TSI
Capital city home values up 3.3% in first four months of 2016
Home values in Australian capital cities continued to rise in the first four months of 2016, up 3.3% compared to the same period in 2015, the latest index shows. In April, the pace of capital gains rebounded from the relatively flat numbers recorded in March, with dwelling values increasing by an average of 1.7%, according to the Corelogic April home value index. Across the country, housing market trends remain mixed, however, and CoreLogic research director Tim Lawless noted that the improvement in the rate of capital gains has been ‘broad based’ during 2016 with every capital city except Perth recording a lift in dwelling values over the calendar year to date. ‘The results show value growth moved at a faster pace compared with the final three months of 2015 when capital city dwelling values slid 1.4% lower off the back of weaker market conditions in Sydney and Melbourne,’ he explained. ‘While we’ve seen capital gains moderate substantially after peaking last year in Sydney and Melbourne, dwelling values continue to trend higher, just not as fast,’ he added. The data shows that the annual rate of growth in Sydney peaked at 18.4% in July last year and has since moderated back to slightly less than half the peak rate of growth, at 8.9% over the most recent 12 month period. Melbourne’s housing market continues to show a level of resilience to a slowing trend, however the annual growth rate has fallen from a recent peak of 14.2% to the current annual growth rate of 10.1% but Melbourne was the only capital city to see double digit growth over the past year. Perth and Darwin remain as the only two capital city markets to experience a decline in home values over the past 12 months, with Perth values down 2.1% and Darwin values 3.7% lower. ‘With recent month on month increases in home values in these two cities, the declining trend rate is now levelling. This may be an early sign that these markets are beginning to find their cyclical trough after more than a year of annual declines,’ said Lawless. Over the current growth cycle, which commenced broadly in June 2012, capital city dwelling values have moved 34.4% higher, led by a 52.7% rise in Sydney home values and a 37.1% lift in Melbourne values. Lawless pointed out that this highlights the two tiered nature of Australia’s housing market at present. Brisbane experienced the third highest rate of dwelling value growth over the growth cycle to date and dwelling values in the city are now up 18% and Lawless explained that Australia’s regional markets also exhibited a lift in house values over the year to date. He added that while house values across the non-capital city markets have generally underperformed compared with the capital city regions, regional house values moved 2.4% higher over the first quarter of the year. Continue reading
Edinburgh property market seeing strong demand and steady price growth
The residential property market in Edinburgh is experiencing high demand, especially at the middle to high end of the market, new reports show. The long term picture is one of steady growth. A comparison of property prices by agents Strutt & Parker shows that in March 2015, the month leading up to the introduction of the new Land and Buildings Transaction Tax (LBTT), and March 2016 reveals a 26% fall in average value. In March 2015 prices averaged £320,466 but in March 2016 this was down to £237,226, much of which has been put down to the distortion caused in the market by LBTT last year. However, the average value in March 2016 is significantly up on the average price in March 2014 which was £209, 624 and March 2013 when it was £200,744, indicating a steady upward trajectory in property prices. ‘The drop in average value simply serves to underline the huge spike in sales before the introduction of LBTT in April last year and it highlights the importance of experience when interpreting housing market trends,’ said Blair Stewart, head of Edinburgh City Residential Sales at Strutt & Parker. ‘It is not surprising that the 2016 average property price is less in comparison. It is more important to look back over the last three years during which time, taking 2015 out of the equation, we can see a steady rise in the city's average property price,’ he pointed out. In March, there were 247 sales in Edinburgh of which 225 were £300,000 to £750,000, 13 in the £750,000 to £1 million range and nine at over £1 million, up from 159 in February and 146 in January but down from 363 in March 2015, again underlining the surge in sales before the introduction of LBTT. ‘The high volumes and associated lower values in Edinburgh are partly reflective of a surge in the purchases of investment properties before the LBTT surcharge was introduced at the start of April. In general, additional and investment properties are lower in value, which is illustrated by both the jump in transactions and drop in average value,’ Stewart explained. ‘Correspondingly, we have noticed an adjustment in the average sale prices of the properties we are selling in Edinburgh change from around £780,000 in 2015 to approximately £600,000 in 2016. However, these figures also show a strong performance in the market in the first months of 2016 and I am confident we will see that continue into the summer,’ he added. He also pointed out that behavioural changes following two tax regime changes in a year are still playing out so a true picture of the market will become clearer over the next six months once there can be an analysis of figures which have not been distorted by either LBTT or the additional 3% surcharge on additional homes introduced this April. Agents CKD Galbraith is also reporting that demand for middle to high end residential property in Edinburgh city… Continue reading
Rents in the UK continue to trend upwards, latest rental index shows
Residential rents increased in all but one region of the UK over three months to April taking the average rent, excluding Greater London, to £764 per month, the latest index data shows. It means that the average rent in the UK outside of Greater London us now 5.1% higher than a year ago while the average rent in London is now £1,543, up 7.7% Scotland and the East Midlands lead the way with fastest rising rents while the North West is the only region to register declines in rent, according to the HomeLet rental index for April. The index report says that fears that higher stamp duty charges on buy to let rental property purchases might destabilise the market have so far proved unfounded. Indeed, HomeLet’s figures show that rents agreed on new tenancies across the UK over the three months to the end of April have continued to grow at remarkably consistent rate. The index also shows that rents on new tenancies signed over the three months to April 2016 were, on average, 5.1% higher than in the same period of last year. That was barely changed from March’s figure of 4.9%, with rent rises having remained in a very narrow band since the beginning of the year. However, in London rents on new tenancies signed over the three months to the end of April were 7.7% higher than a year ago, the third successive month that London has registered this rate of increase. The latest figures show that rents in Scotland are currently rising faster than anywhere else in the UK, with new tenancies costing 11.4% more than in the same period a year ago while the East Midlands saw a rise of 7.9% in rents compared to last year. London’s rental market, where the average rent on a new tenancy is now £1,543, also continues to see rents rise more quickly than in most other areas of the country. The 2.6% gap between rent rises on new tenancies in London and the rest of the UK, where rents average £764, is barely changed on the previous. Just one area of the country, the North West of England, saw lower rents on new tenancies over the three months to March, as was the case in the previous month’s index. However, the speed at which rents are falling in the region continues to slow, to an annual rate of just 1% over the three months to April, compared to 3.5% over the three months to March. Rents agreed on new tenancies in April alone were 1.7% higher than in March. ‘It may be that over the next several months, the trends observed in the rental market begin to reflect the signs of some slowdown in the rate of house price growth that we are now beginning to see and that will be something to watch closely,’ said Martin Totty, chief executive officer of HomeLet… Continue reading
