Tag Archives: asia
Research reveals a surge in residential investment in Lisbon
Lisbon has seen a surge in residential investment and development activity in the last two years, according to new research. The city is emerging from economic difficulties in a nation which underwent an European Union and International Monetary Fund bailout in 2011 and various initiatives are helping to revive its property markets, says the report from international real estate firm Savills. It points out that reform of Portugal’s residential tenancy laws, coupled with inward investor incentives, has spurred wide scale regeneration of the built environment, helping Lisbon to foster economic recovery faster than other parts of the country. Indeed, some €1.56 billion has been injected into Portugal’s residential markets since the golden visa programme was launched in 2012 and the bulk of this has gone into Lisbon. New apartments are being constructed and historic buildings are being redeveloped to meet modern day occupier demands. The report also points out that Portugal is now emerging from recession and the national economy grew by 1.5% in 2015, and is forecast to grow by a further 1.4% in 2016, just below the Eurozone average of 1.6%. Unemployment now stands at 12%, down from a high of almost 18% in January 2013. As part of its bailout package, Portugal was required to implement structural reforms to improve long term growth, productivity and competitiveness while reducing its deficit. Portuguese companies have increasingly focused efforts to grow their business abroad. This has fuelled exports, which are up 29.3% since 2010. New incentives for inward investment into Portugal’s residential markets were developed, helping to revive the residential sector and one effect of the financial crisis was to foster greater entrepreneurship, and Lisbon has emerged as a centre for tech companies and start-ups. The report explains that historically Portugal’s leasing market was protectionist, pro-tenant and gave little incentive for landlords to enter the market. As a result, Portugal’s home ownership rate is high, with an owner occupation rate of 75%. In 2012, the government introduced reforms to the leasing market, leading to greater flexibility in lease terms and, making the investment market more appealing to investors. This quickly attracted the attention of new developers and institutional investors. Improved market conditions have also fuelled big ticket commercial investment volumes. In total, $1.96 billion (€1.71bn) was invested into Lisbon’s commercial markets in 2015, of which $1bn (€0.87bn) came from the United States. Investors from the UK, Spain, Singapore, Switzerland and Germany, among others, have also been active in the last four years. Portugal launched one of the world’s most successful golden visa schemes in 2012. A minimum investment in real estate of €500,000 grants the non-EU buyer a visa and, in the longer term, a route to an EU passport. Foreigners need only be resident in Portugal for seven days in the first year of residency. By January 2015, the scheme had brought €1.56 billion of new investment into Portugal’s residential markets, the bulk into Lisbon. Some 2,697 golden visa residence permits have been… Continue reading
Lack of supply and cheap mortgages continue to fuel price growth in the UK
Property prices continue to rise in most regions in the UK with growth driven by stock scarcity and cheap mortgages, according to the latest asking price index. Prices in Greater London and Wales dipped 0.4% and in the North East they were unchanged while the East of England led growth with a rise of 1.6% month on month coming on top of a 2% rise the previous month. With prices rising in all mainland UK regions, except Wales and Greater London, overall the mix adjusted average asking price is up a further 0.4% in June, the home.co.uk index shows. At the same time supply has fallen 7% year on year since last month. Only two regions showed small year on year rises, up 2% in Greater London and just 1% in the South East. But according to Doug Shephard, the firm’s director, the main indicators show that the property market is in the best shape it has been since the financial crisis. ‘The slowdown in London may be regarded as a return to a more sustainable market following the frenetic activity observed during 2013/2015,’ he said. ‘Moreover, several regional markets that were left behind in the wake of the Greater London surge are now showing significant activity and price growth. Lack of supply remains a fundamental driver in the current market and the total stock of property for sale continues to be historically very low,’ he explained. He pointed out that the acute supply shortage in the East of England has driven prices ever skyward, up 13.9% since June 2015, and this region is now outpacing London and the South East by a considerable margin in terms of home price appreciation. ‘We anticipate that prices will soon surge in the East and West Midlands in a similar fashion over the next 12 months as the supply of homes for sale has dropped by 13% and 14% respectively year on year,’ Shephard said. He believes that a slower London property market has prompted more modest asking prices. In fact, the mix-adjusted average dipped this month in response to rising marketing times and modest rises in supply and affordability look set to constrain prices going forward. Shephard also pointed out that due to improvements in mean marketing times, the Welsh property market is now the second slowest region, ahead of the North East. ‘Should this trend continue, we may well see prices there rise by more than the mere 1.2% registered over the last year,’ he added. Overall, the current mix-adjusted average asking price for England and Wales is now 6.8% higher than it was in June 2015 and Shephard predicts that this upward trend will continue at least into 2017. A breakdown of the figures shows that in Scotland the average asking price is now £179,131, up 1.1% month on month and up 6.7% year on year, while in Wales it is £184,858, a month on month fall of 0.4% but a year on… Continue reading
New research shows the worst rates of negative equity in the US
As the housing market continues to recover in the United States, home owners who are underwater on their mortgages are increasingly concentrated in the Rust Belt, according to the latest real estate report. The data from the Negative Equity Report from real estate firm Zillow also shows that West Coast home owners are less likely to be in negative equity. Nationally, 12.7% of home owners with a mortgage were in negative equity, meaning they owed more on their mortgage than their homes were worth. However, negative equity is down from a peak level of 31.4% in the first quarter of 2012. For years, Las Vegas has been the prime example of the housing bubble and bust, with nearly three quarters of mortgaged home owners underwater when the market bottomed out in in the first quarter of 2012. But Chicago now has the highest negative equity rate among large US markets, surpassing Las Vegas in the first quarter of 2016. At its worst, Chicago had a 41.1% rate of negative equity, but its recovery has been sluggish and the negative equity rate has declined more slowly than elsewhere. As the housing market recovered, the distribution of underwater home owners across the country has shifted. In the first quarter of 2012, the West Coast, Southeast, and Rust Belt regions had a disproportionately greater share of underwater home owners. For example, the Southeast had 20.4% of homes with a mortgage, but 24.9% of homes in negative equity. Four years later, the West Coast, home to hot markets like the Bay Area, Portland, and Seattle, has only 10.2% of home owners with negative equity, but 15.2% of all mortgaged home owners. The imbalance was worst in the Rust Belt region, which includes Wisconsin, Illinois, Indiana, Michigan and Ohio, and which had an unevenly large share of underwater home owners. ‘When the housing bubble burst, the West Coast had more than its fair share of underwater homeowners. But the strong local economy and job markets have significantly helped these housing markets recover, and several are now more expensive than they were during the housing bubble,’ said Zillow chief economist Svenja Gudell. ‘Other parts of the country didn't get those same benefits, and until market fundamentals improve, home owners and buyers in these areas will be facing disproportionately higher levels of negative equity as they navigate the housing market,’ she added. The data also shows that four of the 10 metros with the highest rates of negative equity are in the Rust Belt. Meanwhile, the West Coast is home to five of the 10 metros with the lowest levels of negative equity. Continue reading
