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Rental values in prime central London down to lowest level for a year
Annual rental growth in prime central London fell to 2.4% in September, which was the lowest level it has been since September last year, the latest data shows. The report from international real estate firm Knight Frank also shows that the number of tenancies agreed in the three months to August fell 5.9% versus 2014 while prime gross rental yields remained at 2.96%. The slowdown came against the backdrop of jittery financial markets, with nerves over the state of the Chinese economy spreading to commodity and mining stocks, compounded by declines among carmakers, according to Tom Bill, head of London residential research at Knight Frank. ‘This current overriding mood of uncertainty means companies are more hesitant about recruiting and are more conservative with relocation budgets for senior executives, which has dampened demand in the prime central London lettings market,’ he said. ‘As a result, the number of tenancies agreed in the three months to August fell 5.9% compared to the previous year and the number of viewings declined 10.2%. Such declines suggest the trend for falling rental value growth will persist in the short term,’ he added. He pointed out that the trend is less marked in both lower and higher price brackets. ‘Demand among younger professionals remains strong while demand at the super prime level of £5,000 per week and above has been buoyed by the fact tenants have moved across from the sales market due to last December’s stamp duty increase,’ explained Bill. Continue reading
More foreign developers are entering the Australian apartment market
Foreign buyers are fuelling higher density development sites sales across major Australian cities, according to a new analysis report. As state governments have encouraged higher density living by re-zoning key sites around infrastructure hubs, opportunities for developers have been ample over recent years, according to the report from Knight Frank. With the outlook for the Australian Dollar lower than originally forecast, more foreign developers are now taking this opportunity to enter the Australian market, it adds. Sales of major sites likely for higher density residential development in the four major capital cities of Australia totalled $7.30 billion in the year ending August 2015, down 5.7% on the previous year’s volume. However, Greater Sydney is still experiencing upward growth in sales volume, although the prior steep upward trajectory achieved in the year to 31 August 2014 is flattening out. A total $4.61 billion sales were recorded over the year to August 2015, when almost 63%, by value, was sold to foreign purchasers. Across Greater Sydney, development sites sales with potential for higher density ranged from $60,000 to $400,000 per apartment, excluding the Central Business District, while the range extended out significantly in the CBD to $350,000 to $1,000,000 per apartment. Site sales volumes have fallen over the course of the past year for the remaining major capital cities after strong results over the two years to August 2014. Sales volume in Greater Melbourne totalled $1.79 billion in the year to August 2015. Site sales averaged $35,000 to $200,000 per apartment, excluding the CBD, where 47.6% of these sales, by value, were sold to foreign purchasers. The volume of site sales in Greater Brisbane at $685.85 million and Greater Perth at $213.36 million saw foreign investment, by value, at 58.6% and 64.6%, respectively. Both cities have a similar sales rate range when excluding the CBD starting from $30,000 to $110,000 per apartment for Greater Brisbane, while Greater Perth ranges slightly wider from $20,000 to $120,000 per apartment. Since January 2011 some 123,815 new apartments have been added to the major capital cities residential stock, led by Greater Sydney with 46,490 and Greater Melbourne with 41,045. In total across the major cities, there are currently 80,135 apartments under construction, with another 125,060 with DA approval which have the potential to be online by the end of 2018. The report suggests that apartment numbers could grow further when approval is granted for the additional 86,430 apartments currently submitted in these cities. ‘As determined by pre-sales, the market dictates when new apartment projects get underway, so for most local developers, there is a strong chance that these projects may be pushed beyond this timeframe, the report explains. Prices for new apartments can vary considerably, with the most disparity seen in Greater Sydney with a range from $9,000 to $22,000 per square meter for a standard finish up to $32,000 to $45,000 per square meter for prime. A standard finish apartment in Greater Melbourne will range from $6,500 to $13,500 per… Continue reading
UK architects report that private housing sector workload is falling
Overall workload for architects in the UK is rising but the private housing sector workload has fallen, according to the latest data from the Royal Institute of British Architecture (RIBA). Practices have reported that their overall workload is growing at an annual rate of 8% and that current staffing levels are 6% higher than they were a year ago. All regions in the UK returned positive balance figures, with practices in the North of England the most optimistic with a balance figure of +48 and practices of all sizes remain upbeat about work prospects. But, after a record high forecast in June, July 2015 saw a significant note of caution with the RIBA Future Trends Workload Index falling sharply to +22, down from +44. The private housing sector workload forecast fell to +23 in July 2015 from +39 in June while the commercial sector workload forecast saw a moderate fall down to +13 in July 2015 from +19 in June. The data also shows that the public sector workload forecast dipped slightly to -1 in July from +2 in June with practices expecting little medium term change in public sector expenditure levels within the built environment. The RIBA Future Trends Staffing Index also declined +12 in July from +20 in June, however, the employment market for salaried architects remains very positive and 98% of respondents expected their staffing levels either to increase or to stay the same over the next few months. Small and medium sized practices are still confident about increasing their staffing levels with balance figures of +6 and +42 respectively. However, large practices are more likely to be actively appointing new staff, with a balance figure of +67. ‘Despite the fall in our headline index, it is important to state that our forecast remains firmly in positive territory. This drop seems largely to have been driven by some loss of confidence by our practices in the medium term outlook for work in the private housing sector, especially in London and the South of England,’ said RIBA executive director members Adrian Dobson. ‘Private housing has been the main driver of increases in architects’ workloads in the last couple of years, so this is a development that we will be monitoring closely in the next few months. It is too early to say if this is a definitive trend and the crucial autumn period will give a better indication of the prevailing sentiment,’ he explained. ‘Our participating practices continue to suggest that the majority of firms are seeing solid growth in workloads, though there is significant pressure on fee levels and profit margins on projects typically remain tight, constraining salary levels,’ he added. He pointed out that future Bank of England interest rate rises may yet dampen activity in the key private housing and commercial sectors. But with the current low inflation environment looking set to continue this seems to remain a relatively distant prospect at present. The overall economic environment for architects… Continue reading
