TSI
Gap between house prices in London and major UK cities widens
The gap between house prices in London and other major regional cities in the UK is at its widest for 20 years, according to the latest house price index. Prices in London experienced 4.6% growth in the three months to August and a 10% increase in the last 12 months, according to the cities house price index from Hometrack Overall city level house price inflation is running at 8.3% up from 6.6% in May. A similar expansion has been recorded in sales volumes which has translated into higher prices across UK cities, the report says. The highest rate of growth is in Cambridge at 11.2% and lowest in Aberdeen where prices have fallen by 2% due to the weakness in the oil price affecting the demand for housing. Compared to a year ago house price inflation has increased in five cities led by Edinburgh and Glasgow where growth is running at 9% and 5.3% respectively ‘City level house prices continue to increase as demand for housing grows in the face of constrained supply,’ said Richard Donnell, director of research at Hometrack. ‘A changing mix of buyers is compounding the scarcity of housing for sale with rising numbers of first time buyers and investors buying property while having nothing to sell. Only a recovery in the number of moves amongst existing home owners or an increase in new supply will ease the current housing scarcity which seems unlikely in the near term,’ he pointed out. ‘The gap between house prices in London and other major regional cities is at its widest level for 20 years. This highlights a seemingly over valued London market, on a price/earnings basis, and the prospect of further price growth to come in the large regional UK cities,’ explained Donnell. ‘London’s price earnings ratio is at an all-time high while there remains value in most other regional cities. The pricing differential to London could well assist city regions attract new investment as the cost of housing starts to influence decision making for both households and businesses,’ he added. Continue reading
Spain is top target for commercial real estate investors in Europe, new poll shows
Active commercial real estate investors see Spain as the top investment target in Europe for next year as values are still below peak, new research suggests. This is a sign of the Spanish commercial market’s recovery, with Germany following close and Germany is next on the list, according to a poll of investors carried out by international real estate firm Knight Frank. ‘The fundamental rationale behind investing in Spain is even stronger than this time last year. Prime CBD office rents have risen by 20% over the past 12 months, but remain nearly 40% below the 2008 peak, and both footfall and sales have been increasing in dominant shopping centres for six consecutive quarters,’ said Humphrey White, head of Capital Markets at Knight Frank Spain. At the same time some 25.4% chose Germany as their preferred target and Knight Frank says that the results mirror the buoyant investment activity seen in the country, with a total of €30 billion invested in property during the first half of 2015, an increase of 35% compared to the first half of 2014. According to Joachim von Radecke, head of German Desk at Knight Frank in London, the increase is driven by the rising flow of foreign capital into the country and the 50% increase of domestic investor activity. ‘Foreign investors’ share of the German market continues to grow, and now accounted for almost 60% of all transactions in the first half of 2015. We saw the usual trend towards the big five markets of Berlin, Frankfurt, Munich, Hamburg and Düsseldorf, with 78% of total office transactions recorded in these cities,’ he added. The UK also featured strongly in this year’s poll, attracting 17.4% of the votes, on the back of the continuing recovery which has now extended to the UK regions. ‘The UK is well ahead of the rest of Europe in terms of the property cycle and has already seen significant yield compression,’ said Chris Bell, managing director of Europe at Knight Frank. ‘However, it is encouraging that rental growth is beginning to re-emerge more widely across Europe, helped by the strengthening of occupier demand and the steadily falling availability of good quality space exacerbated by the lack of development over the preceding recessionary years,’ he added. Continue reading
Average rent for newly let properties in England reach new record level
The average rent for a newly let property in England has increased by 3.8% in the last 12 months to £946 per calendar month, according to the latest index figures. In August the month on month average increase was 2.5% the data from one of the UK’s largest letting agents, Countrywide, shows and rent levels have reached their highest level since the index began. Annual growth in rent for new let properties was recorded in all regions except central London. The South West saw an increase of 7% and the Midlands and increase of 6.3%, the highest growth year on year. Overall some 45% of tenants renewing their tenancies had rent increases in August, the highest since the index began and in London and the South East more than half of tenants renewing faced higher rents, according to the analysis. The report explains that rents have been growing throughout 2015, driven by a lack of homes available to rent and high levels of tenant demand. The total number of homes advertised to let was down 8% in August compared to last year, whereas the number of registered applicants was up 4%. With fewer options available for tenants looking to move, those choosing to renew their tenancy are more likely to see their rent increase. However, they are still better off compared to those moving home. The average increase in rent of 2.5% for a renewing tenancy is still less than the annual increase in rent for newly let homes, the report points out. It also explained that rental growth remains well above CPI inflation, which slipped back to zero this month. The South West and Midlands saw rents rise faster than anywhere else in the country with growth of 7% and 6.3% respectively. Growth in newly let rents was seen in all regions except in Central London where rents decreased 1.4% year on year. Greater London, although still growing, has seen its rate of growth in rent halve since the start of the year. The South West has seen the highest rental growth in the UK since the start of the year. ‘Falling numbers of homes available to rent and increasing demand from tenants have been the defining features of rental market so far in 2015. Competition for rented homes has intensified and led to accelerating rent growth,’ said Johnny Morris, research director at Countrywide. Indeed, there are now nine tenants are registered for every home available to rent, up from 7.5 in August last year. ‘With pressure on rents and increased competition for homes on the market, the proportion of renewing tenancies seeing an increase in rent has grown. Faced with the choice of staying put or moving in a market with more competition and increasing rents, more tenants are choosing to accept a smaller increase in rent to extend their existing tenancy,’ Morris explained. ‘Rental price growth in the South of England, outside of London is being fuelled by an… Continue reading
