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Spanish prime property market bounces back

The prime property market in Spain has recovered strongly with buyers from Latin America and the Middle East rising, according to the latest index report. The recovery of the market mirrors the recovery of Spain’s economy which is expected to see growth of 2.6% in 2016, more than the UK and Germany, says the analysis from international real estate firm Knight Frank. ‘Ultra-loose monetary policy by the European Central Bank and low oil prices have led to an increase in consumer spending, higher employment and rising household incomes. The market fundamentals are improving,’ said Kate Everett-Allen, Knight Frank partner, But she added that a backdrop of global uncertainty remains. The report highlights two key property market trends. Firstly, the rise of the non-EU buyer. Latin Americans now have a strong presence in Madrid, Middle Eastern buyers are active in Marbella plus Swiss purchasers in Ibiza as the profile of Spain’s luxury buyers shift. The second key trend is the strength of the €1 million to €3 million price band and nearly all of our prime markets now consider it their most active market segment while confidence is returning to Barcelona where the number of residential sales increased by 86% between 2012 and 2015 Online property searches on Knight Frank’s website by Middle Eastern web users searching for a property in Marbella increased by 164% between 2014 and 2015. A third of Madrid’s prime buyers now come from abroad. In 2015 Latin American buyers accounted for 30% of all the prime sales agreed by Knight Frank’s Madrid sales team. The report also says that the top tier of Ibiza’s property market has become uncoupled from the wider market, recording price growth of 10% in the year to April 2016 while Mallorca saw a 55% increase in the number of applications for new residential projects in the first two months of 2016 compared with the same period in 2015. Overall, the report says, rising sale volumes in Marbella suggest confidence is returning to the market. Price growth is slowly shifting into positive territory with newly built modern villas in good locations, beachfront properties along the Golden Mile and gated communities such as Sierra Blanca, Camojan and La Zagaleta outperforming the wider market. It also points out that the recent ruling regarding Marbella’s 2010 Town Plan, which affects around 15% of Marbella’s housing stock, has led to some caution for those properties affected, but it has also refocused attention on properties in established areas which comply with the 1986 Urban Plan, as well as those which sit beyond the municipal boundary in areas such as Benahavís and Estepona. Meanwhile, Mallorca’s prime market, having reached its trough in the winter of 2014, has entered a new cycle of growth. The island’s prime markets of Andratx, Son Vida and Deià remain firm favourites with British, German and Scandinavian buyers. The report also explains that in Mallorca, not only has foreign demand strengthened with sales to foreign buyers up… Continue reading

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Demand leaves key Scottish city centres short of office space

A lack of suitable office space in Scotland’s key cities, combined with rising rents, is leading to companies looking to take offices in locations outside the city centre, new research shows. According to the latest Scottish Office Market report from real estate firm Savills, take-up of office space outside the central business districts of Aberdeen, Edinburgh and Glasgow was 4% higher in the first quarter of 2016 than the previous quarter. The firm believes this trend is set to increase as occupiers continue to be attracted by the low rents on offer in out of town locations, where in some cases there can be a 50% discount on the £30 per square foot prime rents being achieved in the city centre. ‘The out of town markets are on the cusp of experiencing a resurgence in popularity, particularly in Edinburgh and Glasgow. This is primarily due to occupiers being able to save money on rents compared to inner city locations,’ said Mat Oakley, head of commercial research at Savills. As a result Savills predicts Scotland’s strongest rental growth could be seen in the out of town markets of both Edinburgh and Glasgow, where rents in the early £20's could be achieved in the next three years. Savills research also shows that demand for office space across Scotland has increased significantly this year. Glasgow has seen approximately 300,000 square foot of space let in the first quarter of 2016 alone, more than half of the total amount of space taken in the city during the whole of 2015. Edinburgh, meanwhile, saw its second strongest quarter of leasing activity since 2013 at 324,000 square feet. According to the report, this spike in demand, combined with further employment growth and falling availability of Grade A space, has led to a squeeze in supply. Total supply in Glasgow has now fallen below two million square feet for the first time since 2011, with only approximately 500,000 square feet of Grade A space available. In Edinburgh availability has steadily fallen since its peak in 2008. Savills estimates that there is now only 2.1 million square feet of office space available across the city’s combined central business district and out of town markets, of which only 365,000 square feet is Grade A. The report also points out that Scottish office investment volumes have stayed healthy, with just over £811 million transacted in 2015, 33% above the long run average, and just over £300 million transacted in Aberdeen, Edinburgh and Glasgow in the year to date. Prime yields have fallen in Edinburgh and Glasgow, leaving both markets at 5%. However, Aberdeen's recent slowdown in leasing activity has seen yields there rise from 6% to 7% over the last two years. Of all Scottish office investments in 2015 some 44% were by non-domestic investors according to Savills research. Figures show this has continued into 2016 with 89% of all purchases made by non-domestic investors. Savills attributes this to a combination of UK… Continue reading

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Mortgage lending in UK fell in April, but no surprise due to March buy let boost

Gross mortgage lending in the UK reached £18.5 billion in April, some 29% lower than March’s lending total of £26.2 billion, but 16% higher than the £16 billion lent in April last year. CML economist Mohammad Jamei pointed out that a fall was expected due to a rush in buy to let lending in March as landlords rushed through sales to beat the new 3% surcharge on additional homes that was introduced on 01 April. ‘As we move past the stamp duty change that came into effect at the start of April, we expect to see a quieter second quarter, as some transactions that were due to take place were brought forward to the first quarter of this year,’ he explained. ‘This is likely to mean that over the next few months buy to let takes a back seat as lending is driven by first time buyers, movers and remortgage customers. The underlying picture still shows signs of growth, as the market remains underpinned by strong fundamentals such as increasing wages and rising employment,’ he pointed out. ‘But it is possible that the uncertainty around the upcoming European Union referendum in June will weigh on activity in the upcoming months,’ he added. According to David Brown, chief executive officer of Marsh & Parsons, April lending was never going to live up to the March boost which was characterised by massively increased borrowing to landlords and second home owners. ‘But while we’ve seen a bit of a monthly comedown since then, the annual fundamentals are indicative of strength in the mortgage market. Widely expected to be an underwhelming month, April has still set an impressive benchmark for this time of the year, with lending levels harking back to the pre-recession era,’ he said. ‘Buy to let investors are just one type of buyer after all, and borrowing isn’t going to ground to a halt while they have a breather. The stamp duty changes didn’t affect the plans and intentions of hordes of other first time buyers and home movers, and in these areas buyer demand is still bursting at the seams,’ he added. David Whittaker, managing director of Mortgages for Business, pointed out that underneath the month on month lending patterns, there is a strong and steady current of buy to let lending critical to meet growing public demand for private rented accommodation. ‘Underlying annual growth in April shows a more sustainable path aside from any short term fluctuations and the need for buy to let mortgages to support the role of landlords,’ he added. The extremes of March make it futile to try to extract any meaningful insight from April's numbers, according to John Eastgate, sales and marketing director of OneSavings Bank. More importantly, market feedback suggests that normality has returned at enquiry level, although it will be the third quarter before we see this in new lending,’ he said. ‘A strong undercurrent of demand and a growing UK population means… Continue reading

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