Tag Archives: housing
Lending to first time buyers with small deposits in UK falling
First time buyers in the UK are still finding themselves left out in the cold as lending to small deposit borrowers is falling as a proportion of all home lending, a new report shows. The Autumn Statement from the Chancellor of the Exchequer accompanied a house purchase jump in November with approvals up 1.3% to 70,511, according to the latest Mortgage Monitor from chartered surveyors e.surv. However, it explained that while the Autumn Statement focused on helping more people get on the housing ladder, first time buyers are yet to see the same benefits as other areas of the market. Despite the rise, lending to small deposit borrowers, that is buyers with a deposit worth 15% or less of their property’s total value, totalled just 11,493 in November, showing no improvement on 11,489 in October. Small deposit borrowers are falling as a proportion of overall house purchase lending, accounting for just 16.3% of approvals granted, down from 16.5% in October. The latest First Time Buyer Tracker report from Your Move and Reeds Rains reveals a similar picture. First time buyer sales dipped by 1.7% month on month from 28,600 in September 2015 to 28,100 in October 2015. ‘The Chancellor’s proposals coincided with a climb in November’s mortgage market. More prospective home buyers are find their applications successful as we near winter,’ said Richard Sexton, director of e.surv. ‘However, for first-time buyers it’s a different story. For those struggling to get their foot in the front door, promises of starter homes are of little consolation. Theoretically, first time buyers should be benefitting from measures such as the extended Help to Buy Scheme and the Help to Buy ISA which has finally come into force but home ownership still remains a distant dream to many,’ he explained. ‘Mortgages may be available, inflation low and wages rising but whether there are enough homes is another question. Supply must be addressed if aspirational home owners are to see a real difference and only time will tell if words can translate into real benefits for first time buyers,’ he added. November saw over 10,000 more mortgages approved to home buyers than a year ago, with 70,511 loans, jumping a fifth since 59,262 in November 2014. This was the highest year on year rise seen since March 2014, as the lending market went from strength to strength amid rising confidence. On an annual basis, this jump in overall home purchase lending has allowed an improvement in small-deposit lending. Home purchase lending to borrowers with smaller deposits grew 44% year on year from November 2014 to 8,000 approvals. However, the current total for small deposit loans, which stands at 11,493 this November, is crucially much smaller compared to the unsustainable pre-recession heights of November 2007, when 16,227 were granted. ‘When compared to last year, mortgage lending is in a much healthier place. Some 12 months ago, home buyers were still suffering from the impact of Mortgage Market Review changes,… Continue reading
Home owners in London most confident about house price growth
Households across the UK perceived that the value of their home rose in December, led by those in London while households in the North East reported no change in prices. Some 11.1% of individuals said they plan to buy a house within the next two years, but this was down from a 12 month average of 12.8% according to the House Price Sentiment Index (HPSI) from Knight Frank and Markit Economics. December’s reading was a slight increase from the 58.7 recorded in November and was higher than the average reading of 58.5 recorded across 2015. However, it remained below the peak of 63.2 achieved in May last year, reflecting the more modest house price growth seen across the country over the last 12 months. The future HPSI, which measures what households think will happen to the value of their property over the next year, was unchanged in December compared to the previous month. An index reading of 70.3 was the joint second highest of the year. Households in 10 of the eleven regions covered by the index reported that prices rose in December, led by households in London at 68.7. In the North East a reading of 50 and households perceived no change in prices over the course of the month. This is only the third time that a region within Great Britain has reported no change or a fall in prices since August 2013. There are a number of regional differences in expectations for price growth with households in London at 77.9, the South East at 76.7 and the East of England at 74.5 the most confident that prices will rise over the next 12 months. Mortgage borrowers were the most confident that prices will rise over the next year at 76.1, followed by those who own their home outright at 74.9. ‘The localised nature of the housing market is highlighted in the index, with the regional difference between households’ perceptions of house price changes in December at its greatest for nearly 18 months. This regionalised picture is expected to continue next year, with households’ in London expecting the strongest growth in prices in 2016,’ said Gráinne Gilmore, head of UK residential research at Knight Frank. ‘The supply of housing coming onto the market has dipped to record lows in recent months – affecting the ability of families to move up and down the housing ladder. The survey suggests this trend is also set to continue, with a lack of available housing also likely to continue to underpin pricing in many areas,’ she added. According to Tim Moore, a senior economist at Markit, UK households seem to anticipate little fundamental change in prevailing supply and demand dynamics over the course of 2016. He pointed out that buoyant forecasts were reported for property values over the next 12 months, with expectations at a remarkably similar level to those seen at the end of 2013 and 2014. ‘At the same time, the proportion of UK… Continue reading
Sales and prices in Canada still rising but market is balanced, says CREA
Home sales in Canada increased by 1.8% month on month in November with the number of new listings also rising, up 3.1% compared with October, the latest index figures shows. Prices also increased, up by 10.2% year on year but this figure is affected by prices in Greater Vancouver and Greater Toronto as when they are excluded the annual price growth is 3.4%. The data from the Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA) also shows that year on year sales were up 10.9% and overall the housing market remains balanced. There was a fairly even split between the number of markets where sales posted a monthly increase and those where sales declined. The national increase was again led by monthly sales gains in the lower mainland of British Columbia and in the Greater Toronto Area. Sales activity was down sharply in the Calgary region compared to what were historically high levels posted prior to the collapse in oil prices while the number of newly listed homes rose 3.1% led by the Lower Mainland, Calgary, Edmonton, Kingston and Ottawa. ‘Recently announced changes to mortgage regulations will likely boost sales activity in the short term, as buyers jump off the fence to beat the changes before they take effect next year,’ said CREA president Pauline Aunger. Meanwhile, CREA chief economist Gregory Klump pointed out that changes to mortgage regulations taking effect in the middle of February next year are aimed at cooling the Greater Vancouver and Greater Toronto housing markets. ‘Minimum down payments will be going up for homes that sell for more than half a million dollars, so larger more expensive housing markets will be affected most. Unfortunately, the regulatory changes will also cause unintended collateral damage to housing markets beyond Toronto and Vancouver, including places that are facing economic headwinds from the collapse in oil prices,’ he explained. The national sales to new listings ratio eased to 57.3% in November compared to 58% in October. A sales to new listings ratio between 40% and 60% is generally consistent with balanced housing market conditions, with readings below and above this range indicating buyers’ and sellers’ markets respectively. The ratio was within this range in slightly fewer than half of all local housing markets in November. Of the remainder, more markets recorded a ratio above 60% than fell below 40%. Markets where demand is tight relative to supply are located almost exclusively in British Columbia and Ontario. The number of months of inventory is another important measure of the balance between housing supply and demand. It represents the number of months it would take to completely liquidate current inventories at the current rate of sales activity. There were 5.4 months of inventory on a national basis at the end of November 2015, down from the 5.5 months recorded in October and the lowest level in nearly six years. The national figure is being pulled lower by increasing market tightness in British Columbia and Ontario, according to the index. A… Continue reading
