Tag Archives: news
US pending homes sales more or less unchanged in December
Pending home sales in the United States were mostly unchanged in December, but inched forward slightly, fuelled by a large increase in the Northeast that outpaced declines in the other three major regions. The latest index from the National Association of Realtors increase by just 0.1% month on month and is now 4.2% above December 2014, the 16th month in a row that it has risen. ‘Warmer than average weather and more favourable inventory conditions compared to other parts of the country encouraged more households in the North east to make the decision to buy last month,’ said Lawrence Yun, NAR chief economist. ‘Overall, while sustained job creation is spurring more activity compared to a year ago, the ability to find available homes in affordable price ranges is difficult for buyers in many job creating areas. With home building still grossly inadequate, steady price appreciation and tight supply conditions aren't going away any time soon,’ he added. According to Yun, although healthy labour market conditions will persuade more households to buy, it's possible overall demand could be somewhat curtailed in coming months. The stock market's sizeable losses since the start of the year and the effect slowing manufacturing activity is having in some areas, especially in the energy sector, could cause some to hold off on buying. ‘The silver lining from the market turmoil in recent weeks is the fact that mortgage rates have slightly declined. Buyers looking to close on a home before the spring buying season begins may be rewarded with a mortgage rate at or below 4%,’ Yun explained. Existing homes sales this year are forecast to be around 5.34 million, an increase of 1.5% from 2015. The national median existing home price for all of this year is expected to increase between 4% and 5%, down from the 6.8% in 2015. Rents, which have far outpaced wages in recent years, are expected to slightly slow to 3.3% growth in 2016 from 3.6% a year ago. Multifamily housing starts are expected to reach 420,000 units this year, the highest level since 1987. A breakdown of the data shows that the data increased 6.1% in the North east in December, and is now 15.3% above a year ago. In the Midwest the index decreased 1.1% to 103.6 in December, but is still 3.6% above December 2014. Pending home sales in the South declined 0.5% to an index of 119.3 in December but are 1% higher than last December. The index in the West decreased 2.1% in December to 97.5, but remains 3.4% above a year ago. Continue reading
New buy to let tax regime set to lead to higher rents, research suggests
The majority of landlords in the UK believe the Government’s tax changes last year will discourage investment in the buy to let sector, new research suggests. Some 86% believe it will prevent investment some 90% think it will also result in higher rents and overall they believe it will ultimately lead to a shortage of available of rental homes. The research from lettings and property management company Orchard and Shipman Group also reveals that a quarter of landlords will be selling some, or all of their properties, but just 18% of landlords said they would pull out of the market all together. The research also reveals that over 90% of landlords believe they should be free to deduct legitimate costs, just like any other business. More than half of landlords surveyed said they would be raising rents in 2016 to cover the increased financing costs. ‘The Government’s changes to the way buy to let investors are taxed will inevitably impact revenue. The shortage of housing, a growing rental market and rising property prices is driving increased demand for rental properties,’ said Shane Spiers, chief executive officer of Orchard and Shipman Residential . ‘With these market conditions at play, it’s no surprise that landlords will be putting up rents to supplement their income. Unfortunately, it is tenants that will feel the brunt of the tax changes,’ he added. However, he pointed out that the Government’s ambition to make buy to let look less appealing, may yet be thwarted as many landlords and property investors are committed and passionate and will do whatever it takes to protect their interests. ‘Our research shows that the majority of landlords are looking at ways to recover the potential drop in revenue and we are advising landlords on the options available to them. I believe that the buy to let market will pull together to ensure it continues to provide much needed accommodation to meet growing tenant demand,’ added Spiers. Continue reading
Irish property prices up 0.5% month on month, but fall in Dublin
Residential property prices in Ireland increased by 6.6% in 2015 with home values outside of Dublin recovering well, the latest data shows. The figures from the Central Statistics Office show that overall the strong growth experienced in 2014 slowed considerably last year. Prices increased by 16.3% year on year in December 2014. Month on month prices were up by 0.5% in the month of December compared to a decrease of 0.5% recorded in November. However, in Dublin residential property prices decreased by 0.5% in December but were 2.6% higher than a year ago. However, a breakdown of the figures show that house prices in the city decreased by 0.5% in December. But they are 2.1% higher compared to a year ago. Dublin apartment prices were 7.8% higher when compared with the same month of 2014. However, it should be noted that the sub-indices for apartments are based on low volumes of observed transactions and consequently suffer from greater volatility than other series. Prices in the rest of Ireland rose by 1.2% in December compared with a rise of 0.7% in December of last year. Prices were 10.2% higher than in December 2014. The slowdown in price growth towards the end of 2015 means that prices are still some way down from their peaks in 2007. House prices in Dublin are 34.2% lower than at their highest level and apartment prices are 40.6% lower, while overall prices are 36.1% lower. In the rest of Ireland pries are 35.4% lower than their highest level in September 2007 and overall, the national index is 33.5% lower than its highest level in 2007. Meanwhile, IPD/SCSI quarterly property index shows that total return for Irish property was 25% in 2015, down considerably from the record breaking 40% achieved in 2014. MSCI, a provider of indexes, portfolio risk and performance analytics, also revealed that total returns from investment property hit 25% year on year in the fourth quarter of 2015, and described it as another strong year for the Irish market. This outpaced the UK market return of 13.8% as per the IPD UK Monthly Property Index with the Irish index now including residential properties for the first time since the third quarter of 2015. The office sector continued to lead the market, returning 5.6% in the last quarter to close out 2015 with a 27.1% year on year total return. The retail sector returned 20.9% and the industrial sector 21.2% for the year. Rental value growth was the key driver in the Irish market during 2015 as market rents grew by 14.4%. The index report says that strong rental value growth indicates a clear sign of business confidence in the Irish economy but also endemic of the limited supply of office space in Dublin city centre. 2015 also proved to be the year in which the Irish recovery spread nationwide, with obvious improvements in the regional retail sector and a growing demand for modern… Continue reading
