TSI
London property market avoids usual seasonal lending dip
The usual seasonal dip in home lending in the first quarter of the year didn’t seem to happen in London as the latest data shows borrowing up quarter on quarter and year on year. The data from the Council of Mortgage Lenders shows that home buyers in London borrowed £7.1 billion in the first three months of 2016, up 6% quarter on quarter and 41% on a year ago. They took out 21,400 loans, down 2% on the previous quarter but up 20% compared to the first quarter 2015. First time buyers borrowed £2.9 billion, down 7% on the fourth quarter 2015 but up 19% on the first quarter last year. This equated 10,700 loans, down 10% quarter on quarter but up 3% year on year. Home movers borrowed £4.2 billion, up 18% quarter on quarter and 63% compared to a year ago. This equated to 10,600 loans, up 8% quarter on quarter and 43% compared to the first quarter of 2015. Remortgage activity totalled £4 billion, up 4% on the fourth quarter 2015 and 36% compared to a year ago. This came to 13,500 loans, up 2% quarter on quarter and 21% compared to a year ago. ‘The usual seasonal dip in lending in the first quarter of the year didn't seem to impact London as strongly as the UK overall, mainly due to a strong uptick in home mover activity. Remortgage lending also performed well resulting in the highest first quarter remortgage levels in the capital since 2009,’ said Paul Smee, director general of the CML. ‘The housing market in Greater London has some unique characteristics compared to the rest of the UK such as more first time buyers, but lower overall levels of home ownership,’ he pointed out. ‘Affordability and the supply of housing remain critical factors for the London market, and we will be pleased to work with the new mayor and his deputy on how to deliver appropriate strategy over his term of office,’ he added. The data also shows that quarter on quarter affordability metrics for first time buyers show that the amount borrowed increased to £248,047 compared to the UK average of £130,500, from £243,746, but this was offset by a rise in the total household income of borrowers to £62,508 compared to the UK average of £40,000, from £61,155 meaning the median income multiple remained virtually unchanged from 3.94 to 3.93. London home movers saw a similar trend to £338,500 to the UK average of £172,295, from £315,995 the previous quarter, and household income increased to £91,862 on average compared to £56,104 UK-wide, from £84,313 meaning the income multiple decreased slightly from 3.87 to 3.83. The proportion of monthly gross income home buyers are spending on capital and interest repayments was 19.0%, which was the lowest level since the CML began tracking this metric in 2005. The number of remortgage loans was the highest first quarter figure since 2009, and the highest value… Continue reading
Residential property market in Abu Dhabi slow in first quarter of 2016
In Abu Dhabi real there was a slight decrease in demand for higher priced residential units but sales activity was slow although relatively stable except for a handful of transactions concluding at below market rates. A fee of 3% on home rentals was announced as a Municipality Contract Fee, which will be applied to all Abu Dhabi’s expat residents and this could affect the market, according to the latest UAE property review from Asteco. Rental rates for prime and high quality residential apartments fell 2% compared to the fourth quarter of 2015, the report data shows. However, apartment rental rates remained, on average, 4% higher than the previous year’s rates. Mid and low quality units, in contrast, recorded stable rates with only a slight decrease for larger units, as tenants moved to newer developments offering similar or lower rental rates. Similar to the apartment sector, rental rates in the villa market were relatively stable in the first three months of 2016. However, there was a slight decrease in demand for the higher priced but older villas that are predominantly located on Abu Dhabi Island. In comparison, the majority of newer prime and high end villa developments, which include the Saadiyat Island projects, Golf Gardens, and Al Raha Beach, recorded their highest rental rates. The report suggests that a lack of quality villa communities continued to be the main factor behind the high rental rates throughout Abu Dhabi. Over the last 12 months, the prime and high quality villa projects recorded between 4% and 7% rental increases, while those for lower quality private villas decreased by more than 10% over the same period. A breakdown of the figures show that price movement varied with rates down by 5% to 7 % over the quarter in Reem Island communities whereas Saadiyat Island and Al Raha Beach recorded growth of 2% and up to 6% respectively and the report suggest this is due to the relative small availability of stock actually for sale in the market. The amount of upcoming supply on Reem Island, together with sales rates peaking in 2015, resulted in a large decrease in demand from buyers in the first quarter of 2016. Sales prices on Reem Island recorded an overall downward trend for the first three months of the year with rates for City of Lights dropping by approximately 10%, Sun and Sky Towers and The Gate Towers decreasing by 5% and 6% respectively, and Marina Square prices falling by 6%. The traded price at Marina Square in Q1 2016 ranged between AED 1,230 to AED 1,350 per square foot. The report also shows that after a period of strong demand for villas throughout 2015, the first three months of 2016 recorded limited sales activity. In particular, the more affordable units in the Al Raha Gardens and Al Reef developments saw only a few transactions taking place, of which most were below market rates. In comparison new developments on Yas Island were… Continue reading
Tracker report confirms UK property sales soared in first quarter of 2016
Property sales in the UK were 10% higher in the first quarter of 2016, boosted by a rush in demand for buy to let and second homes due to a stamp duty surcharge, new figures show. Some 275,002 transactions were registered between January and March, up 10% from the previous first quarter record from 2014, when 251,042 transactions were logged, according to the latest Conveyancing Market Tracker report from Search Acumen. The report points out that the 2014 rush was due to a surge of activity ahead of the Mortgage Market Review (MMR) rule changes in April 2014, as consumers moved to secure mortgage finance and complete deals before affordability checks were tightened. The latest tracker, which uses Land Registry data, also shows that sales volumes in the first three months of 2016 were also up 15% year on year, as conveyancers pushed second home buyers and landlords to completion before the introduction of the new 3% stamp duty surcharge which was introduced on 01 April 2016. The report points out that the potential for a time lag due to extended timelines for Land Registry applications being completed means the higher volume of conveyancing transactions may also continue into the second quarter of 2016. Year on year, those firms ranked 11 to 20 in terms of transactions completed experienced the biggest growth from the first quarter of 2015 to the first quarter of 2016, with their transaction volumes rising 24% from 801 to 994 on average. Firms ranked from 21 to 50 experienced the second best year on year growth rate, with average sales in the first quarter up from 551 to 665, a rise of 21%. Overall, the top 1,000 firms in the market experienced 16% annual growth, compared with 11% outside the top 1,000. It means that the aggregate market share for the top five firms has now been 6% or less for each of the last five quarters since the fourth quarter of 2014 as competition has heated up further down the ranks. ‘Conveyancers’ services have been in high demand so far this year as buyers of second homes and buy to let properties have created a stampede to beat the April 2016 stamp duty deadline,’ said Mark Riddick, chairman of Search Acumen. He pointed out that the artificial stimulus of government intervention has put major pressure on workloads, more than the firm has seen in the opening exchanges of any year since the recession and topping the pre-MMR rush of 2014. ‘Our analysis points to another interesting trend in the market, where challenger firms have enjoyed the biggest benefits of the year on year rise in transactions. As conveyancers pause for breath after the stamp duty frenzy, there may be some who are left licking their wounds or feeling their business performance could have been better,’ explained Riddick. ‘Periods like this, when services come under pressure from extra demand, can be testing all round, and it’s important for conveyancers to ensure their… Continue reading
