Tag Archives: shows
US home prices up 0.3% nationally in May
The median US home value increased 0.3% in May compared to the previous month but overall prices are still 8.8% below the peak of the market in April 2007. This takes the median price to $179,200, according to the latest Zillow Real Estate market report which tracks 514 areas around the country. The data shows that 64% or metropolitan areas saw prices rise month on month and 67.3% saw annual price rises. In May the four fastest growing markets among the nation’s 35 largest all experienced double digit annual home value appreciation; Denver, San Jose, Dallas-Fort Worth and San Francisco. In all four of these markets, home values have already surpassed their bubble-era peaks. The most sluggish large markets in May were Boston were prices increased by just 0.2% annually, New York where prices were down 0.1% and Baltimore down 0.3%. All three are in the north east of the country. According to Stan Humphries, Zillow chief economist, the market isn’t back to normal. ‘Low inventory, persistent negative equity and still low mortgage interest rates continue to distort the market in various ways,’ he said. ‘But the fact that local markets are once again largely rising and falling on their own merits and continuing to find some kind of equilibrium based on real market fundamentals like household formation rates and job and wage growth is encouraging. A truly normal national housing market is one in which local conditions rule,’ he added. Over the next year home value growth is expected to slow even further to 2.2%, according to the Zillow Home Value Forecast. This will be some way below 2014 when home values rose 4.9%. ‘The country by and large rode the same big roller coaster through the housing bubble, bust, and recovery. May’s report shows local markets diverging, with some chugging along, some stalled out and some continuing to accelerate amid rising prices and competition. This is a positive sign that the market is returning to full health,’ Humphries pointed out. ‘In general, as mortgage rates begin to rise and incomes and household formation rates slowly increase, the baton is being passed in housing from a stimulus driven market to one driven by fundamentals. This transition from housing recovery to a more normal market is a good thing long term, but we can expect some bumps along the way. In the end, increasing household formation and stronger income growth should overcome the headwind of rising mortgage rates,’ he concluded. Continue reading
UK commercial property sales reach highest level since the economic downturn
The number of UK commercial property transactions has reached its highest level since the credit crunch, with 115,400 sales in the last year, a 6% jump, according to the latest figures to be made available. Data from HMRC shows that the number of transactions is up 24% from a low of 92,900 in 2008/2009, but still significantly below 2007/2008 when there were 139,000 sales. An analysis of the figures by commercial law firm EMW, suggests that England is dominating the country’s market. There were 97,500 commercial property transactions in England last year, accounting for 85% of the UK total, this figure is also the highest since 2007/2008 when there were 115,700, 83% of the UK total. The report explains that the relatively high yields on property when compared to other investments, continues to attract both UK and, increasingly, overseas investors. ‘Commercial property assets are proving increasingly attractive to investors looking for higher yields in an environment with record low interest rates and this is driving activity towards pre-credit crunch levels,’ said Nick Marshall, principal at EMW. ‘There has also been a surge of interest from overseas investors, with the UK offering investor friendly lease terms. The relative shortage of vacant prime office space in central London is also making the market more attractive to investors,’ he explained. ‘Bank lending has also picked up which has led to more activity in the market and lenders are now happier to fund purchases at higher loan to value ratios. Without higher LTVs, many property investors were finding it hard to get the economics of their investments to work,’ he added. Meanwhile, according to the latest Commercial Market in Minutes report from Savills, downward pressure on prime yields is set to resume across six sectors of the market while income and rental growth will begin to drive the total return. Savills expects downward movements in prime yields to return across M25 offices, provincial offices, high street retail, shopping centres, industrial distribution and industrial multi-let, largely driven by a lack of new stock coming to the market. Also, West End and City office prime yields are at an all-time low at 3% and 4.25% respectively, compared to 3.25% and 4.25% in May of last year. However, unlike the early phase of the UK’s economic recovery which saw investors rely on an uptick in capital value to produce total returns, Savills says the market will have to focus more on income return and rental growth. The firm suggests this shift is a clear indicator that the market has moved on as the rate of capital value growth begins to slow from its peak of 12.95% in October 2014 compared to a current level of 11.04% for the year to the end of May 2015. ‘Rental growth is no longer just a London story and while office and retail in the Capital remain at the top, an outward ripple of recovery suggests strong… Continue reading
Immigration check scheme in UK makes landlords reluctant to take on foreign tenants
The immigration check pilot scheme in the UK which is running in the Midlands has led to tenants being charged additional fees and is making it harder for foreigners to rent a property, new research has found. Tenants are being charged an extra £100 in administration fees, according to a survey by the Joint Council for the Welfare of Immigrants (JCWI) which polled landlords and tenants in the pilot area since the roll-out. Under the pilot scheme, which is expected to be rolled out across the UK later in the year, landlords are required to carry out checks on new tenants and face action if they are found to be renting to an illegal immigrant. If a landlord breaches the rules they face a fine of £1,000 per illegal adult occupier and for a second offence that rises to £3,000 per adult. The survey also indicated that landlords are now more hesitant to offer viewings to anyone needing more time to provide paperwork, meaning migrants are more likely to be turned down. The research also shows that landlords are discriminating between applicants on the basis of their background and are preparing to turn away tenants because they have a foreign accent. Furthermore, some legitimate tenants who cannot easily identify themselves using a British or European Union passport are finding it harder to secure somewhere to live. ‘This research clearly shows the dilemma that landlords are facing. On the one hand they want to be fair to prospective tenants, but on the other hand, they are fearful of renting a property to an illegal immigrant,’ said Jane Morris, managing director of Property Let By Us. She gave an example of an American tenant who reported that her British husband could secure viewings for the same properties she had been told were no longer available. Morris explained that under the pilot scheme, would-be tenants have to produce evidence from a checklist of documents that they have permission to be in the UK and landlords have to take a copy for their records. ‘So before dismissing a prospective tenant, it is important that agents and landlords make all the necessary checks. For example, if an agent is taking on the responsibility for checking an occupier’s immigration status, he/she must agree this in writing and must report the findings to the landlord,’ she pointed out. ‘Agents should set out timescales for checks and reports in the agency agreement and report occupiers without the right to rent to the landlord in writing. If the landlord still authorises a tenancy agreement, they will be liable for the penalty,’ she added. She also pointed out that in the event of a breach, where an occupier is found to be living illegally in a rented property, the agent or landlord will need to establish a statutory excuse to avoid a penalty. ‘A statutory excuse can be maintained if… Continue reading
