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Prime London homes continue to feel stamp duty effect

Prime London house prices grew marginally over the summer months as the market continues its adjustment to the higher stamp duty charges introduced in December 2014, the latest index shows. This means that average values are back to levels seen a year ago, according to the Savills prime London index. Overall average prices across all prime London’s housing markets rose by 0.7% in the three months to the end of September, while the prime central London average fell slightly, by 0.4%. The data also shows that year on year prime central prices are down 4.6% while the whole of the London prime market saw no change. But prices are still up considerably over five years by 28% and 35.8% respectively. However, Savills says, these averages mask variations in price growth, which now relate as much to the different value bands as to location. Over the past year, price changes have broadly reflected stamp duty increases at different price points and therefore growth has been concentrated in the sub £2 million market. Homes in the £500,000 to £1 million range, which are subject to lower stamp duty charges, have risen by 3% year on year, and in the £1 million to £2 million range by a marginal 0.9%. By contrast, those over £2 million have fallen by an average of 2.6%. ‘The increased transactional costs over £1 million have undoubtedly made buyers more cautious, offsetting any post-election euphoria, particularly as the stamp duty change came when parts of the market were beginning to look fully priced after five years of steady growth,’ said Lucian Cook, head of residential research at property adviser, Savills. ‘For all but the very best in class properties, many buyers are expecting a discount on last year’s prices at least equivalent to the additional tax. By contrast, stamp duty changes have benefitted properties in lower tiers of the prime market, which have performed more strongly,’ he explained. ‘The prime London market now looks fully taxed and buyers are slower to commit, which is likely to continue to constrain the market in the short term, however the medium term fundamentals of demand for prime property in the UK capital remain positive. This has been reflected in a busy September in the new build market, where best in class is recognised,’ he added. Continue reading →

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Number of tenants seriously behind with rent reaches two year high in UK

The number of tenants seriously behind on rent has risen to the highest level in the UK for two years in the second quarter of 2015, according to the latest tracker report. There are now 74,000 tenants owing more than two months’ rent which means 5,000 more households are in significant arrears than a year ago, or an annual increase of 7.2% since the second quarter of 2014, when this figure previously stood at 69,000 across the UK. On a quarterly basis, the number of cases of severe arrears has risen by 4.4% or 3,100 households, since standing at 70,900 in the first quarter of the year, the report from estate agency chains Your Move and Reeds Rains, part of LSL Property Services, also shows. However, the report points out that the recent worsening in the number of tenants in serious difficulties remains relatively mild by historical comparison. Compared to the worst peak of serious rent arrears, seen in the third quarter of 2012, when 116,600 households owed more than two months in late rent, this has moderated significantly. The report also points out that the chance of a given tenant falling seriously behind on rents is still extremely low. As a proportion of all tenancies, those in severe arrears represent just 1.4% of all tenants, stable compared to the previous quarter and the same as was seen a year before in the second quarter of 2015. This compares to 2.9% of tenants in the first quarter of 2008, twice the current proportion, even before the worst of the financial crisis and recession. ‘Across the UK most households are beginning to earn more, and it is this majority of tenants who are able to bid up the price of rented homes in the face of constricted supply. Rents are accelerating in response, rising by more than 5% over the last year according to our separate research,’ said Adrian Gill, director of estate agents Your Move and Reeds Rains. But he warned that behind this headline buoyancy, there is a less positive story. ‘For a small minority there has been no transformational boost to household earnings, and it is this more marginal population of tenants who are feeling the squeeze of rising rents most sharply,’ he explained. ‘Severe arrears are still much lower than their previous peaks but a lack of further progress highlights the underlying and fundamental supply shortage. Tenants need more available properties on the market, and landlords should be encouraged to invest further in order to keep up with growing demand,’ he added. The data also shows that eviction rates have improved. In the second quarter of the year a total of 27,910 tenants faced a court order for eviction, on a seasonally adjusted basis. This represents a 3.9% improvement since the first quarter of 2015 and is 5.9% lower on an annual basis compared… Continue reading →

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Monthly residential rents in Ireland up 7.1% quarter on quarter, latest index shows

Monthly rents for private sector accommodation across the Ireland increased by 7.1% in the second quarter of this year compared with the same period last year, the latest published data shows. Nationally, rents for houses were 6.4% higher, while apartment rents were 7.6% higher than in the second quarter of 2014, according to the data from the Private Rented Tenancies Board (PRTB) which is regarded as the most accurate and authoritative rent report of its kind on the private accommodation sector in Ireland. Annual growth in the Dublin market was stronger, up by 9.2%. Dublin house rents were up 8.8% and Dublin apartment rents were higher by 9.4%. However, annual growth in rents for the market outside Dublin remains more subdued, recording growth of 5.8% when compared to the second quarter of 2014. There is also a gap in the performance by property type. The rent for houses outside Dublin increased by 5.8%, while apartments outside Dublin experienced an increase of 5.9%, according to the data which is based on actual rents being paid rather than asking or advertised rents. The rent for private sector accommodation across the whole country in was €878, up from €820 in the second quarter of 2014. The rent for apartments nationally was €922 compared to €857 a year earlier and for a house it was €853 compared to €801 a year earlier. In Dublin, the rent was €1,387 for a house and €1,260 for an apartment compare to €1,275 and €1,152 respectively in the second quarter of 2014. This represents a monthly increase in Dublin rent of €112 for a house and €108 for an apartment over the course of the 12 month period. Outside Dublin, the rent was €677, with houses averaging €695 and apartments €660. A year earlier, these figures stood at €640, €656 and €623 respectively. This represents a monthly increase in rent outside of Dublin of €39 for a house and €37 for an apartment in the 12 month period. Looking at the quarter on quarter picture for 2015, nationally the rate of increase in monthly rent levels was 2.9% in the second quarter of this year compared to the first quarter of 2015. This compares to a national quarterly growth rate of 1.3% in the first quarter of 2015. Looking at trends in more detail, monthly rents for houses recorded quarter on quarter growth of 2.4% in the second quarter of the year, while rents for apartments grew by 3% when compared with the first quarter of 2015. The results show quarterly growth in rents outside Dublin of 2%, with rents in Dublin showing stronger growth of 4.2% in the quarter. Rents for houses in Dublin grew by 2.9% compared to the first quarter of 2015, while Dublin apartment rents were higher by 4% in the quarter The rent indices show, for properties outside Dublin, rents in the second quarter of 2015, when compared with the first quarter… Continue reading →

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