canberra up 2.8% and Sydney up 0.5%, while in the remaining four capital cities values were flat or down. Four of Australia’s eight capital cities recorded falling values over three months with Sydney down 2,1% over the rolling quarter, Darwin down 1.4%, Adelaide down 0.9% and Melbourne down 0.1%. The strongest growth in home values over the quarter was 3% in Hobart. Despite recording the largest annual decline in home values at 4.1%, Perth saw a rise of 1.7% over the three months to the end of January while they were up 0.8% in Brisbane and 1.2% in Canberra. While still a high rate of annual growth, Sydney’s annual rate of capital gain is now at a 29 month low and has been progressively softening since peaking at 18.4% in July last year. According to Tim Lawless, CoreLogic RP Data head of research, Melbourne’s housing market has been more resilient to slowing growth conditions which has propelled the annual growth rate to the highest of any capital city, with values 11% higher over the past 12 months. ‘Previously, during the height of the growth phase, there was a large separation between Sydney’s housing market, which was streaking ahead, and Melbourne’s, where the rate of capital gain was substantial but still well below the heights being recorded in Sydney. The latest data reveals Sydney’s housing market is now playing second fiddle to Melbourne’s, at least in annual growth terms,’ he said. ‘In fact, over the past six months, the performance gap between Sydney and Melbourne is stark. Sydney dwelling values have reduced by 0.6% between July last year and the end of January 2016, compared with a 3% rise across Melbourne,’ he explained. He also pointed out that in the last six months both Brisbane and Canberra have seen values rise by 2% while Hobart values are 1.3% higher and Adelaide dwelling values have been virtually flat with a 0.1% rise. The annual pace of growth across the Canberra market has been progressively improving, with values up 6% over the past 12 months, the strongest annual gain since November 2010. ‘The nation’s capital has benefitted from improved buyer confidence while rising demand has seen much of the housing oversupply absorbed, particularly across the detached… Continue reading
