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Scotland sees strong rise in property sales in third quarter of 2015
Residential property sales in Scotland increased by 6.5% in the third quarter of 2015 and the total value of sales by 6% compared to the same period in 2014, the latest index data shows. This is the highest volume and total value of quarterly sales in Scotland since 2009, according to the figures published by the Registers of Scotland. The highest rise in volume of sales was recorded in West Lothian, with an annual increase of 23.1% compared with the same quarter the previous year while Aberdeenshire saw a drop of 13.5%, the steepest fall. The data also shows that Edinburgh was the largest market with sales of over £805 million for the quarter, an increase of 6.2% on the previous year. But prices have dipped slightly. The average property price in the quarter was £169,397 a drop of 0.5% compared to the previous year. Semidetached properties showed an increase of 2% to £159,854 on the previous year while detached, terraces and flats saw decreases in average prices of 0.9%, 3.1% and 2.4% respectively. Overall the Scottish property market is demonstrating healthy growth and stability with good quality properties selling quickly, according to Simon Brown, partner and head of residential sales at CKD Galbraith. ‘These are very encouraging signs for the final months of year and moving into 2016. Success in the current market comes down to a number of key ingredients: sensitive pricing, demand for high quality property and effective marketing,’ he added. Michelle Grant, investment director at Grant Property, believes that the outlook for the market continues to be positive. ‘This signals growing confidence and has created a more competitive environment for buyers and investors,’ he said. ‘Glasgow and Edinburgh are proving particularly popular with most properties selling for more than the Home Report valuation, on some occasions up to 15% more. It is also not uncommon to be bidding against up to eight to 10 people for a property in sought after areas of the capital,’ he pointed out. ‘From a buy to let perspective we are experiencing 100% occupancy eight out of 12 cities in which we operate with high levels of demand from tenants. This is great news for investors looking to secure assets with long term yield prospects,’ he added. Continue reading
US housing market likely to see more pressure on prices
Housing starts in the United States rose in September, driven by the multifamily sector, but completions are not matching that hot pace, especially for lower end homes. With demand rising but supply in the form of completions slowing, there will be more pressure on home prices to rise, according to the latest analysis report from real estate firm CoreLogic. The implications are likely to be particularly felt at the low end of the property market due to the Federal Housing Administration’s decision in January to cut mortgage insurance premiums by 50 basis points, it points out. Overall starts are up 18% since last September, driven by multifamily, which saw strong growth of 29%, the data shows. Completions, though, the number of units actually delivered, rose by only 8% year on year, or less than half the jump in starts. Multifamily is the driver in this sector too, up 20% from September of last year. ‘The number that should give the market pause, though, is the completions on one-unit structures, both attached and detached. They are up only 3% and they are the most important segment to look at. They significantly lag the one unit structure starts number which were up 12% year on year,’ the report says. ‘Since it takes six months to deliver a house after ground breaking, completions is the actual new supply that is ready to be sold. What that means for home sales is definite upward pressure on home prices,’ it explained. The report also points out that since the FHA made its premium cut, the prices for lower end houses have jumped and the FHA is a big presence in the low end market where houses typically sold for 75% or less than the median. As of August, real prices for lower end houses have jumped 10.4% relative to a year ago. Prices for higher end homes have been up as well, but only half as high at 5.2%. The lower end prices, which had been up in a narrow range of around s7% the last half of last year, really took off starting in January. ‘The real trend to watch here is if one unit completions will rise to match what is a re-acceleration of demand on the low end. If demand for homes to buy outstrips supply, prices will inevitably rise even higher,’ the report concludes. Continue reading
UK property prices set to rise by almost 20% or average of £60,000 in next five years
Property prices in the UK are predicted to continue their upward trend, rising by nearly £60,000 over the next five years, according to new research. Prices are expected to rise by 3.5% in 2016 with further annual increases of around 4% in the four years that follow, says the latest analysis from the Centre for Economics and Business Research (Cebr). Indeed, the forecaster says that 2015 annual house price growth has been revised up from 4.7% in June to 5.6% this month and the average price of a UK property is set to stand at a record high of £263,000 this year. The research also shows that the price gap between a terraced house and a purpose built flat in London nearly quadrupled from £46,000 in 2000 to £176,000 in 2014. It points out that a lack of properties coming onto the market is one of the reasons behind the upward revision to the forecast. Households expect property values to keep rising so as such individuals want to sell at the top of the market, but at the moment few anticipate a downturn in prices. Yet overall home ownership has risen dramatically among older households since 1981, but has collapsed among younger households. With retired individuals less likely to move home, this is curbing the number of individuals putting property up for sale, the report explains. It also reveals a substantial increase in the cost of moving up the property ladder, especially in London. Moving up the property ladder has historically been a key reason to sell a home but for many this has become infeasible. The high cost of moving home, with stamp duty costs curbing house moves and the report says this is particularly the case at the prime end of the property market which saw a substantial increase in stamp duty rates in last December’s Autumn Statement. Low levels of housebuilding are also reducing the number of new builds being put up for sale in the UK. The Cebr suggests that the new Housing and Planning Bill will not go far enough in controlling rising home prices. It claims that reconsidering various other housing market features is also necessary. For example, the UK’s population is getting older and with retired individuals less likely to move home, added incentives are necessary to encourage ‘rightsizing’. For example, a stamp duty exemption or reduction for those looking to ‘rightsize’ would encourage pensioners to put larger properties on the market. ‘A reduction in the number of properties being put on the market has placed further upward pressure on house prices in some parts of the UK. This is a result of low levels of house building, but also other factors such as an ageing population and the rising cost of moving up the property ladder,’ said Nina Skero, Cebr economist and main author of the report,. ‘The price gap between a first time home and a larger family home has skyrocketed… Continue reading
