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Auckland house market shows unmistakable signs of slowing

For the first time in five years the housing market in Auckland, New Zealand’s largest urban area, is showing signs that prices are stabilising, and may even be slowing. The average price in July was $867,681, a fall of 4.5% from the previous month and 2% below the average price for the previous three months, according to the latest data from Barfoot & Thompson. The trend is not as evident in the median price, which at $840,000 was the same as in June, and 2.1% higher than the median price for the previous three months. ‘There has been a definite change in the market in the last month. The winter months, school holidays and a slowing in the number of new listings all contributed to the slowdown in July, but buyer determination to pay whatever is necessary to achieve a property was tempered,’ said Wendy Alexander, chief executive officer of Barfoot & Thompson. ‘Buyers remain prepared to pay a fair price, and under the hammer sales at auctions of 70% were still high, but sales activity is slower than it was at the same time last year. In the three months May to July this year we sold 3,508 properties. In the same period last year we sold 3780, a 7.8% difference,’ she explained. She pointed out that the year on year increase in prices is still occurring, but at a much slower rate than in the past four years. The average price has increased by 5.3% over the past seven months compared to 2015’s full year average price increase of 14%. Meanwhile, the median price increase over the past seven months has been 6% compared to 17.4% for 2015. ‘Whether price increases will continue in the remaining months of the year is unclear. Normally, prices rise as we enter the spring/summer months, but the Reserve Bank’s new regulations affecting investors will start to have an impact from August,’ said Alexander. The data also shows that in July Barfoot & Thompson sold 1,034 properties, down 11.5% on the number in June and down 25.5% on those for the same month last year. New listings at 1,426 were down 19.4% on those in June and down 19.6% for those in July last year. At end of the month the firm had 3,012 properties on its books, some 2.6% higher than in June and 7.5% higher than in July last year. During July the firm sold 383 properties, or 37% of all sales, for more than $1 million and sold 94 properties, or 9.1% of sales, for under $500,000. Continue reading

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Rents in central London’s prime market down but activity is stronger

Rental values in the prime central London lettings market fell by 3.6% in the year to July 2016 but activity is stronger than last summer, the latest index shows. Values were down due to higher stock levels and a degree of uncertainty surrounding the European Union referendum result, according to the report from international real estate firm Knight Frank. Where the rental value is regarded by prospective tenants as being right properties are being taken up and the number of tenancies agreed in the three months to June rose 3% compared to 2015 and viewings increased 15.8%, the data from Knight Frank also shows While overall the number of new prospective tenants fell 6.8% over the same period, the number of tenancies started via Knight Frank’s corporate relocation service increased 72% in the same period but prime gross rental yields were flat at 3.1%. According to Tom Bill, head of London residential research at Knight Frank, there are parallels between the lettings and sales markets because the Brexit vote has reinforced the existent pricing trends rather alter market fundamentals. ‘Demand has been relatively flat since the start of the year due to uncertainty surrounding the state of the global economy, particularly in the financial services sector, which contributed towards a slowdown in rental value growth from its last peak of 4.2% in May 2015,’ he said. ‘This trend has been compounded by higher levels of supply as stock has moved across from the sales market, with more vendors becoming landlords due to weaker conditions in the prime sales markets,’ he pointed out. ‘In the three months to the end of June this year, the number of new rental properties placed on the market rose by 49% compared to the same period last year. As a result, landlords are reducing asking rents to prevent void periods and tenants are becoming more selective,’ he explained. Indeed, properties where the asking rent is perceived as too high are struggling to get viewings and Bill believes that the referendum result has simply reinforced this dynamic and landlords are increasingly taking a pragmatic approach to asking rents against the background of wider Brexit uncertainty and rising stock levels. He also pointed out that despite the three month decline in the number of new prospective tenants registering, the expectation is that rental volumes will continue to rise over the summer and into the autumn. ‘The uncertainty ahead of the Brexit vote could be an explanatory factor for weaker registrations, although early signs are positive with no significant announcements that companies are pulling back from relocating staff to London following the referendum,’ he added. Knight Frank also found that relocation budgets in many cases have risen due to the effects of a weaker Sterling, which means tenants are looking in higher-value areas and at higher value properties compared to last year. The number of new prospective tenants registering with a budget of £1,500 plus per week increased 11% in the three… Continue reading

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Research shows Olympic legacy has boosted house prices in east London

As the Rio 2016 Olympic Games get underway new research shows how house prices closest to the 2012 Olympic Park have increased three times faster than the national market. Homes closest to Olympic Park have seen more than 50% added to their value with prices up by £3,522 per month since the London Games ended in 2012. The research from Lloyds bank also shows that the majority of areas close to the main site have recorded price growth in excess of £100,000 since September 2012. Average property prices in the 14 postal districts in East London closest to the Queen Elizabeth Olympic Park have risen from £286,638 in September 2012 at the close of the Paralympic Games to £438,065 in March 2016, an increase of 53% or £151,427, equivalent to a monthly rise of £3,522. This is more than three times the rate of increase seen in England and Wales and nationally property values grew on average by 17% over the same period from £234,947 to £275,872. Price performance in the 14 East London areas has also outpaced London as a whole. Since September 2012 the average price in the capital has grown by 32% to an average price of £557,359. In the four years since the last Olympic Games, the average price in all but one of the 14 areas has risen by over £100,000. In cash terms the largest rise was seen in Shoreditch, where the average property price has grown by £245,330, followed by Dalston at £203,113, Homerton at £197,737 and Bethnal Green at £178,893. East Ham recorded the lowest rise in prices, a relatively modest increase of £83,566 in four years. ‘The last Olympics Games, held in London, was a great event which captured the world’s attention for a few weeks in 2012, but the longer term benefits of the Games are still being felt today, particularly for home owners in the areas close to the Olympic Park who have seen property prices outperform both the national and London markets,’ said Nitesh Patel, Lloyds Bank housing economist. ‘Since the Games closed in September 2012, regeneration in this part of the capital has seen significantly improved transport connections and facilities, which have helped attract businesses and households to the area and in turn boosted local property values,’ Patel added. In the 11 years since the Games were awarded to London in July 2015, the average property price in the 14 postal districts in East London closest to the Olympic Park has grown from £206,398 to £438,065 in March 2016 an increase of 112% or £231,667, which is equivalent to a monthly increase of £1,796. They have also outperformed the increase in England and Wales in this timescale as nationally property values grew on average by 48% over the same period from £185,783 in July 2005 to £275,872 in March 2016. In the past year, house prices in the 14 areas closest to the Olympic Park rose by 15%, from £379,663 in March… Continue reading

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