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First UK house price estimates published ahead of new national index in June
The first estimates for the new single official UK House Price Index which will be first published in its entirety in June 2016, have been published. The new improved index has been developed jointly with other official producers of house price statistics following a review by the National Statistician, uses data from, amongst others, the Land Registry and Council of Mortgage Lenders. By using these comprehensive datasets together, as well as by employing the best internationally agreed methods, the new UK HPI aims to give the best and most detailed picture of the UK housing market. For the most recent period, December 2011, the new UK HPI shows an average price level of £185,000 for England and Wales. This is lower than the price recorded by the current Office of National Statistics index for England at £222,000 for the same period. But it is above the equivalent price levels recorded by the Land Registry for England and Wales at £157,000, the Halifax for the UK at £157,000 and Nationwide for the UK at £163,000. The main reason for the decrease in price levels from the ONS index to the new UK index is the use of the geometric mean, which reduces the impact of very high value properties on the headline data. Over the period from 2003 to 2011, which is the longest comparable period available, the average annual growth is 5.2% for the ONS index for England, 4.6% for the Land Registry index for England and Wales, 4.7% for the Halifax for the UK, 5.3% for Nationwide for the UK and 6.1% for the new UK index for England and Wales. The inclusion of cash sales and improved weights are both contributing to the increased growth seen in the new UK index, according to ONS statistician Chris Jenkins. ‘By combing different data sets and using the best internationally agreed methods, the new UK HPI will give the best possible picture of the changing UK property market,’ he explained. ‘For the first time, consistent high quality data will be available for both national and local areas, helping policy makers to make better decisions,’ he added. Continue reading
Many UK landlords unaware of new mortgage legislation, research suggests
Accidental landlords in the UK are most at risk of being caught out by new European Union mortgage legislation, new research suggests. Some 55% buy to let mortgage applicants are unaware of the impending changes to mortgage law and accidental landlords, those who did not intentionally set out to rent out a property, are least likely to know about these regulatory changes. The research by landlord insurance provider Direct Line for Business amongst mortgage brokers also reveals that 62%of applicants were unaware of either the changes to mortgage tax relief or the EU's Mortgage Credit Directive (MCD) and therefore changes which could impact their ability to secure a mortgage. This lack of awareness rises to 71% amongst 'accidental landlords', namely those who rent out property due to unforeseen circumstances such as being unable to sell, or inheriting a home. Mortgage advisers estimate that accidental landlords account for 17% of new mortgage applications, with overall buy to let mortgage applications growing by 29% in the past year. The research also shows that only 7% of mortgage advisers believe that the MCD will have a positive impact on approvals of buy to let mortgage applications while 59% expect it to have a negative impact. The EU's MCD could see circumstances where landlord mortgage lending will be viewed as ‘consumer’ lending and therefore could be subject to more stringent lending criteria. Accidental landlords with one or two rental properties may not be able to pass the expected new affordability tests. Changes to the mortgage tax relief are set to be phased in from April 2017 with landlords no longer able to deduct mortgage interest payments before calculating their tax bill. They will instead get a tax credit equivalent to 20% basic rate tax on this amount. Landlords are also now paying a 3% surcharge on stamp duty. ‘The new EU legislation on mortgages coupled with the Government's increase in buy to let taxation could significantly alter the buy to let market, so we would encourage any mortgage applicants to think carefully about the new law and how this could impact them as a landlord,’ said Nick Breton, head of Direct Line for Business . ‘With house prices in the UK rising by 7% in the year leading to October 20152, and with the estimated average deposit standing at more than £61,000, it is imperative that landlords are able to maintain a suitable amount of property to house the population of young people saving up to buy their first property, or those seeking a temporary stay in a town or city,’ he added. With the new legislation set to be phased in between 2017 and 2020, Direct Line for Business is providing landlords looking to protect their income with suggestions. It says that as letting and management agents currently charge between 10% and 15% of the monthly rent in fees those with the time and who are prepared to take on the… Continue reading
House price gap between north and south widens in UK
UK annual house price growth increased to 5.7% in March, taking the average price to £200,251 but the latest index also shows that the gap between north and south continues to widen. Annual house price growth recorded its strongest pace since February 2015 up from 4.8% the previous month while month on month home prices increased by 0.8%, according to the data from leading UK lender the Nationwide. Average house prices in England increased by 1.8% in the first quarter of 2016, and were up 7.7% year on year. This means that in cash terms, the gap in average prices between the South and the North of England now stands at nearly £163,000. Prices in the North are now less than half those in the South, a record low. ‘There has been a pickup in housing market activity in recent months, with the number of housing transactions and mortgage approvals rising strongly. This is likely to have been driven, at least in part, by upcoming changes to stamp duty on second homes, where buyers have brought forward purchases in order to avoid the additional tax liabilities,’ said Robert Gardner, Nationwide's chief economist. ‘This temporary boost to demand against a backdrop of continued constrained supply is likely to have exerted upward pressure on prices and helped to lift the pace of annual price growth out of the fairly narrow range of 3% to 5% that has been prevailing since the summer,’ he explained. He pointed out that the pace of house price growth may moderate again once the stamp duty changes take effect in April. ‘However, it is possible that the recent pattern of strong employment growth, rising real earnings, low borrowing costs and constrained supply will keep the demand/supply balance tilted in favour of sellers and maintain pressure on price growth in the quarters ahead,’ he said. Gardner also pointed out that according to Royal Institute of Chartered Surveyors, the stock of houses on estate agents’ books remains close to all-time lows on data extending back 30 years. The quarterly index, published at the same time, shows that regional house prices maintained the same broad trends prevailing in recent years with southern regions continuing to record significantly stronger rates of annual price growth, further widening regional disparities. The Outer Metropolitan was the strongest performing region in the first quarter of 2016, with average prices up 12.2% year on year. London was close behind, though it did record a slight moderation in its annual rate of growth to 11.5% from 12.2% the previous quarter. The North was the weakest performing region in England and the UK overall, with prices down 1.1% year on year. House price growth slowed sharply in Northern Ireland, with annual growth moderating to 1.8%, even though the price of a typical property is still 45% below the pre-crisis peak. Wales saw a lacklustre 1.7% year on year increase in prices, a slight pick-up compared with the previous quarter while Scotland recorded… Continue reading
