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March saw unprecedented lending levels in UK due to buy to let rush
Home owner house purchase lending was up by 60% year on year in the UK in March but the overall lending figures were affected by a rush from buy to let buyers seeking to beat a new stamp duty surcharge. Overall on an unadjusted basis, home owners borrowed £13.8 billion and first time buyers borrowed £4.5 billion, up 32% on February and 29% on March last year, according to the latest figures from the Council of Mortgage Lenders. Home movers borrowed £9.3 billion, up 75% on February and 82% compared to a year ago while remortgage activity totalled £4.7 billion, down 2% on February but up 7% compared to a year ago. Landlords borrowed £7.1 billion, up 87% month on month and 163% year on year but CML director general Paul Smee pointed out that activity was distorted in March due to a rush to beat the introduction of changes to stamp duty on second properties in April, alongside the seasonal uptick in activity before Easter. ‘While the increases are substantial, these supercharged levels of activity are likely to be temporary and will fall back over the summer months,’ he added. Peter Williams, executive director of the Intermediary Mortgage Lenders Association (IMLA), suggested that while activity has picked up among home movers, the leap in landlord lending makes it clear that price inflation has been fuelled by the Government’s stamp duty changes for buy to let properties and second homes, incentivising many buyers to bring their purchases forward where possible. ‘A policy move that aims to manage long term demand has therefore created short term tremors in the market and made it hard to predict how things will look when the dust settles. The Government’s hope is that first time buyers will find their prospects improved and lenders are certainly doing their bit with first time buyer lending up 29% year on year,’ he explained. ‘Continuing access to high loan to value (LTV) mortgages is an important part of this equation, and should not be frowned upon given the rigorous affordability checks in place,’ he pointed out. ‘Nevertheless, the UK needs a balanced housing market to prosper and playing politics across tenures cannot compensate for the underlying short supply of property. Added uncertainty from the upcoming EU referendum vote means the market is in urgent need of time and space to draw breath. Now is not the time to consider further tinkering under the bonnet after a rollercoaster start to the year,’ he added. According to David Whittaker, managing director of Mortgages for Business, it wasn’t just March which was exceptional. ‘The first quarter as a whole was strong as landlords reacted to tax changes. The dust will begin to settle in this part of the mortgage market through the second quarter of the year,’ he said. ‘Landlords have a new status quo and it’s not just the additional stamp duty that needs to be factored into… Continue reading
UK vote on future in EU could have major impact on housing markets
If the UK leaves the European Union there is a risk that the move could have a long last and damaging effect on the country’s residential property markets, according to a new report. It could affect current plans to build hundreds of thousands of new homes, compromise London’s position as a safe haven for property investment, but could also have positive effects for first time buyers. The report from the National Association of Estate Agents (NAEA) and the Association of Residential Letting Agents (ARLA) compiled with the Centre for Economics and Business Research (Cebr), highlights a number of short and long term implications potentially arising from the upcoming vote. While the impact Brexit will have on migration policies is unconfirmed, imposing greater restrictions on foreign workers coming into the UK may compromise the UK’s ability to build homes with the Government having pledged to build one million new homes by 2020. It points out that construction based jobs are decreasing in popularity among UK nationals, and as 5% of current construction workers were born in other EU countries and workers from the are becoming more important than ever in filling the skills gap to boost housing stock. A leave vote could mean that in 10 years’ time there would be a severe skills shortage of construction workers, according to Mark Hayward, NAEA managing director. ‘Even if we then had planning permission, investment and materials to build more housing, we simply wouldn’t have the resource to put the bricks and mortar together. It has the potential to have a very damaging effect on the future housing market,’ he explained. But he added that a leave vote could provide first time-buyers with breathing space as demand for housing would be expected to ease off. The report also says that non EU businesses are currently attracted to the UK’s status as a gateway to the single market as it allows them to establish and grow their presence across Europe. In 2014 some 19% or £5.3 billion) of total FDI inflow into the UK came from EU sources and in 2013 some 17% of sales in London’s prime property market made to non-UK buyers were to European nationals. It suggests that in the event of Brexit, a portion of FDI would be re-directed to EU countries, freeing up housing units, particularly in London, previously purchased through FDI for British buyers. Also, if the UK does not maintain free movement of labour, the total population of the UK could decrease by 1.06 million and the report argues that with fewer people, demand will ease, making the market more accessible for first time buyers, as well as second steppers and last and last time buyers and this is will be especially apparent in London. Reduced migration would also affect the private rental sector. Currently, private renting is a more… Continue reading
Buy to let stamp duty rush sees increase in supply of rental properties in UK
There was an increase in the number of new rental properties in the UK following the rush by buy to let landlords to beat the introduction of additional stamp duty tax on homes in April. New research has found that Worcester saw new rental listings shoot up by almost a half with a rise of 48.9% in April while there was a rise of 38% in Chelmsford and 36.4% in Stevenage. Overall there was a national rise of 11.5% but in London it was just 9.1%, according to the study which looked at the number of new rental properties being advertised last month compared to March in 90 towns and cities from property crowdfunding platform Property Partner. Other locations that saw significant increases included Southport, Telford, Bath, Newport, Woking, Gloucester, Milton Keynes, Oxford, Oldham and St Helens with rise of between 34.4% and 22.5%. ‘The rental market experienced a much-needed boost in April. Unfortunately, this was created by investor frenzy to beat the stamp duty hike, and supply is unlikely to continue on an upward trajectory,’ said Dan Gandesha, chief executive officer of Property Partner. ‘If anything, options for tenants could become more limited in the next couple of months as traditional landlords balk at the prospect of paying the surcharge now, and losing mortgage interest tax relief from next year,’ he pointed out. ‘There is still strong tenant demand, but the Government has changed the traditional buy to let landscape, and this will have ramifications for the rental market longer term. That demand will increasingly have to be met by professional landlords offering tenants a better product, and investors a better deal,’ he added. Continue reading
