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US pending home sales up 1.1% in March, but with regional variations
Pending home sales in the United States continued upwards in March and reached their highest level since June 2013, according to the latest index figures. The Pending Home Sales Index, a forward looking indicator based on contracts signed, from the National Association of Realtors climbed 1.1% to 108.6 in March from an upward revision of 107.4 in February and is now 11.1% above March 2014. The index has now increased year on year for seven consecutive months and is at its highest level since June 2013. NAR chief economist Lawrence Yun said that contract signings picked up in March as more buyers than usual entered this year's competitive spring market. ‘Demand appears to be stronger in several parts of the country, especially in metro areas that have seen solid job gains and firmer economic growth over the past year, While contract activity being up convincingly compared to a year ago is certainly good news, the increased number of traditional buyers who appear to be replacing investors paying in cash is even better news. It indicates this year's activity is being driven by more long term home owners,’ he explained. Yun expects a gradual improvement in home sales in the months ahead but says insufficient supply and accelerating prices could be a drawback to sales reaching their full potential. ‘Demand in many markets is far exceeding supply, and properties in March sold at a faster rate than any month since last summer. This in turn has pushed home prices to unhealthy levels, nearly four or more times above the pace of wage growth in some parts of the country. Simply put, housing inventory for new and existing homes needs to improve measurably to improve affordability,’ he added. A breakdown of the figures shows there is considerable regional variation. The index fell 1.5% in the Northeast fell, the fourth month in a row it has done so but is still 0.6% above a year ago. In the Midwest the index fell 2.5% but is 11.3% above March 2014. Pending home sales in the South increased 4% and are 12.4% above last March while the index in the West rose 1.7% in March and is now 15.6% above a year ago. Continue reading
Legal experts says major changes are needed to meet UK’s chronic housing shortage
Seismic changes are needed if any of the top political parties' housing targets in the UK are to be met in the short or long term, it is claimed. Planning permissions, regulatory requirements, funding, the economy and lack of skills have all added to the current housing shortage, according to Rosemary Edwards, partner and head of residential development with corporate solicitors Shulmans LLP, who has acted for many of the UK's top house builders for over two decades. ‘I have heard of many major house builders being accused of land banking but this is patently ridiculous. A house builder's business is entirely based on selling homes. If they can build them and sell them, why would they hold back?’ she said. In reality a house builder will struggle to sell more than say 40 houses a year on any one site, so natural market forces mean that a scheme of 200 houses may take five years to build out. Increased planning and regulatory hurdles have added time and cost, such as the new Community Infrastructure Levy, now effective in some districts, including Leeds. Staff shortages in local authority planning departments can also add to delays,’ she explained. She also pointed out that there is also the problem of mortgage finance. ‘We may say that we need 200,000 new houses or more each year, but not everyone who wants a house can afford one and mortgage eligibility criteria have tightened up considerably in recent years,’ added Edwards. According to Tim Halstead, Shulmans' managing partner and a nationally acknowledged authority on house building, while there's a great deal of talk about building on brownfield sites, doing so throws up as many problems as it supposedly solves. ‘Such sites often have several land owners, so you have to bring them all together or persuade the local authority to exercise compulsory purchase powers. That all takes time and of course you have to build houses, where people want to live which may not be on a former industrial site,’ he said. ‘There is often the added complication of expensive clean-up of contamination or increased costs arising say from digging out old foundations. Those costs can make schemes unviable without subsidy. As long ago as the 1980s we worked on a site in Hull that got a central government grant of £20 million but there just isn't that kind of money around right now,’ he added. Halstead also pointed to a chronic UK skills shortage being another factor in the low numbers of new houses being built. ‘Many skilled construction workers left the industry during the recession. You can't just click your fingers and bring in an endless supply of tradesmen to get new houses built,’ he explained. ‘House builders are now competing, more so than ever before, to recruit skilled labour and to maintain relationships with quality contractors and suppliers. That drives up costs and can cause delays,’ he added. Recent proposals include encouraging small and medium… Continue reading
UK help to buy schemes continue to benefit first time buyers, latest data shows
The UK’s flagship housing schemes aimed at boosting the property market continue to flourish with first time buyers benefitting the most, the latest published data shows. In the first two years of the Help to Buy Equity Loan scheme to the end of March 2015, some 47,018 properties were bought with the total value of these equity loans at £1.99 billion and the value of the properties sold under the scheme totalling £10.01 billion. The mean purchase price of a property bought under the scheme was £212,932, compared with a mean equity loan of £42,394 and some 82% of the homes were bought by first time buyers. Figures for the Help to Buy NewBuy scheme saw 17 home purchases were made in the first quarter of the year, bringing the total number of house purchases up to 5,706 since the launch of the scheme in March 2012. The Help to Buy Equity Loan scheme can be used to purchase a new build property up to the value of £600,000, with a maximum equity loan of £120,000. The numbers of homes purchased in the scheme to the end of March were greatest in the £150,001 to £200,000 price bracket, representing 30.9%. The data also shows that of total sales some 22.1% were for properties between £200,001 and £250,000. These two price brackets combined therefore accounted for over half of the total completions in the scheme. The median purchase price for all purchases in the scheme was £191,000 with the majority of sales are bunched in the lower price brackets. The mean equity loan was slightly higher at £42,394, and 19.9% of the mean purchase price. This reflects that the majority of completions in the scheme used the full 20% equity loan available. The most frequent type of property sold under the scheme were terraced houses, representing 29% of total completions, followed closely by semi-detached properties at 28.7%. Detached properties and flats made up 26.4% and 15.9% of completions respectively. The numbers of homes purchased in the scheme to date in terms of total applicant household income were greatest for purchasers with a household income between £30,001 and £40,000 a year, representing 25.2% of total completions. Some 17.8% of completions had applicants with a registered household income of between £20,001 and £30,000 a year, with 3.2% of completions with applicant household incomes lower than this. Some 80.3% of completions had applicant incomes of £60,000 or less, whilst 3% of completions had applicants with a registered household income in excess of £100,000 a year. The quarterly figures for the NewBuy Guarantee scheme are based on legal completion dates for transactions in the scheme as reported by participating mortgage lenders. This covers England only and shows data from the launch of the scheme on 12 March 2012 to 31 March 2015. The total value of the Government Guarantees for these completed sales was £59.5 million. To date, there have been no claims made with respect to the guarantees made… Continue reading
