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UK city home prices see highest three month price growth for a decade
House prices in key UK cities increases by an average of 1.4% in the three months to April, the highest three month rate of growth for a decade. Overall growth is being supported by house prices playing catch-up with average prices in 11 cities still below their 2007 peak with Belfast down 49.1%, Liverpool down 14.9% and Glasgow down 13.6%. The data from the Hometrack UK Cities House Price Index also shows that despite a recent pick up in housing turnover, the average time between moves in some cities is up to 28 years, twice the average between 2003 and 2007 which was a move every 14 years. It explains that a 30% decline in the proportion of moves by existing mortgaged home owners over the last decade is starving the market of a source of new supply and driving prices up. House price growth across the index is running at an average of 9% and continues to exceed the overall UK rate of growth of 6.8% year on year. At a city level the annual rate of growth ranges from 3.5% in Liverpool to 11% in London. This is the smallest spread in city level house prices since 1996, as the rate of growth in high value markets such as London and Cambridge moderates whilst house prices in regional cities continue to recover off a low base. However, 11 of the 20 cities have house prices that are still below their 2007 peak. The index report says that house price increases are being driven by the improving economic outlook boosting market sentiment, record low mortgage rates and a low churn of housing stock which is creating scarcity of supply. The average number of years between moves is calculated from the number of housing sales in a year relative to the stock of private housing in each city. In the 1980s, the average house was changing hands every 10 years and this increased to an average of 14 years between 2003 and 2007. This has now climbed to an average of 21 years cross all cities and is as high as 28 years in some cities such as Liverpool. ‘Home buyers and investors shrugged off the run up to the general election and continued to bid up the cost of housing,’ said Richard Donnell, director of research at residential analyst Hometrack. ‘Record low mortgage rates, which are more than half the level of 2007, are boosting buying power, while low rates of housing turnover creates housing scarcity and is keeping an upward pressure on house prices,’ he explained. He pointed out that one factor driving housing scarcity has been a marked decline in the proportion of housing sales by existing mortgaged home owners, down to just 35% of all sales in 2014 and almost half the level seen in 2007. ‘This group owns half of all owner occupied housing but fewer… Continue reading
Research reveals the cost of bungled DIY by UK home owners
As home owners in the UK gear up for a bank holiday of DIY, new research shows that bungled workmanship leads to 90% paying the cost rather than claiming on insurance. Britain’s amateur handymen are set for a disastrous May bank holiday, according to research from the Nationwide Building Society and just 10% are likely to recover the costs of their mistakes by claiming on their insurance. But many people are completely unaware they can claim for accidental damage caused in this way, according to Nationwide’s head of general insurance, Martyn Dyson, when some 80% carry out home improvements themselves rather than asking a professional for help. Many undertake manageable tasks with 70% opting to do some wallpapering and painting, 65% bleeding a radiator and 62% improving the garden. Some tackle more onerous DIY with 24% knocking down walls, 21% laying loft insulation, 12% fitting a new kitchen or fitting a new bathroom. The research reveals the top disasters. Some 35% suffer spillages, including paint, glue or white spirit, 22% marking the walls, and 10% damage to furniture, breaking a window and damage to flooring. Some 90% of those who admitted to home improvement horrors ended up paying the cost of their mistakes themselves rather than claiming on their home insurance. And with 19% of people with DIY horror stories causing over £200 of damage, not knowing what your home insurance covers you for can prove quite costly. ‘The May bank holiday is prime time for getting stuck into jobs around the home you’ve been putting off. Unfortunately, you can end up causing more damage than good, especially if you’re inexperienced,’ said Dyson. ‘Nationwide’s advice to anyone looking to do home improvements this weekend is to not rush into it, stop and think about the job in hand, be realistic about your capabilities and make sure you are covered if things do go wrong, as not all policies include accidental damage like Nationwide’s Home Insurance. As the survey shows, many people may be completely unaware they can claim for accidental damage in this way,’ he added. Continue reading
Prime central London annual price growth at lowest since 2009
Annual price growth in prime central London fell to 2.8% in April, the lowest rate since November 2009 and is unlikely to change much this year, according to a new market analysis. Growth has been on a downwards trajectory in recent months ahead of the general election, but the Conservative Party victory suggests April is likely to mark the low point in the cycle, says the analysis report from Knight Frank. According to Tom Bill, head of London residential research at the firm, the principal effect on the prime London property market is that the election result has removed the prospect of a mansion tax on properties worth more than £2 million. ‘We believe this will lift transaction levels but the extent of any short term boost to prices is less clear cut. It will also be significant to note to what degree the opposition Labour Party moderates its policies around wealth creation and taxation and whether this reduces the rhetoric of the wider economic debate,’ said Bill. He believes that following the Conservative Party general election victory, several short term outcomes are likely. ‘First, numerous transactions put on hold pending the outcome of the vote will proceed as the risk of further property taxation appears less of an immediate threat. Other sales will progress simply because the election is over and a deeper sense of political uncertainty has receded,’ he explained. ‘As the logjam unblocks, it is likely to be accompanied by a hardening of expectations on the part of vendors over asking prices and some will expect prices to immediately rise as a direct consequence of the election result,’ said Bill. ‘In the short term, the impact on pricing is likely to be less marked than some expect due to the quantity of properties coming onto the market. Many vendors lined up sales for Monday 11 May, irrespective of the outcome of the election. Also this short term increase in supply is likely to exceed any uptick in demand. Activity in the prime London market has dampened in recent months as buyers and sellers factor in political risks but also as they digest measures like the stamp duty increase,’ he explained. ‘The market is in the final stages of absorbing these changes, meaning some buyers will still proceed with care. Furthermore, some prospective buyers will have signed rental contracts as they hedged their bets on the outcome of the election, meaning they are unable to act for several months,’ he added. Bill also pointed out that there is likely to be a short delay before a supply/demand equilibrium returns and a likely ‘expectation gap’ between asking prices and the prices that new and newly active buyers are prepared to pay. ‘However, price growth is likely to return more quickly in markets that have underperformed the prime central London average, including areas in Kensington and Chelsea where there has been low single digit annual growth in recent years,’ he said. Bill explained… Continue reading
