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Property prices in Ireland growing faster outside of Dublin, latest index shows
Property prices in Ireland increased 1.3% nationwide in September and are 8.9% higher year on year, the latest official figures shows. But a breakdown of the data from the Central Statistics Office reveals that prices are now growing faster outside of Dublin than in the capital city which is no longer leading the nation. In Dublin residential property prices rose by 0.9% in September and they are now 6.5% higher than in September 2014. This was the lowest annual increase since June 2013 and contrasts with the 20% rise recorded in April. Dublin house prices rose by 1.1% in September while apartment prices decreased by 0.4%. Experts said that the decline is due to the introduction of lending restrictions by the Central Bank’s lending restrictions and the ending of the Capital Gains Tax (CGT) waiver for property purchases. Outside of Dublin residential property prices rose by 1.6% in September and they are now up 11.4% compared with September 2014. This means that across Ireland prices were 34.6% lower than their peak level in 2007 while in Dublin they were 35.6% lower. Excluding Dublin prices were 47.7% lower. Peter Stafford of Property Industry Ireland, which represents property sector firms, pointed out that the last few months have been relatively stable for house prices, with fairly consistent low level growth. He believes that the slowdown in house price growth in Dublin is largely driven by reduced borrowing capacity because of the new Central Bank mortgage rules and he also pointed out that sales are doing well. Between January and August 2015, there were 29,916 housing sales nationwide compared to 23,626 in the same period of 2014 and 16,462 in January to August 2013. But he warned that there is a severe shortage of affordable homes to buy in many urban areas. ‘Population growth, demographic trends, as well as internal migration, will lead to increased transactions into the future. So it is vital that people looking to move house have a genuine choice of affordable accommodation,’ he added. Stafford also explained that the Irish government missed an opportunity in the recent Budget to boost home building and address the shortage. While the government has pledged 20,000 new homes by 2020 it could do more to encourage private builders by reducing the cost of new housing through a fall in VAT and development levies, the organisation has said. He added that while the delayed revaluation of housing for Local Property Tax to 2019 will help home owners over the short term, more needs to be done as part of a wider overhaul of property tax to create a sustainable, predictable and fair property tax system. Continue reading
A rent freeze in London could seriously reduce number of properties available, study finds
Some 60% of London landlords would reduce the size of their property portfolios in the event of a rent freeze, new research has found. The report commissioned by the London Assembly Housing Committee carried out by the Cambridge Centre for Housing and Planning Research (CCHPR), surveyed amateur landlords with just a few properties as well as commercial build to rent landlords and investors. CCHPR put forward six potential scenarios of rent stabilisation, from a one off rent freeze for three years, through to linking rent rises to wage rises. The study found that the majority of landlords would continue as they are if rents could only be increased in line with inflation, although 40% of participants stated that they would sell some or all of their properties if this measure was introduced. What's more, the report claims that on the whole landlords taking part are not keen to offer longer tenancies but 52% said they would be more inclined to do so if tax incentives were available for doing so. ‘Much has been said from all sides about rent controls but the debate has been sorely lacking in facts, so it's incredibly useful to have these set out in this report,’ said Tom Copley, chair of the London Assembly Housing Committee. ‘The choice is not simply between regulating rents and not regulating rents. There is no one size fits all system of rent control, with many cities around the world adopting different models. Each system has upsides and downsides,’ he explained. ‘In terms of what would work for London we need solutions that work for the millions of Londoners, especially families, in the rental sector. For families, the prospect of having to up sticks with very little notice often means disruption to many aspects of their lives, including schooling and employment,’ he added. According to David Smith, policy director for the Residential Landlords Association, it is clear that the country will need more homes to rent, if it is to address the housing crisis. ‘This report reminds us of the dangers of rent controls which would in fact reduce supply, thereby increasing rents. Rent controls would also severely reduce standards in rented housing as investment dries up,’ he said. Continue reading
Pending home sales fall across the United States, latest index shows
Pending home sales in the United States cooled in September for the second month in a row, taking them to their second lowest index reading in 2015, according to the latest index. All four major regions experienced a pullback in activity in September, the Pending Home Sales Index, a forward looking indicator based on contract signings, from the National Association of Realtors shows. The index declined 2.3% to 106.8 in September from a slightly downwardly revised 109.3 in August but is still 3% above September 2014 when it was 103.7. With last month's decline, the index is now at its second lowest level of the year but has still increased year on year for 13 straight months. Lawrence Yun, NAR chief economist, said that a combination of factors likely led to September's dip in contract signings. ‘There continues to be a dearth of available listings in the lower end of the market for first time buyers and realtors in many areas are reporting stronger competition than what's normal this time of year because of stubbornly low inventory conditions,’ he explained. ‘Additionally, the rockiness in the financial markets at the end of the summer and signs of a slowing US economy may be causing some prospective buyers to take a wait and see approach,’ he added. Despite contract activity softening from the more robust levels seen earlier this year, Yun believes the housing market will still likely be one of the brighter spots in the economy in coming months. ‘With interest rates hovering around 4%, rents rising at a near eight year high, and job growth holding strong, albeit at a more modest pace than earlier this year, the overall demand for buying should stay at a healthy level despite some weakness in the overall economy,’ he added. The PHSI in the Northeast fell 4% to 89.6 in September, but is still 3.9% above a year ago. In the Midwest the index declined 2.5% to 104.7 in September, but remains 4.3% above September 2014. Pending home sales in the South decreased 2.6% to an index of 118.3 in September and are now 0.1% below last September. The index in the West inched back 0.2% in September to 104.4, but is still 6.6% above a year ago. Continue reading
