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Pre-election jitters saw UK asking prices fall by 0.1% in May
There was an unseasonal drop in new seller asking prices in the UK in May, down by 0.1%, and the first fall in the month of May for five years, the latest index shows. This means that the average price of a home fell to £285,891 but prices are still up 2.5% compared to a year ago, although this annual rise is down from 4.7% in April, according to the latest date from Rightmove. The firm suggests that some sellers coming to market were forced to price more aggressively due to buyer uncertainty over the general election outcome so the fall was very much a short term one and asking prices are expected to bounce back again. ‘The unexpected outcome of a majority government has released the brakes on buyer confidence and activity, and will exert some upwards price pressure in the coming months,’ said Miles Shipside, Rightmove director and housing market analyst. He explained that the new government faces the long term challenge of delivering on an election promise to build 275,000 new affordable homes in the term of the current parliament. And he pointed out that the current shortage of suitable property for sale, meant that even the election uncertainty only caused prices to drop in three out of the 10 regions, London, which would have been hit hardest by mansion tax, the North East and Yorkshire and the Humber. He also warned that sellers who think they have the upper hand due to the lack of property for sale should be aware that a surge of new competition could be on the way, giving buyers some extra negotiating power. In the three months after the May 2010 election there was a 17% jump in the number of properties coming to market compared to the previous quarter. With a majority government in power and record spring traffic on Rightmove, early indications from estate agents suggest that the next quarter could see another surge in property coming to market. ‘Buyers should note that there is often a surge of property supply after an election, as those who have held off coming to market decide to take the plunge. Many potential sellers may have held back expecting a period of hung parliament uncertainty, but they could now decide to catch the late spring market,’ said Shipside. ‘ In a traditional tight stock market an increase in supply of available property and greater competition among sellers to attract buyers may moderate their price expectations and make them more open to an offer,’ he explained. ‘The previous election saw jumps in new seller numbers in all regions of the country, with London and Wales leading the way with over 20% more properties coming to market. There may be a window for buyers to act now in this late spring market before prices rise in the next few months,’ he added. Continue reading
UK spending on home maintenance at highest since 2008
Household spending on DIY in the UK reached £5.5 billion in 2014, a rise of 10% to reach the highest levels since 2008, new research shows. Meanwhile, total spending on home maintenance, that is DIY and tradesmen's services, increased by 8% to £6.9 billion in 2014, according to the study from Lloyds Bank. The £5.5 billion spent on DIY in 2014 was equivalent to around £200 per household. Whilst this was the highest annual total for six years, it was still 19% below the peak of £6.8 billion and 9% lower than a decade ago when it was £6.1 billion. Spending on tools and equipment for home improvements, ranging from plumbing tools to lawnmowers, increased by 9% from £4 billion in 2013 to £4.4 billion in 2014. Real spending on DIY materials rose by 10% from £1 billion to £1.1 billion. However, there is little change in spending on tradesmen Expenditure on tradesmen's services, at £1.4 billion, increased very slightly by 1% between 2013 and 2014. This means that for every £1 spent on tradesmen some £3.92 is spent on DIY tools and materials, showing how important DIY is to UK households. Total spending on home maintenance increased by 8% to £6.9 billion in 2014 from £6.4 billion in 2013. This was the third successive annual increase, taking overall spending on home maintenance to its highest level since 2008 when it was £7.2 billion. This decline has been entirely due to a fall in expenditure on materials, which declined by 35% over the decade. In contrast, spending on tradesmen’s services rose by 20% whilst spending on tools in 2014 was at the same level as in 2004. The reports says that the past 10 years have demonstrated how spending on home maintenance has a strong link to the performance of the housing market. Spending reduced by around 36% between the height of the housing market in 2007 when it was £8.3 billion, and the bottom of the market in 2011 when it was £6.1 billion. Then, as the housing market picked up between 2011 and 2014, spending on DIY increased by 13% again to bring home maintenance spending closer to 2004 levels. ‘The latest figures provide further evidence that people are continuing to increase their spending on DIY and home improvements as the economy and housing market pick up, with DIY spending increasing by 10% in the last year,’ said Andy Hulme, Lloyds Bank mortgages director. ‘This followed a sharp fall in spending between 2007 and 2011, which reflected the worst of the economic and housing downturns during this period,’ he added. Continue reading
Rents overtake home values in the US, latest index shows
Residential rents in the United States grew 4% year on year in April, overtaking home values growth which was at an annual rate of 3%, the latest data shows. It means that rents grew at their fastest pace in two years in April, and surpassed home value growth in 20 of the 35 largest US housing markets, according to the data from real estate market report firm Zillow. Rents reached $1,364 and home values reached an average of $178,400 and growth in home values is expected to slow further in the second half of the year as the for sale housing market stabilises. The switch comes after years of rapid home value increases and has been boosted by the improving economy. The Zillow report points out that US home values peaked in 2007, and then crashed during the recession between 2008 and 2010. Since then, they have risen rapidly, returning to their peak levels in many markets. Home values have both risen and fallen over the past decade, but rents have been steadily rising. Indeed, rental growth has been outpacing home value growth for several months in some of the nation's hottest markets. In San Francisco, rents started rising faster than home values in July 2014, and have been growing faster ever since on an annual basis. In Boston, annual rental growth has outpaced home value appreciation since August 2014. The report points out that low mortgage rates have helped make buying a home much more affordable than renting. On average, US home buyers can expect to spend about 15.3% of their income each month on a typical house payment. Renters can expect to spend about 30% on a monthly rent payment. ‘There are tremendous incentives to get into home ownership these days: mortgage access is improving, interest rates are low, and home values remain below prior peaks,’ said Zillow chief economist Stan Humphries. ‘But it will be increasingly difficult for many renters to realize these benefits as this country's growing rental affordability crisis continues to worsen. More income going to rent means less going to savings for a down payment and other costs, keeping renters renting longer and feeding into the high demand that is contributing to rising rents in the first place,’ he explained. ‘This cycle will be difficult to break, and is a symptom of the imbalances that still exist in the housing market as we struggle to get back to normal. New construction and rising wages will help, but neither is coming very quickly,’ he added. Over the next year, home value growth is expected to slow even further, to 2% annually, according to the Zillow home value forecast. In 2014, home values rose 4.9%. Continue reading
