Property slowdown a myth for majority of London, new research shows

Taylor Scott International News

Price growth at the top end of the London residential property market has slowed but the majority of the city is seeing real estate values grow. Across most of the city property prices are up 8.2% year on year but for the top quarter prices are down by 2.4% year on year and 0.6% quarter on quarter, according to the latest report from Stirling Ackroyd. A breakdown of the figures shows that the traditional top quarter accounts for two thirds of Greater London’s postcode districts experiencing price falls with Kensington High Street seeing prices fall by 11.8%. This is followed by Notting Hill with a decline of 10% and Hampstead but areas such as Soho’s W1, Sutton and Tottenham are now driving London property price growth instead. By contrast, if London’s old luxury postcodes are excluded, the remaining three quarters of the capital saw a 2% rise over the same period, or annualised house price growth of 8.2% for the overwhelming majority of London’s neighbourhoods. Across the board, house prices in the capital rose by 1.6% in the fourth quarter of 2015, with the average London property now worth £533,000. As a broad average this translates to a 6.6% annualised growth rate for the whole of Greater London. Out of a total 272 postcode districts in the capital, 47 saw local drops in average property values. However 32 of these districts fall within London’s traditional prime top quarter of the property market. Within the top quarter of London’s property market, a given postcode has a roughly 50:50 chance of hosting falling house prices whereas for the rest of the capital a given postal district has a 93% probability of price rises. ‘London’s hugely diverse property market is undergoing a serious readjustment, with the traditional old heart of prime London under pressure from many fronts; from a low global oil price and China’s economic slowdown, to stamp duty reform and international fears of Brexit,’ said Andrew Bridges, managing director of Stirling Ackroyd. ‘Yet for most of London’s communities, these factors affecting luxury buyers are less important. There are still too few new homes coming onto the majority of the market compared to demand from a growing population and the majority of the London market is still in tune with, and restrained, by those fundamentals. Anyone who thinks that London property is synonymous with international jet setters is only looking at a very small part of what London has to offer,’ he explained. He also pointed out that there is also an outwards wave of interest, away from the old peaks of property prices. ‘Within the wider spread of London home buyers, a growing band of increasingly affluent people can no longer afford the most overcrowded traditional areas of London,’ he said. ‘This demographic of professionals are redefining the map of the capital’s up and coming locations. New, dynamic parts of London are emerging further east, driven by a… Taylor Scott International

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