Tag Archives: real estate
Property markets varying across the UK, latest RICS survey shows
Supply and demand varied across the UK residential property market in January and 49% more London surveyors saw prices fall in January 2015 according to the latest monthly index. Scotland and Northern Ireland’s housing market outperformed the rest of the UK in January, with more buyer enquiries, stronger price growth and higher confidence in the outlook, the survey from the Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors (RICS) shows. While nationally, the number of potential new buyer enquiries fell for the seventh consecutive month, Scotland saw the greatest buyer interest with several respondents suggesting the new Land and Buildings Transaction Tax (LBTT) will prompt more first time buyers to get on the property ladder. Meanwhile, Northern Ireland’s housing market witnessed the strongest price momentum for the fifth consecutive month, with 47% more respondents reporting increases in prices. However, RICS says that the national results, which are based on England and Wales only, continue to signal a cooling market and price growth has all but levelled off with just 2% more surveyors expecting prices to increase over the next three months, its slowest pace since May 2013. The survey shows that within England, London market conditions continue to deteriorate with prices, buyer enquiries and sales falling. Some 49% more respondents saw prices in the capital decline and the short-term confidence outlook is negative, despite the longer terms sales outlook being more upbeat. In the lettings market 19% more respondents reported a further rise in tenant demand during the three months to January and while supply appears to be dipping once again, there is anecdotal evidence to suggest that some new build rental properties are coming to market and surveyors’ rental growth expectations now stand at 4.6% per annum over the course of the next five years. Despite a month in which mortgage approvals fall to their one of their lowest levels, the number of agreed sales showed a slight increase in January, up from 19.1 to 19.7, and the 12 month member forecast is more optimistic around activity levels with 48% of surveyors still expecting sales to rise. ‘The changes to stamp duty and pending introduction of LBTT in Scotland are, to varying degrees, providing an incentive to first time buyers, but there remain a number of challenges to market, such as ongoing affordability constraints, lack of stock and an air of caution in the run-up to the general election,’ said Simon Rubinsohn, RICS chief economist. ‘Overall, while the RICS lead indicators suggest the level of house building looks set to increase over the course of 2015, the volume of home starts will still fall considerably short of the number of new households being formed, let alone making a dent in the historic shortfall of housing across all tenures,’ he added. Continue reading
Home repossession in UK down 26% in 2014, year on year
The number of home repossessions in the UK fell 26% in 2014 compared to the previous year, the lowest since 2006, according to the latest data from the Council of Mortgage Lenders (CML). Out of the 21,000 total number of repossessions, 16,100 were on owner occupied properties, and 4,900 were on buy to let properties, the data also shows. At 0.3%, the repossession rate on buy to let mortgages was higher than the 0.17% on owner occupier loans, despite the fact that the underlying arrears rate was lower on buy to let lending than on home owner lending. The CML said that this is unsurprising, as lenders offer extended forbearance to owner occupiers to help them get through periods of financial difficulty without losing their home. Some 1.05% of all mortgages were in arrears equivalent to 2.5% or more of the mortgage balance, down from 1.29% at the end of 2013 and 1.12% at the end of the third quarter of 2014. In numerical terms, this equates to 116,800 loans, down from 124,400 at the end of the third quarter, and 144,600 at the end of 2013. Within the total number of mortgages in arrears, there was also a decline in all of the individual arrears bands. Even among the heaviest arrears band, more than 10%, there was a 14% decline year on year to 24,700 cases at the end of 2014, some 5% lower than at the end of the third quarter. The two main traditional drivers of mortgage difficulty are income shocks such as unemployment and interest rates. The CML report points out that both factors are relatively benign at present, assisting the decline in both arrears and repossessions, supported by effective lender practices. Looking ahead, the CML and lenders are very aware that, at some future point, interest rates will rise, and that this will put increased pressure on some household finances. The CML and lenders urge customers to plan ahead for this, to reduce the risk of shocks whenever interest rates do eventually rise. ‘The relatively low rate of repossession among owner occupiers at around one in 600 mortgages last year, should help to reassure borrowers that, if they do face payment difficulties, lenders will work with them to try to resolve their problems. Repossession is only ever a last resort,’ said CML director general Paul Smee. No one should be lulled into a false sense of security that the current low interest rates we are experiencing will last forever, though. Rules are in place to ensure lenders assess future affordability, but these are not a substitute for careful borrowing,’ he explained. ‘It's essential for borrowers themselves to have one eye on the future. Think through any borrowing taken on now to ensure it will still be affordable if and when rates rise,’ he added. Continue reading
London mayor reveals plans for 26,500 new homes along the Thames
A blueprint for creating thousands of new homes along the River Thames has been published by the Mayor of London, Boris Johnson. The draft London Riverside Opportunity Area Planning Framework (OAPF) sets out the planning, regeneration and design guidance that will lead to the creation of 26,500 new homes and up to 16,000 jobs across the boroughs of Barking and Dagenham and Havering, and a small part of Newham. The Mayor has identified 38 Opportunity Areas across the capital. Opportunity Areas are London's major source of brownfield land with significant capacity for new housing, commercial and other development linked to existing or potential improvements to public transport accessibility. By establishing Opportunity Areas, and working closely with London boroughs and partner agencies, the Mayor will be best able to deliver significant social and economic regeneration. The London Riverside Opportunity Area stretches from the Royal Docks to Rainham Marshes, a total distance of 12 kilometres. The document, which is now open for consultation, sets out the Mayor's strategic priorities and long term vision for the area over the next 20 years, how the area should evolve into a sustainable and successful part of the city and how it relates to the wider south east of the UK. In order to transform the London Riverside into a thriving new part of London, the planning framework discusses the importance of improved transport connections. This includes the potential extension of the Gospel Oak London Overground line, a new railway station at Beam Park, improvements to the A13 and new river crossings. ‘The capital is now home to a record number of people and we are working tirelessly to ensure we have the homes, jobs and transport infrastructure to support the city's unprecedented growth. London Riverside can deliver genuinely affordable high quality housing for Londoners in a fantastic Thameside setting,’ said Sir Edward Lister, Deputy Mayor for Planning. Much of the land in the London Riverside is already in the Mayor's ownership and the framework also recommends speeding up the development of publicly owned land assets to deliver the jobs and homes the city needs. Continue reading
