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Short term rental market described as having potential for property investment

The supply of short term rental accommodation is not meeting a new demand from companies who are relying more on sort term employment models, according to a new real estate report. It means that those investing in the short term market in cities with demand in the sector are in line to reap the economic benefits, according to the Global Cities 2016 report from international property firm Knight Frank. It says that short term assignments are forecast to grow to over a fifth of all international relocations in the three years to 2017 meanwhile, long term assignments are expected to fall from 52% to 45% over the same period. However, supply of short term rental accommodation is struggling to meet demand in many established markets and the situation is compounded by the fact that short term lets often fall into a legal grey area. ‘Against this background, those cities that embrace the short term rental model stand to benefit in the future,’ the report points out. ‘For investors and landlords, there are clear long term rewards in the world of short term rental accommodation. Cities that embrace the flexibility of models like serviced apartments will reap the economic rewards,’ it adds. The research also shows that worldwide, the number of serviced apartments has grown by 80% since 2008 to over 750,000. The trend looks set to continue with the number of apartments increasing by as much as 18.2% between 2014 and 2015. The United States accounts for 61% of the world’s serviced apartment locations, followed by Europe at 17%, Australasia at 11% and Asia at 5.5%. The fact that demand exceeds supply puts upwards pressure on occupancy levels with nearly three quarters of global operators reporting a year on year increase. The report describes the private short let market as a potentially lucrative option and says that the reward from higher rental values, which are typically double those in the long term market, is balanced by the greater risk of void periods. However, private lets below a certain period of time are restricted in many key markets around the world. It also points out that while lets of less than 30 days are a grey area in New York for example, this has done little to diminish the growth of online short term accommodation providers like One Fine Stay and Airbnb. Despite many companies favouring serviced apartments for reasons of transparency and uniformity of service and quality, Airbnb is increasingly targeting corporate travellers and aims to grow this side of its business which currently accounts for 10% of stays. Continue reading

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UK house prices continue to creep upward, latest index shows

House prices in the UK increased by 0.6% in October, taking the average price of a home to £196,807, according to the latest index to be published. The data from the Nationwide, one of the country’s main lenders, prices are now up 3.9% year on year. The report points out that over the past five months annual price growth has remained in a fairly narrow range between 3% and 4%, broadly consistent with earnings growth over the longer term. ‘While this bodes well for a sustainable increase in housing market activity, much will depend on whether building activity can keep pace with increasing demand,’ said Robert Gardner, Nationwide's chief economist. He also pointed out that fixed rate mortgages have remained the most popular because of ongoing uncertainty about when the Bank of England might introduce an interest rate rise. ‘Historically low interest rates have helped to offset the negative impact of rising house prices on affordability. Indeed, even though house prices are at an all-time high, the cost of servicing a typical mortgage is still close to the long term average as a share of take home pay,’ Gardner explained. He said that fewer variable interest rate mortgages should help to insulate many households from the impact of higher interest rates but he warned that the majority of recent fixes are for relatively short time periods with 65% for two years and 30% for five years. ‘Nevertheless, the housing market should be able to cope with higher interest rates in the year ahead, provided the increase is modest and the economy and the labour market remain in good shape,’ he said ‘Guidance from the Bank of England suggests that the increase in interest rates is likely to be gradual, and that they are expected to settle at a level somewhat below the average prevailing before the financial crisis, which should help ensure borrowing costs remain manageable,’ he added. Alex Gosling, chief executive officer of online estate agents HouseSimple believes that as building activity is highly unlikely to keep up with demand, average house prices are likely to continue to rise and rising interest rates could affect many home owners. ‘It's hard to believe but many home owners have never known a conventional interest rate environment, and when it finally comes it could well prove a shock. If the economy holds firm then gradual rate rises will be better accommodated, but the extent of the impact of a rate rise on the market remains a great unknown,’ he explained. ‘What we can say with near certainty is that if rates rise sharply, many borrowers could get caught out. Thankfully people are moving to fixed rate mortgages to protect themselves,’ he added. According to Mark Dyason, director of Edinburgh Mortgage Advice, borrowers know higher rates are coming sooner or later and they are thinking ahead. ‘First time buyers and people with smaller deposits are especially likely to select a fixed rate because that's what most lenders are… Continue reading

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UK building industry facing severe shortages, says RICS survey

The UK’s construction industry is facing its greatest skills crisis since 1998, with bricklayers and quantity surveyors in shortest supply, a new survey shows. These highest skills shortage on record are set to limit sector growth potential but despite this a sharp growth in construction is reported across UK, according to the report from the Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors (RICS). Over half of respondents, 53%, reported difficulty sourcing labour, with 71% saying they had particular difficulty sourcing bricklayers and 64% highlighting a shortage of quantity surveyors. During the same period in 2011, just 1% of respondents were struggling to find bricklayers and only 15% noted a shortage of quantity surveyors. In addition to labour supply, 69% of firms said that financial constraints, such as access to credit, were among the biggest constraints to growth, while 60% said that regulatory and planning issues were potent constraints. However, despite these challenges, the survey shows significant areas of growth, with the number of new construction projects increasing, particularly in private housing and commercial sectors. While official figures, which are often subject to revision, highlighted a slight contraction in output over the three months to August, a substantial proportion of respondents in the RICS survey reported an increase in their workloads, a net balance +39%, with 29% of firms saying that they were operating at full capacity. The private housing and commercial sectors continue to lead the growth in workloads with net balances of 47% and 46% respectively reporting an increase. However, momentum was least firm in the public sector with net balances of 12% and 21% reporting growth in workloads in the housing and non-housing segments respectively. Meanwhile, in the infrastructure sector, growth accelerated somewhat with a balance of 34% seeing workloads rise, up from 25% in the previous quarter. ‘While it’s exciting to see that the UK is experiencing growth across the construction sectors, future growth will only be sustainable if the growing skills crisis is addressed. The availability of both blue collar and white collar construction workers is reaching crisis point,’ said Simon Rubinsohn, RICS chief economist. ‘We haven’t witnessed a labour shortage of its kind in nearly 20 years. Without the relevant skills, we will not be able to grow many of the Government’s priority construction sectors such as infrastructure,’ he pointed out. ‘Currently, while we know that there is a serious shortage of skills, we don’t yet know why we have seen such a dramatic drop in the labour market over the past five years. Part of the problem is the legacy of the collapse in the sector following the onset of the Global Financial Crisis,’ he explained. ‘Many professionals and other skilled workers chose to leave the industry and quite simply have not returned or been replaced. A real focus on attracting more young people into the industry is critical alongside an expansion of apprenticeship opportunities,’ he added. Continue reading

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