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Home approvals strengthen in Australia but new home sales fall
New home approvals in Australia strengthened during May and remain at high levels, up 2.4% compared to the previous month, the latest data shows. Multi-unit approvals soared 15.1% but detached house approvals fell by 8.5% with a total of 218,442 approvals recorded in the year to May, a new record for approvals over any 12 month period since records began in 1983. ‘While it is positive to see improved levels of approvals, the distribution of growth was uneven with multi units increasing significantly during the month and detached house approvals falling back,’ said Shane Garrett, the Housing Industry Association’s senior economist. He pointed out that during 2014, new home building reached an all-time high and the latest figures suggest a solid pipeline of new home building during the second half of 2015. ‘However, the recent strengthening of price pressures in several markets indicates that the supply of new homes will need to stay at elevated levels in order to fully address demand,’ he warned. ‘This onus is very much on policymakers here. They must rectify the bottlenecks in the planning system, redress the excessive fees and charges on new residential developments and ensure that the pipeline of residential land will meet the ongoing community demand for new homes,’ he added. A breakdown of the figures shows that approvals saw the strongest increase in Victoria with growth of 11%, followed by New South Wales at 8.8%, Queensland at 3.6%, and Western Australia at 0.2%. Approvals fell significantly in Tasmania with a fall of 32.6% and were down 9.9% in South Australia. In trend terms approvals increased in the Northern Territory by 9.7% and in the ACT by 6% during May. Meanwhile, the HIA New Home Sales Report, a survey of Australia’s largest volume builders, recorded the first decline for 2015 in May with total seasonally adjusted new home sales falling by 2.3%. The decline was driven by a 5.1% dip in detached house sales, and this reflected weaker monthly demand in four out of the five states surveyed, according to HIA chief economist Harley Dale. ‘This is a softer result at face value, but delving beneath the surface reveals an aggregate profile of healthy new home building conditions in 2015. The mature stage of the new home building cycle primarily reflects further momentum in the multi-unit sector, together with persistence of healthy conditions in New South Wales and Victoria,’ he pointed out. The data shows that new sales of multi-units increased by 7.6% to yet a new record level, with sales volumes up by 26.7% over the three months to May. Meanwhile strength in detached houses sales is evident in New South Wales and Victoria, with growth in the May 2015 quarter of 5.2% and 6.2% respectively. ‘Leading indicators such as new home sales and ABS building approvals will provide vital clues in coming months of the sustainability and composition of the upcycle in new home building in 2015/2016,’ said Dale. A breakdown of the… Continue reading
UK student property investment growing, latest figures show
Investment into the UK’s student housing market hit £3.98 billion in the first half of 2015, well ahead of the £2.35 billion for the whole of 2014, the latest data shows. Within that total, London saw a record £1.98 billion of transactions across the first half of the year, according to research from commercial property and real estate services advisor CBRE. The firm said that these numbers come as many investors begin to see the student accommodation market as a higher yielding way of gaining exposure to London’s PRS, with yields at an attractive margin above conventional residential stock. It adds that the record inflows seen in London have caused the fastest change in student housing yields in the whole of the UK, with yields now at 4.75% on a par with the previous peak in 2007. Student housing supply remains constrained across the UK, as a growing number of students chase a severely limited stock of purpose built accommodation in most university towns, according to Jo Winchester, head of student housing advisory at CBRE. ‘So long as demand outstrips supply, upward pressure on both rents and capital values will continue to make the market an attractive proposition for investors, and we don't expect the market to come off the boil for some time,’ explained Winchester. She added that some investors see student housing as a more cost effective way of gaining access to the PRS, both in terms of higher yields and lower capital values per square foot. ‘Although there are differences between residential and student accommodation operational models, some larger student housing operators and investors in the sector are beginning to explore build to let development and investing in the PRS. As this happens, it is possible that the operational models could become more closely aligned,’ she concluded. Continue reading
Economic crisis not affecting interest in Greek property, it is suggested
Estate agents are seeing a steady stream of enquiries about property in Greece, especially at the high end, but prospective holiday home buyers might want to adopt a wait and see approach due to the current financial crisis in the country. One agent seeing demand is Chestertons International which has found that so far the property market has proved to be stable and in particular, the island of Mykonos continues to grow in popularity. ‘If clients are not looking primarily for investment but want to own a second lifestyle property, then Greece continues to offer everything that it has always had to offer. If, however, clients are looking for future investment they will need to take into account both the economic environment and the ultimate currency that Greece might use,’ said Neville Page director of International at Chestertons. He explained that it is currently difficult to predict the final outcome of the negotiations between Greece and its European partners, but opinion seems to be becoming polarised between either Greek remaining in the Eurozone or re-establishing its own currency. ‘If Greece remains in the euro we would be very optimistic about property markets in the short term, particularly with the currency fluctuations in the euro we have seen in 2015, meaning new UK based investors can get more for their pounds,’ Page explained. ‘In the event that Greece was to adopt a different currency, there would be the strong risk of devaluation in the short term. However, this could provide a buying opportunity for the brave investor who recognises the enduring long term appeal of Greece,’ he added. Louise Reynolds, director of overseas property agency Property Venture, believes that if Greece introduces a new local currency, in all likelihood it would depreciate immediately. ‘The International Monetary Fund (IMF), has in the past predicted Greece would need a devaluation of at least 20% against the Eurozone average, just to balance its current account. Such devaluation would increase Greek competitiveness, but would have huge legal ramifications with regard to the existing debt owed to Europe and the IMF,’ she said. ‘The danger lies with the capital flows, which are the biggest unknown. The world’s central banks will do their utmost, as they did during 2008, to prevent financial meltdown or contain the damage through a range of mechanisms such as bank capitalisation, foreign currency swaps, and potentially capital controls,’ she added. She thinks property buyers in Greece and home owners may want to make sure they have access to money in an international bank, given the capital controls in place. ‘If Greece leaves the Eurozone, it is likely that savings in the state-controlled banks would be converted into local currency which are likely to be worthless. It is also likely that a mortgage could be converted into local currency so mortgage holders could benefit if there is a devaluation-effect,’ she added. Those who already own property have seen lettings… Continue reading
