TSI

Stamp duty increase for UK landlords equivalent to 11 months net income

The cost of the new 3% stamp duty rate for UK landlords announced recently in the Autumn Statement would be the equivalent to 11 months income for the average mortgaged landlord, new research has found. It is suggested that most private sector landlords buying after April 2016, when the measure is introduced, will likely try to offset the cost by offering less when purchasing. It comes at a time when the rent on newly let properties has increased by 2% year on year, led by markets in the East of England, according to research by property services group Countrywide. In the Autumn Statement, the Chancellor George Osborne announced an additional 3% stamp duty rate for landlords and second home owners. The research also suggests that the rate will put pressure on yields for landlords, unless they account for increased costs when buying. Indeed, the research shows that if the higher tax burden is not factored into the purchase price of a property, it would mean a reduction in gross yield of 0.2%. That is equivalent to 11 months income for the average landlord, taking into account borrowing costs, based on the average loan to value of 68%. Landlords in the South West and North East of England will see the highest cost relative to rental income, as the extra tax burden is equivalent to 14 months and 12 months of income, respectively. Those buying in the North West of England will see the least, with the extra stamp duty equivalent to eight months of income. The majority of landlord purchases take place in London, the South and East of England and some 60% of homes sold to landlords in England this year were in these regions. Landlords in these areas will see the biggest cash increase in stamp duty, £6,000 on average. However, high expectations of future house price growth will likely mitigate some of the impact of the tax increase. If prices grew at the same rate as the last five years, within 12 months the growth in house prices would have offset the cost of the additional stamp duty. In the Midlands and North of England, 16% and 12% of total sales respectively are to landlords. Countrywide data shows that the average property bought by landlords in these regions would previously not have faced any stamp duty but will now face a £3,200 tax bill next year. The changes to stamp duty come as the shortage of homes available to rent continues, levels of stock have decreased 5% year on year. The growing imbalance between supply and demand will continue to support rent increases in future months as tenants compete for fewer homes. ‘The stamp duty increase will impact landlords’ purchasing power. Many entering the market will be faced with a choice between making a lower offer when buying or having to cover the additional costs themselves,… Continue reading

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Spanish property market recovery set to continue in 2016

Looking ahead to 2016 it looks as if the Spanish house market will continue to recover but the latest data shows it is still a rollercoaster and growth very much depends on location. According to the latest figures from appraisal company Tinsa prices are still increasing with its latest index up by 1.9% in November year on year. However, the increase is somewhat exaggerated by an unusual fall in prices last year and on a monthly basis prices were down a fraction compared to September. The Tinsa index shows, however, that the recovery is broad based as house prices rose in all the areas covered. Prices in Barcelona and Madrid were up by 3%, coastal areas popular with overseas buyers saw price growth of 1.4% and the Balearic and Canary Islands 0.2%. But the recovery still has some way to go as since the peak of the market house prices are still down 41.3% in general, and 48.2% on the coast. House prices, excluding new builds, actually fell by 1% in November according to the Idealists price index and are down 2.1% year on year. However the index shows that five region saw monthly price rises, albeit marginal. The Balearic Island saw price growth of 0.9% followed by the Canary Islands up 0.5%, Andalucía up 0.3%, Navarra and Castilla-La Mancha both up 0.1%. In contrast, the most significant declines were registered in Murcia with a fall of 3.3%), La Rioja down 2%, Catalonia down 1.9% and Madrid down 1.3%. So it must be remembered that different indices use different measures and this has to be taken into account when trying to work out what is happening in the market. Both the property division and research department of BBVA, Spain’s second largest bank, are optimistic about the outlook for the Spanish property market in 2016. They are forecasting stability for the overall market, and growth in some sectors during 2016. All the key market metrics are already showing an improvement, with sales and mortgage lending up across the board, and house prices rising in a number of cities, the latest BBVA report says. Anida, the bank’s property division, pointed out that data from Notaires shows that home sales were up 9.5% in the year to August, and up 8.7% in September. ‘This dynamism in sales is also continuing in the autumn months. 2015 will go down in history as the year the real estate sector stabilised,’ the Anida report points out. BBVA Research echoes this optimism in its latest report which forecasts that 2015 will end with sales up 10%, to 400,000 homes sold, and that the sector will leave behind the recession in 2016, and consolidate its growth. BBVA also points out that an acute shortage of new home building means that the excess new homes inventory is undergoing a significant reduction and is disappearing altogether in some of… Continue reading

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First time buyer valuation activity up by over 30% year on year

First time buyer activity in the UK jumped in November to a rate 31% higher than in the same month last year and up 2% month on month. The data from Connells Survey & Valuation also shows that first time buyer valuations were 2% above the annual increase for the overall housing market and 26% greater than the year on year increase for home mover activity. According to John Bagshaw, corporate services director of Connells Survey & Valuation, many first time buyers may be eager to get on the housing ladder now to avoid any potential rate rise by the Bank of England in the New Year. ‘While any increase to the base rate will likely be slight, it could be enough to persuade cash limited and price sensitive first time buyers to act sooner rather than later,’ he said. He believes that first time buyers are also looking to take advantage of Government backed schemes such as Help to Buy while they last. ‘Although the Government has given no clear indication these packages will end anytime soon, they could be gradually phased out as housing market confidence continues to improve,’ he explained. ‘These two factors are reinforced by an economy that currently boasts a golden combination of growth, low inflation and rising household incomes, an appealing economic environment for typically cautious first time buyers,’ he added. The data also shows that the buy to let market experienced similarly strong, if less pronounced, annual growth, with activity in the sector up 26% between November 2014 and November 2015. The strong performance comes despite the market contracting slightly by 4% on a monthly basis. Valuation activity for all purposes also remains strong, climbing 29% between November 2014 and November 2015, while registering no change compared to last month. ‘The buy to let sector continues to be an attractive proposition for property investors. But while the prospect of high returns is driving some of the activity in this sector, much of the energy is also being fueled by a desire to out manoeuvre the Treasury’s attempts to take more money from buy to let business,’ said Bagshaw. ‘With the Chancellor imposing more fees and regulations on landlords in his most recent Autumn Statement, many would be landlords are hurrying to get into the market before these changes kick in from April next year,’ he explained. He also pointed out that the housing market’s overall performance remains positive. All sectors are reporting healthy yearly growth and he said this is a reflection of a positive combination of economic growth, rising consumer confidence and improving real terms wages. The remortgaging market continues to expand rapidly on an annual basis, with the number of remortgaging valuations carried out in November 2015 representing a 46% increase on November of last year, while also representing a 5% increase on October 2015. However, progress for the home mover market was more gradual. Valuation activity for those seeking to progress further… Continue reading

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