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Record December for house prices in Scotland

Scottish house prices have increased by £6,700 in the last 12 months to hit a six year high, nearing the pre-recession peak, the latest index report shows. Prices in December increased by 0.3% and year on year price growth is up 4.2%, taking the average house price to £165,075, according to the Your Move Scotland house price index. Total home sales in 2014 were 11% higher than 2013, led by the first time buyer market and despite falling oil prices property values in Aberdeen have seen some of the strongest annual growth, up 10%. Indeed, average house prices in Aberdeenshire and the Shetland Islands both reached new records in December, while overall Scottish house prices reached a crescendo at the end of 2014, ending on a high note with an all-time record December. ‘After the brief unsteadying influence of the independence referendum, house price growth has firmly fallen back into a steady rhythm, and values climbed 0.3% in December,’ said Christine Campbell, regional managing director of Your Move. She pointed out that values have risen 4.2% or £6,688 in a year, taking them to the highest level seen since June 2008. Standing at £165,075 in December, this means the average house price in Scotland is now just £440 shy of the pre-recession peak, and households across the country are beginning to taste the fruits of the economic revival. ‘Speculation has been running wild as to the effect of plummeting oil prices on Aberdeen’s housing market. However, the city actually witnessed the biggest annual jump in house prices on mainland Scotland, up 10% in the past 12 months, equivalent to £20,438,’ explained Campbell. ‘Aberdeen is also holding its ground as one of the most expensive places to buy, and during December the city recorded the highest price paid for a property in Scotland throughout the whole of 2014, at £3million,’ she pointed out. ‘Growth is making its way beyond these urban economic centres though, and the Shetland Islands joins Aberdeenshire in setting a new record house price in December. Stronger activity at the bottom rungs of the ladder has pushed the average price for a terraced home in the Shetland Islands up from £106,000 in the fourth quarter of 2013 to £156,000 in the fourth quarter of 2014,’ she added. Demand from first time buyers means that at the lower end for affordable starter homes sector flats have become the most frequently purchased type of property in Scotland. Sales of flats between July and December 2014 have seen a 6% rise on the same period a year previously. Argyll and Bute saw the biggest year on year increase in transactions during the second half of the year, with flats sales up 28%. The data shows that overall, the total number of home sales in Scotland during 2014 was 11% up on 2013 but the majority of that progress was made in the busier first six months of the year, showing an increase of… Continue reading

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Overseas buyer confidence strengthening in Italy

With the euro at a seven year low against the pound and prime prices in some parts of Italy at their lowest level since the financial crisis, buyer confidence is strengthening, it is claimed. According to Rupert Fawcett, Knight Frank’s head of Italian sales, stock levels remain high. ‘As we move into the traditional spring selling season, more good quality homes are coming onto the market. Not only are vendors being more realistic on price but in some cases prices are 30% below their 2009 peak, with even larger margins being observed in areas such as Umbria and Lombardy,’ he said. ‘There is a growing sense that prices have reached the bottom of the curve and that whilst we are unlikely to see price growth in the short term, we are also unlikely to see significant falls. Sterling and the dollar are now at record highs against the euro making a second home purchase in Italy even more attractive to buyers from the UK, the US and increasingly amongst expats who have relocated to Asia,’ he explained. He also pointed out that the European Central Bank’s decision to introduce quantitative easing at the end of January may ultimately lead to a stronger Euro but it has, for the moment, strengthened confidence amongst Eurozone purchasers. The Greek election result by comparison has had little impact on enquiry levels. All of these contributing factors have led to a visible increase in enquiries and viewing numbers. The number of viewings generated by Italian properties on Knight Frank’s website jumped 31% between December and January. ‘This is an indication that recent currency fluctuations and the ECB’s shift in policy is impacting on buyers’ minds,’ added Fawcett. In terms of the focus of demand, the firm has found that Tuscany continues to generate the highest number of viewings and sales, but Liguria, Venice and Rome are also attracting strong interest. ‘The latter two underline the increased interest in city living, with Florence joining this triumvirate. Whilst an improved lifestyle remains the key motivation amongst buyers in Italy, the potential investment opportunity is increasingly a consideration for those looking at a city purchase,’ Fawcett said. He added that apartments provide an easier ownership route without the need for a large capital outlay and minimal ongoing maintenance. Continue reading

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Home purchase lending up just 1% in final month of 2014, CML data shows

House purchase lending to home buyers increased slightly by 1% month on month in December but compared to December 2013, the number of loans fell by 5%, according to the latest CML data. However, the figures from the Council of Mortgage Lenders also show that first time buyers saw a month on month lending increase, up 3% on November, but still 3% down on December 2013. By value, £3.8 billion was advanced to first time buyers in December, 6% up on November but unchanged compared to December 2013 while the number of loans advanced to home movers was 29,500, the same as November but down 8% on December 2013. By value, lending to movers totalled £5.5 billion, up 2% on November but 2% down on December 2013. Remortgage lending activity also saw a decline with the number of remortgage loans 7% down on November and 13% down on December 2013. The value of these loans at £3.4 billion was down 6% on the previous month and down 11% on December the previous year. Buy to let loans totalled 17,300 in December, unchanged from November but up 18% compared to December 2013. The total value of these loans at £2.5 billion was up 4% month on month and up 32% compared to December 2013. On a quarterly basis home owner house purchase lending fell 5% and was down 3% compared to the fourth quarter of 2013. The value of these loans at £28.8 billion declined compared to the third quarter by 8% but was up 2% compared to the same period in 2013. First time buyers in the fourth quarter of 2014 saw minimal change compared to the previous quarter and the same quarter in 2013. There were 80,100 loans advanced to first time buyers in this period, down 2% on the third quarter and unchanged compared to the fourth quarter of 2013. The value of these loans totalled £11.6 billion, which was down 5% on the third quarter but 5% up on the fourth quarter of 2013. Home movers were advanced 93,100 loans in the fourth quarter, a decline of 8% compared to the third quarter and 5% down year on year. These loans totalled £17.2 billion in value, 10% down on the previous quarter, but unchanged compared to the fourth quarter of 2013. Remortgage lending declined this quarter with 73,100 loans advanced, down 3% on the third quarter and 13% down on the fourth quarter 2013. The value of these loans at £11.1 billion declined 4% quarter on quarter and 10% year on year compared to the fourth quarter 2013. Buy to let loans totalled 54,000 in the fourth quarter of 2014, up 4% on the previous quarter and up 16% on the same period in 2013. This totalled in value £7.7 billion, an increase of 5% on the third quarter and up 26% on the fourth quarter 2013. Overall for 2014, home owner house purchase totalled 676,900 loans, up 11% on… Continue reading

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