Property prices in Northern Ireland set to outpace rest of UK in 2015

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The Northern Ireland housing market ended 2014 as it began it, with prices and sales rising and surveyors expecting the trend to continue, according to the latest RICS and Ulster Bank survey. The Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors expects Northern Ireland house prices to rise by 4% in 2015, which is higher than the expectation of 3% for the UK average. The latest survey suggests that demand in the local housing market remains relatively robust, with new buyer enquiries continuing to rise at a faster rate than new vendor instructions – indicating that there is a continuing lack of supply. In terms of prices, December was the 19th consecutive month that the headline price balance at +65 was in positive territory, indicating an increase in prices. The balance of surveyors expect prices to rise in the three months ahead. With regard to newly agreed sales, a net balance of +17 said that these increased in December, whilst a net balance for sales expectations in the three months ahead was +21. ‘The local housing market is expected to benefit from the reform of stamp duty, with the large majority of homebuyers here paying less of the tax. This will help encourage activity,’ said Samuel Dickey of RICS Northern Ireland. ‘In terms of prices, the gap between demand and supply is creating upward pressure. However, the slowing economic recovery and public spending environment will present challenges for the market. Overall, RICS expects prices to rise on average 4% this year, a moderation in growth relative to 2014,’ he added. According to Derek Wilson, head of lending products at Ulster Bank, mortgage demand remain strong in the final quarter of 2014. ‘We expect that to continue into this year, particularly from the home mover and first time buyer segments. We have a range of mortgage options available at historically low levels and we remain committed to lending to all sectors of the market,’ he added. Taylor Scott International

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