TSI
Buy to let investors pushing up property prices in UK ahead of tax change
The UK residential property market saw a modest rise in new instructions in January but despite higher supply there is still considerable demand due to buy to let investors seeking to avoid Aprils stamp duty change. The latest residential market survey from the Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors also says that this means that the near term pressure on prices is intensifying despite a higher level of supply. Feedback to the survey continues to suggest that the recent increase in demand is due to a rush of buy to let investors looking to buy before the 3% stamp duty surcharge comes into effect in April. Some 74% of respondents expect there will be an increase in buy to let purchase as supply picked up across UK, most notably in London where the increase has been significant with a net balance of +58% more noting an increase. Elsewhere, sales instructions across the UK were much flatter. New buyer enquiries rose for the tenth successive month in January, with the pace of growth in enquiries accelerating for a second consecutive report. As activity in the housing market gathers pace overall, agreed sales have risen over the month at the fastest pace since April 2014. The picture across the UK is mixed but most areas have seen a rise in sales since the start of the year and further increases are expected. Supply has also gathered pace in the past two months but stock remains low with 46 properties per branch from 44.5, which is still 21% down compared to a year ago. Even with an improvement in supply, the rush to acquire buy to let property is pushing prices up, with 49% more surveyors reporting prices to have risen in January. Looking ahead, house prices are projected to rise further over the next 12 months, with 72% more contributors expecting prices to increase rather than fall. In the lettings market, tenant demand increased once more, with all areas of the UK seeing a rise in interest from prospective tenants during the three months to January and at the same time, landlord instructions were broadly flat. This extends an uninterrupted run in which supply has failed to keep pace with demand stretching back to 2009. As a result, expectations point to continued rental growth in all parts of the UK both at 12 month and five year time horizons, the report says. ‘How the tax changes planned for the buy to let sector over the next few years plays out remains to be seen, but there are concerns raised in the survey that existing landlords will look to either gradually scale back on their portfolios or exit the market altogether as the more penal regime begins to bite,’ said Simon Rubinsohn, RICS chief economist. ‘Against this backdrop, it is perhaps not surprising that our key indicators point to further rent, as well as house price increases. Steve Bolton, founder of Platinum Property Partners, pointed out that those investors… Continue reading
Average prices in England and Wales now over £290,000, latest index shows
Home values in England and Wales rose by 0.2% in January taking the average house price above £290,000, the latest price index shows. ss England and Wales. Last June, average prices crossed the £280,000 marker, but we have to go back to August 2014 for the crossing of the £270,000 threshold’ said Adrian Gill, director of Reeds Rains and Your Move estate agents. ‘We’re now passing these milestones in quicker and quicker succession, as prices pick up pace. This hastening is good news for home owners, but means it’s getting harder for those still hoping for home ownership. In the last 12 months there’s been a 5.5% upswing in average property prices compared to just a 2.1% rise in average earnings,’ he pointed out. However, he also pointed out that aspiring buyers now have much more support to help get a foothold on the ladder, with the launch of the Help to Buy ISA in December and the new Starter Homes scheme this year. ‘But in the long term there has to be a huge breakthrough in house building if we’re going meet the growing demand for homes and keep house price growth sensible,’ added Gill. The analysis of the data says that while the South East remains the region with the fastest year on year price rise at 7.7%, London has now moved to second place. The typical property in London has increased in value by £34,485 in the last year, almost equal to the £35,333 median gross annual earnings in the capital. Gill explained that this 6.2% rise in the capital’s home values has been driven by activity in the more affordable outer boroughs. The cheapest 11 boroughs have seen the biggest boost in property prices, up 14% or £47,052 year on year, with a typical home in Newham now costing £63,429 or 23% more than in December 2014. ‘As London workers attempt to find affordable places to buy, prices are rising in the nearby commuter towns as well. The fastest growth year on year across the country has been experienced in Luton where home values are up 17.5%, with trains here only taking 23 minutes to get into St Pancras Station,’ said Gill. He also said that while home sales saw the usual seasonal slump in January, falling 26% from the previous month’s level, this is better than expected, with sales typically dropping by 28% between these two months. ‘Regionally, there has been a significant upswing in sales in the North West, rising 8.8% in the last quarter of 2015, compared to the same period in 2014. We are now seeing faster growth in sales in lower-priced areas, as buyers seek more property for their money,’ Gill explained. He also said that when looking at the type of property selling successfully, there has been a turnaround in the trend seen in recent years. Sales of detached homes are now rising fastest, up 5%… Continue reading
Mortgage rate savings have been significant in UK over last two years
Fixed rate mortgages in the UK fell to their lowest levels in 2015, whilst the standard variable rate remained static, meaning the potential savings for borrowers have increased. Indeed potential savings have improved significantly by 50% over the course of the past two years, according to the latest research from Halifax. The average interest rate on a new fixed rate mortgage fell a further 0.59over the past 12 months, whilst there was no change in the standard variable rate over the same period. This means that the average fixed rate now stands at 2.66% compared with the average standard variable rate of 4.49%, with the gap between the two widening by 1.81 percentage points since August 2012. As a result the amount homeowners could be saving by switching to a fixed rate deal has increased by 50% in the past two years. In November 2013, the average monthly payment of a home owner who took out a two year fixed rate on a £100,000 mortgage would have been £485. At the same time, the payment on a standard variable rate mortgage would have been £551, a monthly saving of £66. According to the research a borrower taking out a fixed rate in November 2015 would be paying £457 a month on a £100,000 loan compared with £555 on the average standard variable rate, saving of £99 a month and 50% higher than two years’ earlier. ‘With the base rate remaining at record low levels for another year, fixed rate mortgages fell further in 2015. Over the past three years average rates have fallen sharply, significantly widening the gap between them and standard variable rates. As a result, borrowers have been able to make considerable savings,’ said Craig McKinlay, mortgages director at the Halifax. ‘Whilst remortgaging activity has picked up in the last year, this is only in line with new loans. As a result, remortgage activity’s share of all lending has remained relatively subdued, especially when compared to its strength in 2008,’ he explained. ‘Without the concern of a base rate rise in the immediate future it seems borrowers’ appetite to remortgage has been dulled, meaning that some could be missing out on significant savings,’ he added. The research also shows that remortgage activity remains well below the 2008 peak. The widening gap between fixed rates and standard variable rates appears to have helped improve remortgaging’s share of all new mortgage lending from 29% in August 2012 to 32% in November 2015. However, this growth is far slower than that seen in the gap between fixed and variable rates, and demonstrates that remortgaging remains considerably below the peaks of 50% that it reached in 2008. Continue reading
