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UK Mortgage intermediaries set for record lending in 2015
Mortgage intermediaries in the UK are expected to have secured a record breaking share of new mortgages in 2015, according to a new report from the Intermediary Mortgage Lenders Association (IMLA). Its research into the changing face of mortgage distribution has found that its share of new mortgages by value passed 70% for the first time during the second quarter of 2015 to reach 71%. The third quarter witnessed brokers arranging loans valued at £33.3 billion, the highest quarterly total since the beginning of 2008. As a result, IMLA’s analysis shows brokers were responsible for 69% of new lending by value during the first nine months of this year, up from 61% for the same period in 2014. It puts them firmly on track to surpass the record 66% annual share achieved during 2007. The £85.9 billion of lending intermediaries arranged from the first to the third quarters of 2015 already exceeds the annual totals of 2009 to 2013, and was just 12% short of the 2014 total of £98 billion. The IMLA report examines how mortgage distribution has changed following the deregulation of the market in the 1980s, and looks at how technological advances could change distribution in the future. It attributes the general upward trend in brokers’ market share over the past three decades to several key changes; the widening range of lenders, including the emergence of lenders exclusively using broker distribution; growing complexity of mortgage features and pricing; and most recently regulatory changes including the Mortgage Market Review (MMR). By requiring mortgage sales staff to provide advice rather than just information, with the additional qualifications that requires, the MMR has led many lenders to de-emphasise their branch networks and some smaller lenders to end direct distribution altogether. With increased lender competition, a greater range of products and more would-be borrowers falling into ‘non-standard’ categories, today’s market also leaves brokers well positioned to identify those products that are best suited to a particular customer’s needs. However, IMLA’s analysis also shows brokers’ increased share of activity has not been uniform across the market. Proportionally remortgagers and home movers are using the intermediary channel more than ever, yet the proportion of first time buyers arranging their mortgages directly with their lender increased from 32% to 37% between 2006 and 2014. Despite brokers reclaiming market share this year, the percentage of first time buyers going direct remains higher than it was in 2007 when the intermediary channel was at its strongest. This may be influenced by lenders’ marketing activities to first time buyers. While technological advances have traditionally strengthened direct channels within financial services, the IMLA report observes that this has not happened in mortgage lending where the majority of customers still feel the need to speak to a professional. It suggests this is partly due to the complexity of mortgages as a product, and the sheer number of products available on the market. Furthermore, considerations such as term length and the size of the… Continue reading
Irish property price growth slowing as new lending rules have an impact
Residential property prices in Ireland are continuing to increase year on year but the rate of growth has slowed considerably, the latest official data show Figures from the Central Statistics Office shows that in the year to November prices at a national level increased by 6.5%. This compares with an increase of 7.6% in October and an increase of 16.2% recorded in the 12 months to November 2014. The data also show that prices actually fell on a national level month on month in November by 0.5%. This compares with an increase of 1.6% recorded in October and an increase of 0.5% recorded in November of last year. In Dublin residential property prices decreased by 1.3% in November and were 3.3% higher than a year ago. Dublin house prices decreased by 1.2% in the month and were 3.1% higher compared to a year earlier. Dublin apartment prices were 6.1% higher when compared with the same month of 2014. However, it should be noted that the sub-indices for apartments are based on low volumes of observed transactions and consequently suffer from greater volatility than other series. The price of residential properties in the rest of Ireland rose by 0.2% in November compared with a rise of 1.2% in November of last year. Prices were 9.6% higher than in November 2014. House prices in Dublin are now 33.8% lower than at their highest level in early 2007 while apartments in Dublin are 41% lower than they were in February 2007. Prices in Dublin are 35.8% lower than at their highest level in February 2007. The price of residential properties in the rest of Ireland is 36.2% lower than their highest level in September 2007. Overall, the national index is 33.8% lower than its highest level in 2007. However, experts think that prices will rise by around 6% in 2016 and point out that the decrease in prices in Dublin has more to do with new Central Bank rules on lending than a downturn in the real estate market. ‘Given that the Central Bank’s rules on high loan to value mortgages apply only to first time buyers in homes over €220,000, their impact has been felt most sharply in the capital where affordability is most stretched,’ said Conall MacCoille, an analyst with Davy Research. ‘The recovery outside the capital began almost one year later, so that affordability is less stretched, and there is probably more room for catch-up,’ he explained, adding that the firm expects property prices to rise by some 7% through 2016 as wages grow and tax cuts take hold. Goodbody economist Juliet Tennant also believes that the Central Bank’s new lending restrictions, which limit banks from lending any more than 80% of a mortgage except in the case of first time buyers, have had an effect. ‘Macro prudential rules are continuing to have a dampening impact on the Irish housing market. However, the… Continue reading
Annual property rental values in prime central London fell last month
Annual rental value growth in the prime central London residential property market eased to 0.7% in December on the back of falling demand in the financial services sector. Rental values fell 0.4% from November, taking the annual rate of growth to its lowest level since July 2014, according to the latest analysis report from real estate firm Knight Frank. However, Tom Bill, head of London residential research at Knight Frank, explained that there is also an element of seasonality and a quarterly drop of 1.1% in the last three months of the year was the weakest since December 2014 and repeats a pattern of previous years. Rental value growth peaked in May this year at 4.2% and the subsequent decline has resulted in prime gross rental yields dipping from 2.96% to 2.93% over the same period, the report says and demand has fallen over the last six months as a number of banks have implemented restructuring plans. ‘European banks in particular have been slower to cut jobs than their US counterparts following the financial crisis. Profitability has fallen due to new regulations that force banks to hold more capital, which has contributed to job cuts at European banks that have been in excess of 100,000 in recent months,’ said Bill. ‘As well as the macroeconomic backdrop, including uncertainty over China and falling commodity prices, the situation is compounded by the fact many large European banks have new chief executives, who typically take a more radical approach to cost savings in the early stages of their tenure,’ he pointed out. ‘The result is that optimism at financial services companies fell markedly in the third quarter of this year across a range of sectors. However, there have been signs of stronger demand from boutique financial services companies like private equity businesses and hedge funds as clarity emerges surrounding the level of 2016 bonus packages,’ he added. The report also says that demand at the super prime level of £5,000 plus per week remains strong as uncertainty continues to surround taxation and price growth in the higher price brackets of the sales market. ‘Equally, demand remains strong in lower price brackets among workers of all professions, bolstered by the strength of the UK’s economic recovery,’ Bill said. Continue reading
