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Prime property prices in prime central London up for first time since Sept 2014
Prime property prices in central London increased slightly, up by 0.8% in the second quarter of 2015, the first rise since September 2014, according to the latest index. Pimlico has seen the strongest growth in the last year with values up 5% or £66,000 compared with the second quarter of 2014, the data from estate agent Marsh & Parsons. The second quarter has also seen a 17% rise in demand for property in this sector but at the same time supply increased by only 10% while overall 42% of sales are now made by investors, a rise of 8% year on year. At the same time, there has been an upswing in foreign buyers who accounted for 34% of all sales in the second quarter of the year, up from 30% in the second quarter of 2014 although then firm says this has much to do with European buyers of all nationalities coming to live and work in London. Overall property in this sector costs 27% more per square foot than across London as a whole with the average square foot of property in central locations such as Holland Park, Notting Hill or Kensington and Chelsea valued at £1,516, some 27% higher than the capital wide average. In contrast, overall in Prime London, the typical price per square foot stands at £1,192. ‘The excellent capital appreciation and secure nature of property in prestigious central addresses of Kensington, Chelsea and Holland Park have long made them appealing particularly to the investor and it’s encouraging that we’ve seen such a rise recently,’ said Peter Rollings, chief executive officer of Marsh & Parsons. ‘Investors are a good gauge of the overall health of the London market. If there was any cause for concern about the future property market, investors would be upping sticks and moving elsewhere,’ he explained. ‘But that fact they are still putting down roots in the capital shows how fertile current conditions are. While there may not be much action to see at the moment, prices are still growing, and the foundations for fruitful capital returns are strong,’ he added. He also pointed out that price growth turned a corner and started to improve again with a 0.8% quarterly rise compared to a 0.6% drop in the first quarter of the year. Outer Prime areas of the capital have seen the strongest resurgence in price growth, experiencing 1% growth. However, house price growth in this sector is still much slower than last year, and on an annual basis, values have dipped across the prime London property market. Rollings said that it is important to place this into a longer term context, and since June 2013 the value of the average prime London home has increased by 12.1%. In terms of property type, family sized homes have experienced the biggest rise in price with four bed properties across prime London appreciating by 1.3%… Continue reading
UK property prices down slightly between June and July, says latest index
Residential property prices in the UK fell slightly by 0.6% between June and July and annual house price growth has slowed to 7.9%, according to the latest monthly index from the Halifax. It shows the fragility of the housing market recovery as different lenders show prices rising and falling, but only by marginal amounts so there is some stability in the housing market. Just a few days the Nationwide reported in its monthly index data that prices increased by 0.4% in July and annual property price growth edged up to 3.5%. Meanwhile one set of data said that prime property prices in central London are still falling and another showed a slight rise. Both the Halifax and the Nationwide show that the average home price is now nudging £200,000. Today’s data from the Halifax put it at £198,883. The Halifax index also shows that sales increased by 5% between May and June. Confidence in the outlook for house price growth remains substantially higher than at the beginning of 2015, according to Stephen Noakes, managing director of retail customer products at the Halifax. He believes that the market is robust, pointing out that house prices in the three months to July were 2.4% higher than in the previous quarter. However, this measure of the underlying rate of house price growth has eased and annual house price growth also declined, to 7.9% from 9.6% in June and is at its lowest since December 2014. ‘The underlying pace of house price growth remains robust notwithstanding the easing in July. Continuing economic recovery, earnings growth in excess of consumer price inflation and very low mortgage rates all underpin housing demand,’ said Noakes. ‘Supply is highly restricted with the stock of homes available for sale falling further to new record lows. This combination of well supported demand and tight supply is likely to ensure that house price growth remains relatively strong in the near term,’ he added. He also pointed out that the Halifax housing market confidence tracker shows that confidence in the outlook for house price growth hit its highest level in four years following the general election in May, but dropped back in June. Price Optimism (HPO) hit +68 in May 2015, and although it slipped back slightly in June to +64, it remains substantially higher than at the beginning of 2015 when it was +52. Jonathan Samuels, chief executive of Dragonfly Property Finance, pointed out that despite the fall in prices during July, house prices overall are still rising. ‘The dominant narrative within the UK property market continues to be weak supply and strong demand,’ he said. He explained that demand is strong because of mortgage rates being at record lows, more people in work, low inflation and a generally positive economic outlook, however, the increasing likelihood of an interest rate rise in the not too distant future has the potential to recalibrate demand and the market as a whole. ‘After so many years of 0.5% rates, even a… Continue reading
UK lenders start to increase mortgage rates ahead of expected interest rate rise
Indications from the Bank of England that interest rates are set to rise, possibly as early as the beginning of 2016, several lenders have started to increase their mortgage rates. Research by comparison website MoneySuperMarket suggests that since the bank’s governor Mark Carney suggested just a few weeks ago that rates could rise by the turn of the year, some of the best mortgage deals have become less favourable. For example, First Direct offered 1.49% at the start of July on its best price two year fixed, but this now sits at 1.69%. However the research also shows that there are still some great mortgage offers available, but interestingly, 65% loan to value (LTV) mortgages are now cheaper than 60% LTV mortgages on average. The current average 60% LTV rate across fixed, variable and discount mortgages is 2.23%, while the average 65% LTV rate is 2.08%. So for example, someone borrowing £150,000 over 25 years would pay less back over the promotional period on YBS’s 65% LTV two year fixed rate of 1.07% with a fee of £1,545 than on Post Office’s 60% LTV two year fix at 1.05% but with a higher £1,995 fee. ‘It’s prime time for those looking for a mortgage as there are still some great deals on the market even if it’s a bit bizarre that you can currently get a cheaper deal with a smaller deposit,’ said Dan Plant, consumer expert at MoneySupermarket. ‘However, the recent rate rise speculation is starting to make providers cautious, and this is being reflected in their offers. We know choosing a mortgage can be confusing but if people can do it now, they avoid the risk of rates rising over the next few months,’ he explained. ‘Many lenders allow mortgage holders to reserve rates available now for up to six months for a small fee, so even those who still have some time left on their current deal can benefit. As always, prospective buyers need to think about the long term and work out the total cost of the mortgage, including both rates and fees, before committing to a deal,’ he said. He also pointed out that while 65% LTV mortgages are better than the 60% LTV deals at the moment, consumers should be wary of a rate rise and make sure they can afford the repayments if they suddenly shoot up, should they choose a variable rate mortgage. Continue reading
