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Residential rents falling across much of Scotland, latest index shows
Scottish rents increased just 0.6% year on year and were down 0.4% month on month in April, marking the smallest annual rise seen since the start of 2013, the latest index shows. Across Scotland the average rent now stands at £542, but Edinburgh and the Lothians shun the wider slowdown with a record 10.5% jump in rents since last year. The data from the Your Move index also shows that tenant arrears are escalating as the level of late rent climbed for the second consecutive month, up to 11.6%. The annual rise represents a significant downturn in rates of year on year growth from 1.1% recorded in March, and 2.1% in February and average rents are at their lowest since April 2015. Brian Moran, lettings director at Your Move Scotland, pointed out that overall rents haven’t risen at such a leisurely place for three years but the market is seeing many price fluctuations and also isn’t uniform across the country. ‘The lettings market is always at the mercy of local supply and demand, and in Edinburgh and the surrounding areas we’re seeing extraordinarily fast rent rises, as tenant competition shines brightest around the glow of the jobs market. Supply and demand need to strike a lasting equilibrium to prevent rent growth taking off and leaving tenants by the wayside and that’s a tall order in today’s regulatory environment,’ he explained. He also pointed out that landlords are up against a considerable number of hurdles, including a higher rate of stamp duty on property purchases, reductions in tax relief, and the Private Tenancies Bill. ‘While levied at landlords, these measures could soon hurt thousands of tenants too if buy to let investment retreats as a result and there are less houses and flats to rent,’ he added. On a monthly basis, rents were cheaper in all but one region of Scotland in April. The Highlands and Islands had the fastest drop in average rents in April, falling 1.7% on March, reducing typical rents in the region to £537 per month, the lowest level seen since December 2014. Rents in Glasgow and Clyde fell on a monthly basis for the fourth consecutive month, down by 1% in April to £538 while in the East of Scotland rents were 0.6% lower in April than in March, while the South experienced the smallest month on month reduction, down by 0.1%. Edinburgh and the Lothians is the only region to experience an increase in rents since March, up a solid 0.8% month on month following on from rises of 0.2% in March and 0.3% in February. In the longer term, rents also fell across the majority of Scotland year on year in April. Of the three regions to see rents decrease on an annual basis, Glasgow and the Clyde had the steepest drop with average rents 3.9% lower than in April 2015. Rents… Continue reading
US home sales maintain recent momentum, up 6% from April 2015
Despite ongoing inventory shortages and faster price growth, existing home sales in the United States have sustained their recent momentum and moved higher for the second consecutive month. The latest data from the National Association of Realtors shows a surge in sales in the Midwest and a decent increase in the Northeast which offset smaller declines in the South and West. Total existing home sales, which are completed transactions that include single family homes, town homes, condominiums and co-ops, rose 1.7% to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.45 million in April from an upwardly revised 5.36 million in March. After last month's gain, sales are now up 6% from April 2015. According to Lawrence Yun, NAR chief economist, April's sales increase signals slowly building momentum for the housing market this spring. ‘Primarily driven by a convincing jump in the Midwest, where home prices are most affordable, sales activity overall was at a healthy pace last month as very low mortgage rates and modest seasonal inventory gains encouraged more households to search for and close on a home,’ he said. ‘Except for in the West, where supply shortages and stark price growth are hampering buyers the most, sales are meaningfully higher than a year ago in much of the country,’ he added. The NAR data also shows that the median existing home price for all housing types in April was $232,500, up 6.3% from April 2015 and this is the 50th consecutive month of year on year gains. Total housing inventory at the end of April increased 9.2% to 2.14 million existing homes available for sale, but is still 3.6% lower than a year ago. Unsold inventory is at a 4.7 month supply at the current sales pace, up from 4.4 months in March. ‘The temporary relief from mortgage rates currently near three-year lows has helped preserve housing affordability this spring, but there's growing concern a number of buyers will be unable to find homes at affordable prices if wages don't rise and price growth doesn't slow,’ Yun explained. Properties typically stayed on the market for 39 days in April compared to 47 days in March, which is unchanged from a year ago but the shortest duration since June 2015 when it was 34 days. Short sales were on the market the longest at a median of 120 days in April, while foreclosures sold in 51 days and non-distressed homes took 37 days. Some 45% of homes sold in April were on the market for less than a month, the highest since June 2015 when it was 47%. ‘Looking ahead, with demand holding steady and supply levels still far from sufficient, the market for entry level and mid-priced homes will likely continue to be the most competitive heading into the summer months,’ Yun explained. The index show that the share of first time buyers was 32% in April, up from 30% both in March and a year ago…. Continue reading
Demand leaves key Scottish city centres short of office space
A lack of suitable office space in Scotland’s key cities, combined with rising rents, is leading to companies looking to take offices in locations outside the city centre, new research shows. According to the latest Scottish Office Market report from real estate firm Savills, take-up of office space outside the central business districts of Aberdeen, Edinburgh and Glasgow was 4% higher in the first quarter of 2016 than the previous quarter. The firm believes this trend is set to increase as occupiers continue to be attracted by the low rents on offer in out of town locations, where in some cases there can be a 50% discount on the £30 per square foot prime rents being achieved in the city centre. ‘The out of town markets are on the cusp of experiencing a resurgence in popularity, particularly in Edinburgh and Glasgow. This is primarily due to occupiers being able to save money on rents compared to inner city locations,’ said Mat Oakley, head of commercial research at Savills. As a result Savills predicts Scotland’s strongest rental growth could be seen in the out of town markets of both Edinburgh and Glasgow, where rents in the early £20's could be achieved in the next three years. Savills research also shows that demand for office space across Scotland has increased significantly this year. Glasgow has seen approximately 300,000 square foot of space let in the first quarter of 2016 alone, more than half of the total amount of space taken in the city during the whole of 2015. Edinburgh, meanwhile, saw its second strongest quarter of leasing activity since 2013 at 324,000 square feet. According to the report, this spike in demand, combined with further employment growth and falling availability of Grade A space, has led to a squeeze in supply. Total supply in Glasgow has now fallen below two million square feet for the first time since 2011, with only approximately 500,000 square feet of Grade A space available. In Edinburgh availability has steadily fallen since its peak in 2008. Savills estimates that there is now only 2.1 million square feet of office space available across the city’s combined central business district and out of town markets, of which only 365,000 square feet is Grade A. The report also points out that Scottish office investment volumes have stayed healthy, with just over £811 million transacted in 2015, 33% above the long run average, and just over £300 million transacted in Aberdeen, Edinburgh and Glasgow in the year to date. Prime yields have fallen in Edinburgh and Glasgow, leaving both markets at 5%. However, Aberdeen's recent slowdown in leasing activity has seen yields there rise from 6% to 7% over the last two years. Of all Scottish office investments in 2015 some 44% were by non-domestic investors according to Savills research. Figures show this has continued into 2016 with 89% of all purchases made by non-domestic investors. Savills attributes this to a combination of UK… Continue reading
