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Metro area home prices soar in US with first plus $1 million median value recorded

Home prices are continuing to rise in the United States with the median value for a single family home reaching more than $1 million in a metro location for the first time. The record prices was reached in San Jose, California, while the vast majority of metro areas seeing prices rise in the second quarter of 2016, the data from the National Association of Realtors shows. Overall the median existing single family home price increased in 83% of measured markets, with 148 out of 178 metropolitan statistical areas showing gains based on closed sales in the second quarter compared with the second quarter of 2015. Just 29 metros recorded lower median prices from a year earlier and 25 saw double digit increases. According to Lawrence Yun, NAR chief economist, a faster pace of home sales amidst languishing inventory levels has pushed home prices higher in most metro areas during the second quarter. ‘Steadily improving local job markets and mortgage rates teetering close to all-time lows brought buyers out in force in many large and middle tier cities,’ he said. ‘However, with homebuilding activity still failing to keep up with demand and not enough current homeowners putting their home up for sale, prices continued their strong ascent and in many markets at a rate well above income growth,’ he added. The national median existing single family home price in the second quarter was $240,700, up 4.9% from the second quarter of 2015, which was previously the peak quarterly median sales price. The median price during the first quarter of this year increased 6.1% from the first quarter of 2015. Total existing home sales, including single family and condos, rose 3.8% to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.5 million in the second quarter from 5.3 million in the first quarter of this year and are 4.2% higher than the 5.28 million pace during the second quarter of 2015. ‘Primarily from repeat buyers moving up or trading down, existing sales increased each month last quarter and could’ve been even higher if not for a few speedbumps. Closings were slowed a bit by meagre supply levels and home prices in many areas that are still rising too fast,’ Yun explained. At the end of the second quarter, there were 2.12 million existing homes available for sale, which was below the 2.25 million homes for sale at the end of the second quarter in 2015. The average supply during the second quarter was 4.7 months, down from 5.1 months a year ago. According to Yun, without enough new construction being built, existing inventory seriously failed to keep up with the growing demand for buying. As a result, homes typically stayed on the market for around a month throughout the second quarter and over 40% of listings sold at or above list price, with June being the highest share since NAR began tracking in December 2012. Yun pointed out that many listings in… Continue reading

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Latest RICS survey confirms UK price growth slowdown

UK house price growth, especially in London, is slowing after the historic vote to leave the European Union, according to the latest data from the Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors. The monthly report from RICS posted the lowest survey reading in three years in July. Just 5% more respondents nationally saw a rise rather than fall in prices, down from 15% the previous month. This downward trend that is evident across the UK and the London price indicator remains more downbeat with net balance of -33% which is broadly consistent with an outright drop in prices in the capital but not quite as sharp as that reported in June. The report also says that as price growth slows for now, near term price expectations across the UK were negative for the third month in succession with 12% more respondents predicting a decline in house prices over the next three months. It is the longest stretch of negative readings since 2012. As activity falters, interest from new buyers in the UK also continues to wane, with the results showing a fourth consecutive month of falling demand to a net balance of -27. Notwithstanding the potential for near term weakness, respondents are slightly more optimistic about the 12 month outlook, upgrading their estimates for price growth relative to June. The latest data shows the net balance of those expecting prices to increase over the year ahead rising from zero to 23% but this still represents a significant softening compared to six months ago, when 66% more surveyors anticipated rising prices. For the second month running, the regional breakdown shows London and East Anglia are the only areas in which prices are expected to fall over the year ahead. Nonetheless, London exhibits amongst the strongest projections over the medium term three month average, with respondents pencilling in around 4% growth, per annum, over the next five years. On the same basis, prices are expected to rise by close to 3% nationally. The report also points out that the acute shortage of property for sale appears to be providing some underpinning for prices at present. Indeed, after staging a mild recovery through the early months of 2016, average stock levels on agents’ books have since started to fall again. In fact, the flow of new sales listings coming to the market has contracted at the fastest monthly pace on record in each of the last three reports. With supply at or around record lows in most parts of the UK, lack of choice may weigh further on activity going forward. New buyer enquiries declined markedly at the headline level during July, the fourth consecutive month of falling demand. This weakness was widespread, with virtually all areas of the UK experiencing a dip in demand during July. In keeping with the deteriorating demand backdrop, sales volumes declined sharply and at the national level, a net balance of 34% more respondents reported a fall in sales… Continue reading

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Edinburgh named as top city to invest in student accommodation in UK

Edinburgh, Bristol and Brighton are the best university cities to invest in student property in the UK, with Oxford further down the list in fifth place and Cambridge seventh. The research from real estate agent Chestertons takes into account a range of factors including average cost, rent charges and growth in house prices and rates each city out of 10 with the top scoring 8.3, 7.9 and 7.8 respectively. Reading was not far behind with 7.7, then Oxford with 7.5, York with 7.1, Cambridge and St Andrews both on seven, and Southampton and Warwick, both on 6.6 making up the rest of the top 10. Aberystwyth in west Wales, Liverpool and Lancaster came out as the least beneficial investments among the 24 cities covered by the research, owing to more affordable rents and slower house price growth. Aberystwyth came last with a score of just 4.3 due to the lowest graduate income of just £16,000 and housing market growth in the region of -6%. Liverpool and Lancaster, both in the North West, followed closely behind, each scoring 5.3. ‘Student lets are generally seen as a great investment. There will always be a reliable level of demand and universities can often be really helpful in pointing students your way,’ said Daniel Killick, from Chestertons. ‘Some locations, however, offer a better return than others. We were keen to get some deeper insights into the UK’s student property market and understand where the most attractive prospects are and the ones that are less likely to pay off,’ he added. Continue reading

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