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Prime central London property starting to outperform other areas of the city
Homes in prime central London saw the biggest rise in value during the first quarter of 2015, as the centre starts to outperform outer prime parts of the capital for first time since June 2013. Buyers now pay a 34% price premium to live in prime central areas like Kensington and Chelsea, according to estate agent Marsh & Parsons’ latest London Property Monitor. Historically, property prices in the most affluent prime central areas of London had been accelerating away from values in the rest of the capital, due to consistently higher demand from overseas and domestic buyers keen to live in the most famous London locations. However, over the past two years, areas such as Brook Green and Balham have experienced some of the steepest price rises across the capital, according to the firm, but this looks to have been a short term phenomenon. While outer prime house prices have fallen 1.8% in the past three months, there has been a resurgence in price growth in prestigious prime central London with values up 0.3% throughout the last quarter. This is the first time in over a year that price rises in exclusive central areas like Pimlico and Kensington have overtaken the growth in more affordable areas like Balham, and this is a trend that Marsh & Parsons expect to continue throughout this year. As a result of this turnaround, the price premium paid for Prime London property has risen for the first time in 15 months, and is now back in line with last year. Buyers can currently expect to pay a 34% premium to live in central locations. ‘Balham and Brook Green have been putting on the most astonishing performance recently, with an eye catching spurt of growth in 2014. In the long run, the traditional property stalwarts of Kensington, Chelsea and Holland Park are proving they have the stamina to withstand a wider market slowdown,’ said Peter Rollings, chief executive officer of Marsh & Parsons. ‘While the market slows in other parts of the London housing market, the enduring appeal of the most desirable prime central postcodes has ensured growth ticks on. We believe this trend is set to continue in the next 12 months, with prime central areas outperforming outer prime areas for the first time in more than two years,’ he explained. As growth at the higher end of the market continues momentum, the proportion of million-pound properties in prime central London has risen 3% in the past quarter, to stand at 67% of all homes. With the average house price currently standing at £2,080,742 in these areas, 38% of properties in prime central London are now worth £2 million or more, highlighting the implications of any mansion tax on the housing market in these parts of capital. In addition, some 22% of prime central London properties surpass the £3 million threshold. The report also… Continue reading
Supply of new homes in UK falling well below demand despite rising development
Activity in the UK house building sector has continued to pick up over the last year, but the supply of new homes is still falling well short of demand, a new analysis report shows. Boosting supply where new housing is most keenly needed, is a key priority if the UK housing market is to avoid long term distortion, according to the latest annual house builder survey from real estate firm Knight Frank. House builders say policymakers shout boost resources for local authority planning departments, increase skills and training for the construction sector and step up the delivery of public sector land to help increase the supply of new homes, the report explains. The survey, which shows the views of more than 160 respondents from house builders and developers across the country, also shows that two thirds of those in the industry believe that the maximum number of new homes which can be sustainably delivered across the country every year is 180,000 or less. Only 9% said that an annual supply of more than 200,000 homes was possible. Nearly 60% of respondents expect housing completions to rise over the next year, with 18% saying the rise could be between 10% and 25%. However around half of respondents expect no change in the delivery of affordable homes over the next 12 months. More than 90% of respondents are expecting construction costs to rise again over the next 12 months and two thirds expect that development land prices will rise again this year. Indeed, rising labour and build costs are expected to pose the greatest risk to the sector in the coming year. The biggest policy change that would help boost development volumes would be recruiting more people to local authority planning departments, according to respondents. The imbalance between the demand for new homes and the number of units being built is well-recognised, by the industry and political parties alike, the report points out. In the 12 months to April 2014, some 141,000 homes were built in the UK, up by 4% on the previous year. However, official household growth projections suggest an additional 230,000 potential households a year in the UK. ‘Below these headline figures, there is a recognition that the right type of homes must be built in areas where there is the most housing need, typically adjacent to existing urban areas. This has led to tensions about the greenbelt, with a lack of consensus on how to expand accommodation in some of the UK’s most thriving towns and cities,’ said Grainne Gilmore, head of residential research at Knight Frank. ‘Nearly one half of the respondents to the house builder survey said that rules around developing on greenbelt land should be loosened,’ she added. The report explains that policymakers from all parties are keen to encourage development on brownfield land and the Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors has recently published research suggesting there is enough brownfield land available in England to build 226,000 homes… Continue reading
UK housing market activity remains strong despite election
Housing market activity in the UK was stronger across the board last month than at the same point last year, regardless of the general election, according to the latest research from valuers. There were 13% more property valuations conducted in April than a year ago, despite last month’s total dipping by 32% compared to March 2015, the data from Connells Survey and Valuation shows. According to John Bagshaw, the firm’s corporate services director, all indicators from first time buyers right through to remortgagers are up on compared to a year ago and he said this demonstrates the broad momentum in the property market, which he expects to continue through into the new Parliament. However, he pointed out that a less than clear election result could affect sentiment. ‘The latest monthly dip from March is generally a seasonal effect at this time of year so if this monthly slowdown continues further we’ll know that something has changed more fundamentally. Yet so far, there is no sign of a serious housing market slowdown,’ he said. The data also shows that in April remortgaging outperformed the overall housing market, posting a 25% growth on the same month last year, overcoming a 34% seasonal dip from March. Bagshaw believes that remortgaging is leading all other valuations activity, on the back of record low mortgage rates which are likely to stay low for some time. ‘Inflation is at zero and there’s little sign that the Bank of England will need to raise the base rate imminently. In the meantime mortgage rates have plummeted to the lowest level in over four years. Thus, many households may be capitalising on this period by refinancing to a fixed mortgage,’ he explained. The buy to let market, while experiencing the sharpest month on month decline compared to other sections of the market, contracting by 36% in April, also saw the largest percentage growth from the same time last year, up 29% on April 2014. Bagshaw said this could be due to talk of rent controls and three year tenancies. ‘Some would-be landlords are perhaps waiting to see whether and how these policies will be implemented before looking to invest further. Yet the long term picture is extremely positive,’ he pointed out. ‘Over the past year landlords have benefitted from a booming jobs market, which has led more people to move within commuting distance of work, thus increasing demands for rental properties in certain hot-spots. Equally, as real term wages pick up there has been an increase in the rental prices tenants are willing to pay,’ he added. There has been a slower pattern of activity among first time buyers. The number of valuations carried out on behalf of new buyers fell by 33% since March, leaving first time buyer activity up 7% compared to the same month last year. Moreover, activity on behalf of home owners… Continue reading
