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Home Counties prime property rents down month on month and year on year
Prime rents across the English Home Counties, locations that are popular with people who commute to work in London, fell by 0.6% between April and June, according to the latest index. The Knight Frank rental index also shows that on an annual basis rents were 0.8% lower than a year previously and adds that the fall in quarterly and annual rental growth has been driven by higher stock levels and a desire from landlords to remain competitive and keep void periods to a minimum in what is increasingly a tenant’s market. However, the index report points out that underlying demand for rental property remains strong, with the number of new prospective tenants registering in the second quarter some 6% higher than the same period in 2015 and the number of viewings up by 12% year on year. The data also shows that the number of new tenancies agreed between April and June was almost identical to the same period in 2015 and 28% higher than in 2014. However, despite robust activity levels, agents note that any upwards pressure on rents has been countered by rising stock, especially at the top end of the market. ‘In the wake of the European Union referendum, there is already anecdotal evidence that some vendors are deciding to let their property until more clarity emerges, and this could further weigh on rental values in the medium term,’ said Knight Frank associate Oliver Knight. The index reveals that the market continued to attract international tenants in the second quarter. Indeed, some 38% of new renters across the prime Home Counties market were non-UK nationals between April and June in Ascot, Cobham and Esher, where corporate tenancies tend to be more prevalent this rose to 47%, although some of these tenants will already be domiciled in the UK. Individuals from North America were the most active movers during this time, with the start of the American school term in August likely to have been a factor, the report explains. Corporate enquiries were more than double the level in June and 19% higher than in February, the second busiest month of the year to date. Executives being relocated by their companies for work, both from London and internationally, have historically formed a large part of demand within the Home Counties lettings market. ‘As such, any rise in economic and business uncertainty as a result of the vote to leave the EU has the potential to weigh on demand for rental property as companies take stock of the new environment or look to make budget cuts,’ Oliver explained. ‘However, while our figures show a notable slowdown in the number of enquiries from relocation agents in the immediate run-up to the referendum, the number of enquiries in July was at the highest level all year, suggesting a degree of pent-up demand in spite of the UK’s vote to leave the EU,’ he added. The report also points out that the prime rental market in… Continue reading
Homes to buy are more affordable in many US metros than renters think, research suggests
Home ownership in the United States has slowly fallen in recent years to currently its lowest level since 1965 but new research from the National Association of Realtors suggests that could be halted. The research shows that there are many affordable metro areas and a large segment of current people who rent their home earn enough income to qualify to buy a property. NAR reviewed employment growth, household income and qualifying income levels in nearly100 of the largest metropolitan statistical areas across the country to determine which areas with employment gains above the recent national average also have the largest share of renters who can currently afford to buy a home. Of the top 10 metro areas with the highest share of renters who earn enough to buy, nine were either in the South or Midwest, including three cities in Ohio. Lawrence Yun, NAR chief economist, pointed out that there has been a significant increase in renter households both among young adults and those who lost their home since the economic downturn, especially in metro areas that have seen robust job creation and a resulting influx of new residents. ‘Even in a time of expanding home sales, steady job growth and historically low mortgage rates, the homeownership rate recently tumbled to its lowest level in over five decades as many renters struggle to juggle escalating rents without commensurate income gains,’ he said. ‘However, this new study reveals that there are several affordable, middle tier markets with solid job gains and a large segment of renters who earn enough to buy,’ he added. The top 10 metro areas highlighted in NAR’s study were all outside of the West Coast and each had a share of renters who qualify to buy that was well above the national level of 28%. Top is Toledo in Ohio and Little Rock in Arkansas both with 46%, followed by Dayton in Ohio at 44%, Lakeland in Florida, St. Louis in Missouri and Columbia in South Carolina all at 41%, Atlanta at 40% and then Columbus in Ohio, Tampa in Florida and Ogden in Utah all at 38%. According to Yun, it's no surprise that many of the markets with the most renters qualified to buy are in the Midwest and South. The median existing home sales price in these two regions continue to be lower than the Northeast and West, and while many of these areas were slower to recover from the recession, improvements in their local labour markets in the past year have pushed their hiring levels to at or above the national average growth rate. ‘Overall housing affordability and local job market strength play a pivotal role in a renter's decision on whether to buy a home or sign another lease. The good news is that other recent NAR survey data shows that those residing in the two regions were the most likely to say that now is a good time… Continue reading
Stamp duty change and Brexit result in falling prices in prime central London
Prime central London property prices fell again in the first quarter of 2016 but transaction levels increased marginally, according to the latest index to be published. Overall the market was notably quieter during due to a combination of the uncertainty surrounding the European Union referendum and a slowdown following a boost in the first quarter ahead of stamp duty changes in April. The market has also been influenced by higher stamp duty for high value properties, according to the report from real estate firm JLL which adds that potential buyers adopted a wait and see attitude ahead of the referendum vote. Since the vote to leave the EU, and the subsequent weakening of sterling, several international buyers have been more active although a good deal of uncertainty remains, especially in terms of the medium term outlook, the report says. However, the fact that the vote is now in the past also seems to have encouraged a few more domestic buyers back into the market. The number of properties on the market has increased again during the second quarter as vendors fail to sell or elect not to sell at prices unacceptable to them. This additional choice and bargaining power for purchasers is contributing to both the scale of price falls and the slowdown in transactions. ‘Given recent uncertainty it is unsurprising that prices have weakened again. On average prices have fallen by 3.3% in the year to quarter two, but they have also declined in every quarter since the first quarter of 2015 as a variety of influences have impacted on confidence and switched the balance of power in favour of buyers,’ said Neil Chegwidden, residential research director at JLL. The data also shows that prices slipped by 0.9% in the second quarter of 2016 having fallen by 1.1% in the first quarter and price falls over the past year have been greater for higher value properties although large lateral flats continue to hold their value better than other large apartments or houses. On average prices have declined by 6% over the 18 months to the second quarter of 2016 with higher value property prices down by an average 10% and prices have fallen across all price ranges during quarter two and over the last year. The sub £2 million market continues to be the most resilient. However, prices have fallen in each quarter since the first quarter of 2015. On average prices in the sub £2 million bracket have fallen by 2.6% over the 12 months. Meanwhile, prices in the £2 million to £5 million market have been declining for 18 months now, with prices down 2.9% during the year to the second quarter. Prices in the £5 million to £10 million price bracket and the £10 million plus market have been impacted most notably by the stamp duty changes. Prices have dropped by 4.4% in the year to quarter two in the £5 million to… Continue reading
