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Prime rental London market sees values continue to rise
Rental values in the prime central London property market continued their recovery in February, recording their twelfth consecutive month without a decline, the latest research shows. An increase of 0.2% matched the rise in January and took annual growth to 4%, which was the highest level in more than three years, according to the report from Knight Frank. It points out that as May’s general election approaches, there is a degree of uncertainty in the sales market that has dampened activity due to the potential of a ‘mansion tax’ on properties worth more than £2 million. ‘This has benefitted the lettings market to some extent as a small but growing number of buyers and vendors hedge their bets on the outcome of the election and move into the rentals market. However, the dominant mood in the prime central London lettings market in February was also one of caution as election campaigning gathered pace, which resulted in low stock levels in some areas,’ said Tom Bill, head of London residential research at Knight Frank. He pointed out that in higher value price brackets, the mood of caution has led some landlords and tenants to explore option to buy agreements where it is mutually beneficial. ‘Though not prevalent, there is anecdotal evidence to suggest tenants have explored the try before you buy option in order to hedge against short term political uncertainty, enabling them to initially rent and buy once there is greater clarity surrounding the outcome of the election,’ he added. A breakdown of the data shows that there is some variation in rental values. In Mayfair they have declined by 1.6% and in Islington by 1.2% in the year to February 2015. Chelsea has seen a 0.2% rise and Knightsbridge a 0.5% rise while in Notting Hill they increased by 1.5%. In Belgravia rental values were up 2.7%, in South Kensington by 6.1%, in Kensington7.8%, and in Hyde Park there was growth of 8%. While St Johns Wood and Marylebone saw the highest rises at 10.8% and 12.4% respectively. The report also says that despite the hesitancy, there are grounds for optimism, including the fact new tenant registrations, viewings and the number of tenancies agreed remain strong. The buoyancy of world stock markets in February is also likely to underpin demand. The performance of the prime central London rental index has broadly tracked global stock markets in recent years and the current record levels being set, including by the FTSE100, suggest the positive upwards momentum will continue. The recent strong performance is linked to indications from the Federal Reserve that it will not rush to raise interest rates, the low oil price and the agreement between Greece and the euro zone, among other factors. Continue reading
Londoners set to cash in on short term rental law change
With the Deregulation Bill currently working its way through the UK parliamentary system, a new analysis shows that London homeowners could earn thousands by renting out spare rooms in their homes. The bill, first announced in 2013, would end rental rules imposed in 1973 but now largely viewed as outdated. These currently prevent Londoners from renting out their homes, or rooms within their homes, on a short term of three months to visitors. Unlike other residents across the UK, Londoners require planning permission if they let a room or home on this basis. When it becomes law, probably in a few months’ time, it will allow London home owners to rent out rooms or their entire property, for up to three months of the year. According to central London lettings agency E J Harris, a home owner renting out their two bedroom apartment in prime central London could potentially earn anything from £2,000 per month up to over £5,000 per month, depending on location, netting themselves a potential additional income over three months of anything from £6,000 up to £15,000 or more. At the very top of the luxury housing market in locations such as Knightsbridge or Mayfair an owner of a penthouse could earn themselves £10,000 per week, or up to £120,000 over a three month period. E J Harris adds that if a home owner decided just to rent out a room in their apartment, then at the top end of the market, rental income for an en-suite bedroom in Knightsbridge could earn them up to £6,600 over a three month period. Renting out a room in a two bedroom Mayfair apartment could potentially earn £500 a week or £6,000 for a three month let. In St John’s Wood a room in a two bedroom property could earn £250 a week, or up to £3,000 over three months. However, it is not only home owners in luxury addresses who could benefit significantly. E J Harris, estimate that renting out a room without an en-suite bathroom in a typical apartment in inner London could earn the owner around £100 per week, allowing the owner to bring in an extra £1,200 over three months. Despite the huge sums of money that a wealthy owner in Knightsbridge or Mayfair could earn from a very short term apartment let or room share, Elizabeth Harris, the firm’s managing director, thinks it is unlikely that anyone at this end of the market will choose to enter the short let or room share marketplace. ‘For a super wealthy oil Sheikh or Russian Oligarch an extra £120,000 is pocket change and people who live in addresses such as One Hyde Park or The Knightsbridge really don’t need to room share,’ she said. ‘However, I do forecast that there is a strong potential market from young professionals aged in their late 20s to late 30s who… Continue reading
House prices rise in Portugal for first time in five years
House prices in Portugal increased in January as the country’s economy expands and the unemployment rate falls, according to the latest monthly market survey from the Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors. It is the first time that prices have increased since the RICS/Ci survey was launched in 2010 and comes at a time when buyers demand is increasing. RICS says that improving employment is being reflected in rising new buyer demand and for over 12 months now, new buyer enquiries have been in positive territory and national confidence has reached a series high of +32. It also says that the outlook for sales volumes is strengthening and sales expectations are more elevated than at any other point in the survey’s four year history. The Portuguese economy expanded for the first time since 2010, albeit modestly, with average annual GDP growth of 0.9%. After a three year period in which GDP contracted by nearly 6%, a recovery does now appear to be emerging. The rate of unemployment has fallen by nearly 2% over the past 12 months and now stands at 13.4% having reached a peak of 17.7% in early 2013. The report describes the emergence of a recovery in house prices, supported by a consistent rise in confidence but also points out that in the lettings market, rents are still falling for now, although survey respondents’ expectations point to a more stable trend on the horizon. In the sales market, buyer demand continued to increase, with the pace of improvement accelerating slightly over the month. Meanwhile, sales continued to rise, extending an uninterrupted positive run dating back to February 2014. Moreover, respondents’ sales expectations are more elevated than at any other point over the past four years. Looking ahead, prices are expected to continue to rise over the next three months but RICS explains that a sustained run of positive data will be needed before it is in a position to talk about a genuine recovery. At the regional level, prices are now rising in both Lisbon and the Algarve, but remain more or less stable in the Porto market. In the lettings sector, tenant demand continues to rise gradually and the number of new landlord instructions is diminishing. However, rents are still falling for the time being, although respondents do expect a flatter trend to emerge in the coming months. ‘Even though the volume of new credit is still low, it has been reported by several real estate agents that banks are now more positive about the market,’ said Ci spokesman, Ricardo Guimaraes. ‘Some already have commercial campaigns, announcing lower spreads. This might be the element that was missing to broaden out the recovery that was primarily located in Lisbon,’ he added. According to RICS senior economist, Josh Miller, the Portuguese housing market reached an important milestone in January with prices rising for the first time since the country’s bailout programme. ‘Whether this trend can be sustained depends on the broader economic recovery…. Continue reading
