Tag Archives: investment
House price growth continued across the UK in November, latest ONS data shows
House prices in the UK increased by 7.7% in the year to November 2015, up from 7% the previous month, according to figures from the Office of National Statistics. House price annual inflation was 8.3% in England, 1.3% in Wales, 0.4% in Scotland and 4.6% in Northern Ireland. The ONS data also shows that house price growth in England were driven by an annual increase in the East of 10.2%, the South East at 9.8% and London also at 9.8%. Excluding London and the South East, UK house prices increased by 5.8% in the 12 months to November 2015. On a seasonally adjusted basis, average house prices increased by 0.8% between October and November 2015 and prices paid by first time buyers were 7.4% higher on average than in November 2014. The continued upward trend is likely to exacerbate affordability issues for first time buyers, according to Steve Bolton, founder of Platinum Property Partners who added that it is a result of the current dearth in property supply. ‘Recent initiatives aimed at addressing the challenges faced by first time buyers show little signs of reversing this trend. The Chancellor’s decision to levy a 3% surcharge on stamp duty for landlords and second home owners may be with first time buyers’ interests at heart, but in reality this is likely to drive up house prices further in the short term as buyers rush to compete purchases before spring,’ he explained. ‘The stamp duty changes and restriction on buy to let tax relief gives the impression that a strong private rental is a barrier to popular home ownership. However, the reality is that by attacking private landlords and increasing buy to let costs, tenants are likely to face rising rents which is a huge barrier to future home ownership,’ he pointed out. ‘The tax grab is targeted purely at landlords with mortgages, excluding the wealthiest landlords. This is unfair and undemocratic, which is why we’re currently co-heading a legal challenge to fight these changes. Having received considerable industry support, as well as raising funding for the initial stage in a matter of days, its clear many landlords agree the tax changes pose a serious threat to the future of the buy to let market,’ he added. Rishi Passi, chief executive of Oblix Capital believes that the lack of supply is unlikely to change in the short term. ‘Better job prospects, wage improvement and recurring delays in interest rate rises mean that it’s likely this surge in house sales and price inflation will continue, for the meantime at least,’ he said. ‘Further investment is needed to encourage house building, stem the supply imbalance in crowded markets, and ensure that small and medium sized developers have access to the finance they need,’ he added. Jonathan Hopper, managing director of buying agents Garrington Property Partners, pointed out that overall first time buyer prices are rising more… Continue reading
Home sales fell in Canada in December, latest index data shows
Home sales in Canada fell slightly month on month in December but are still above where they were a year ago, according to the latest data from the Canadian Real Estate Association. Transactions were down 0.6% overall and fell in slightly more than half of all local markets, led by declines in Calgary, Edmonton, the York Region of the Greater Toronto Area (GTA) and Hamilton Burlington which offset monthly activity gains recorded elsewhere. Year on year price growth continued to range widely among housing markets tracked by the index. The actual, not seasonally adjusted, national average price for homes sold in December 2015 was $454,342, up 12% year on year, but it continues to be pulled upward by sales activity in Greater Vancouver and Greater Toronto, which are among Canada’s most active and expensive housing markets. If these two housing markets are excluded from calculations, the average is a more modest $336,994 and the year on year gain is reduced to 5.4%. Even then, the gain reflects a tug of war between strong average price gains in housing markets around the GTA and the Lower Mainland of British Columbia versus flat or declining average prices elsewhere in Canada, the report points out. It adds that if British Columbia and Ontario are excluded from calculations, the average price slips even lower to $294,363, representing a year in year decline of 2.2%. Greater Vancouver with a rise of 18.87% and the Fraser Valley up 14.35% posted the largest gains, followed closely by Greater Toronto up 10.01%. Victoria and Vancouver Island prices increased between 6% and 8% and prices were up by 0.62% in Ottawa, by 1.81% in Greater Montreal and by 3.88% in Greater Moncton. Prices fell by 2% in Calgary and Saskatoon and by 4% in Regina. While the home price declines in Calgary and Saskatoon are a fairly recent trend, prices in Regina have been trending lower since early 2014, the index report points out. An increasingly short supply of listings in Vancouver and Toronto blunted the impact of changes to mortgage regulations announced in December that were aimed at cooling these housing markets, according to CREA president Pauline Aunger. ‘Buyers there had been expected to bring forward their purchase decisions before new regulations take effect in February 2016, but they faced a growing shortage of supply. Meanwhile, supply is ample in many other major urban markets, particularly those where buyers have become cautious amid economic uncertainty,’ she explained. Indeed, December mirrored the main themes of 2015, with strong sales activity and price growth across much of British Columbia and Ontario offsetting declines in activity among oil producing regions, said Gregory Klump, CREA’s chief economist. ‘The recent decline and uncertain outlook for oil prices means that housing market prospects are unlikely to improve in the near term in regions where job market prospects are tied to oil production,’ he added. A breakdown of the figures show that actual, not seasonally adjusted,… Continue reading
Rents in UK likely to grow at a slower pace in 2016
Rents for newly let homes in the UK continued to grow in 2015 albeit at a slower pace than in 2014, according to the latest index report. Average rents grew by 3.1% over the year, taking the average monthly rent to £919 per calendar month, according to the data from property services group Countrywide. Rents rose in all regions of the country with the East of England seeing the highest growth, up 6.5%, and the c London market seeing the lowest with 0.5% growth. The report also shows that 34% of tenants who renewed their tenancy faced higher rents, an increase of 7% from last year. However, the average rent for renewing tenancies only grew by 1.3%, less than for those moving into a new home. Rental growth over 2015 was supported by increasing demand for rental homes and low stock of homes available to rent. This imbalance between supply and demand has intensified competition for homes in the market. The average property is now let within 20 days of being instructed; two days quicker than it was in 2014. The time to let has fallen across the country, but homes in the North of England and the Midlands are now let almost three days quicker. Greater London as a whole saw a slowdown in rental growth in 2015 compared with 2014, but rents still rose by 4.7%. As rents have risen in recent years, tenants have increasingly looked to cheaper areas in Outer London. As a result the proportion of under 25s living in the rental sector in London fell by 4% in 2015, the continuation of a longer term trend. As rents continue to increase and outpace earnings in the capital, younger people and those in lower income brackets, have found it harder to remain in the capital, particularly in central areas. Surrounding regions in the South of England have seen small growth in the proportion of under 25s in their market, as Londoners look further afield for more affordable markets. ‘A mix of steadily increasing demand and a lack of homes to rent supported rental growth in 2015, even though wage growth remained subdued. In London rising costs meant renters were more likely to move to outer London or the commuter belt in search of more affordable places to live,’ said Johnny Morris, research director at Countrywide. ‘2016 looks to be a complicated year for landlords as the government focuses its efforts on boosting homeownership. The additional 3% stamp duty charge, stricter regulation and changes to tax relief from 2017 onwards will all take their toll on investor sentiment and impact behaviour,’ he explained. ‘With stock at a premium, the smaller landlords who decide to sell up will add upward pressure to rents, although any rises will be tempered by affordability pressures,’ he added. Continue reading
